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Safe and efficient navigation in dynamic environments shared with humans remains an open and challenging task for mobile robots. Previous works have shown the efficacy of using reinforcement learning frameworks to train policies for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Yanying Zhou , Jochen Garcke

Accurate spatial prediction and rigorous uncertainty quantification are central to modern spatial epidemiology and environmental risk analysis. We introduce a statistically principled hybrid modelling framework that integrates the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Toba Temitope Bamidele , Ezra Gayawan , Femi Barnabas Adebola , Olatunji Johnson

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has reached super human levels in complex tasks like game solving (Go and autonomous driving). However, it remains an open question whether DRL can reach human level in applications to financial problems…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-10 Eric Benhamou , David Saltiel , Jean-Jacques Ohana , Jamal Atif

Traffic time series forecasting is challenging due to complex spatio-temporal dynamics time series from different locations often have distinct patterns; and for the same time series, patterns may vary across time, where, for example, there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo , Tung Kieu , Shirui Pan

Event prediction tasks often handle spatio-temporal data distributed in a large spatial area. Different regions in the area exhibit different characteristics while having latent correlations. This spatial heterogeneity and correlations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Wang-Tao Zhou , Zhao Kang , Sicong Liu , Lizong Zhang , Ling Tian

With rapid expansion of cellular networks and the proliferation of mobile devices, cellular traffic data exhibits complex temporal dynamics and spatial correlations, posing challenges to accurate traffic prediction. Previous methods often…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Ziyi Li , Hui Ma , Fei Xing , Chunjiong Zhang , Ming Yan

Forecasting spatio-temporal correlated time series of sensor values is crucial in urban applications, such as air pollution alert, biking resource management, and intelligent transportation systems. While recent advances exploit graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-01 Yi-Ju Lu , Cheng-Te Li

Accurate vehicle trajectory prediction is essential for ensuring safety and efficiency in fully autonomous driving systems. While existing methods primarily focus on modeling observed motion patterns and interactions with other vehicles,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Xinyi Ning , Zilin Bian , Dachuan Zuo , Semiha Ergan

The technology of traffic flow forecasting plays an important role in intelligent transportation systems. Based on graph neural networks and attention mechanisms, most previous works utilize the transformer architecture to discover…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Weiguo Zhu , Yongqi Sun , Xintong Yi , Yan Wang

Accurate traffic prediction in real time plays an important role in Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) and travel navigation guidance. There have been many attempts to predict short-term traffic status which consider the spatial and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Ruiyuan Jiang , Shangbo Wang , Yuli Zhang

Accurate and robust weather forecasting remains a fundamental challenge due to the inherent spatio-temporal complexity of atmospheric systems. In this paper, we propose a novel self-supervised learning framework that leverages…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yao Liu

Dynamic graph representation learning requires capturing both structural relations and temporal evolution, yet existing approaches face a core trade-off: attention-based methods offer expressiveness at $O(T^2)$ complexity, while recurrent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Md Abrar Jahin , Taufikur Rahman Fuad , Jay Pujara , Craig Knoblock

Spatial-temporal forecasting is crucial and widely applicable in various domains such as traffic, energy, and climate. Benefiting from the abundance of unlabeled spatial-temporal data, self-supervised methods are increasingly adapted to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Qi Zheng , Zihao Yao , Yaying Zhang

We propose \textbf{Temporal Conformal Prediction (TCP)}, a distribution-free framework for constructing well-calibrated prediction intervals in nonstationary time series. TCP couples a modern quantile forecaster with a rolling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-26 Agnideep Aich , Ashit Baran Aich , Dipak C. Jain

Persistent monitoring of a spatiotemporal fluid process requires data sampling and predictive modeling of the process being monitored. In this paper we present PASST algorithm: Predictive-model based Adaptive Sampling of a Spatio-Temporal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Sandeep Manjanna , Tom Z. Jiahao , M. Ani Hsieh

Networks of modern industrial systems are increasingly monitored by distributed sensors, where each system comprises multiple subsystems generating high dimensional time series data. These subsystems are often interdependent, making it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Ayse Tursucular , Ayush Mohanty , Nazal Mohamed , Nagi Gebraeel

In nonlinear dynamical systems, tipping refers to a critical transition from one steady state to another, typically catastrophic, steady state, often resulting from a saddle-node bifurcation. Recently, the machine-learning framework of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-09 Smita Deb , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

Spatio-temporal graphs are powerful tools for modeling complex dependencies in traffic time series. However, the distributed nature of real-world traffic data across multiple stakeholders poses significant challenges in modeling and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Feng Wang , Tianxiang Chen , Shuyue Wei , Qian Chu , Yi Zhang , Yifan Sun , Zhiming Zheng

This work proposes an algorithmic framework to learn time-varying graphs from online data. The generality offered by the framework renders it model-independent, i.e., it can be theoretically analyzed in its abstract formulation and then…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Alberto Natali , Elvin Isufi , Mario Coutino , Geert Leus

Accurate flood prediction is crucial for disaster prevention and mitigation. Hydrological data exhibit highly nonlinear temporal patterns and encompass complex spatial relationships between rainfall and flow. Existing flood prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Jun Feng , Xueyi Liu , Jiamin Lu , Pingping Shao