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In this paper, we consider the problem of linear regression with heavy-tailed distributions. Different from previous studies that use the squared loss to measure the performance, we choose the absolute loss, which is capable of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-26 Lijun Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

Stacking regressions is an ensemble technique that forms linear combinations of different regression estimators to enhance predictive accuracy. The conventional approach uses cross-validation data to generate predictions from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 Xin Chen , Jason M. Klusowski , Yan Shuo Tan

A novel statistical method is proposed and investigated for estimating a heavy tailed density under mild smoothness assumptions. Statistical analyses of heavy-tailed distributions are susceptible to the problem of sparse information in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-18 Surya T Tokdar , Sheng Jiang , Erika L Cunningham

The question of fast convergence in the classical problem of high dimensional linear regression has been extensively studied. Arguably, one of the fastest procedures in practice is Iterative Hard Thresholding (IHT). Still, IHT relies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-28 Mohamed Ndaoud

We provide a new computationally-efficient class of estimators for risk minimization. We show that these estimators are robust for general statistical models: in the classical Huber epsilon-contamination model and in heavy-tailed settings.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-23 Adarsh Prasad , Arun Sai Suggala , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Pradeep Ravikumar

We propose statistically robust and computationally efficient linear learning methods in the high-dimensional batch setting, where the number of features $d$ may exceed the sample size $n$. We employ, in a generic learning setting, two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-30 Ibrahim Merad , Stéphane Gaïffas

This paper considers the problem of robustly estimating a structured covariance matrix with an elliptical underlying distribution with known mean. In applications where the covariance matrix naturally possesses a certain structure, taking…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-29 Ying Sun , Prabhu Babu , Daniel P. Palomar

This paper introduces novel frameworks for large deviations and metastability analysis in heavy-tailed stochastic dynamical systems. We develop and apply these frameworks within the context of stochastic difference equation $X^\eta_{j+1}(x)…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

This thesis evaluates most of the extreme mixture models and methods that have appended in the literature and implements them in the context of finance and insurance. The paper also reviews and studies extreme value theory, time series,…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-09 Yujuan Qiu

In this paper we estimate the mean-variance portfolio in the high-dimensional case using the recent results from the theory of random matrices. We construct a linear shrinkage estimator which is distribution-free and is optimal in the sense…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Yarema Okhrin , Nestor Parolya

We propose a novel computational procedure for quadratic hedging in high-dimensional incomplete markets, covering mean-variance hedging and local risk minimization. Starting from the observation that both quadratic approaches can be treated…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-25 Alessandro Gnoatto , Silvia Lavagnini , Athena Picarelli

We present a robust Deep Hedging framework for the pricing and hedging of option portfolios that significantly improves training efficiency and model robustness. In particular, we propose a neural model for training model embeddings which…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-24 Fabienne Schmid , Daniel Oeltz

Standard statistical analysis is unable to provide reliable confidence intervals on expectation values of probability distributions that do not satisfy the conditions of the central limit theorem. We present a regression-based estimator of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-24 Pablo Lopez Rios , Gareth J. Conduit

We propose a novel probabilistic model to facilitate the learning of multivariate tail dependence of multiple financial assets. Our method allows one to construct from known random vectors, e.g., standard normal, sophisticated joint…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-14 Xing Yan , Qi Wu , Wen Zhang

This paper investigates tradeoffs among optimization errors, statistical rates of convergence and the effect of heavy-tailed errors for high-dimensional robust regression with nonconvex regularization. When the additive errors in linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Xiaoou Pan , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

In this work, we introduce a Monte Carlo method for the dynamic hedging of general European-type contingent claims in a multidimensional Brownian arbitrage-free market. Based on bounded variation martingale approximations for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-20 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Vinicius Siqueira

We present a new method for high-dimensional linear regression when a scale parameter of the additive errors is unknown. The proposed estimator is based on a penalized Huber $M$-estimator, for which theoretical results on estimation error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Po-Ling Loh

In this article, we introduce a new variable selection technique through trimming for finite mixture of regression models. Compared to the traditional variable selection techniques, the new method is robust and not sensitive to outliers.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-06 Sijia Xiang , Weixin Yao

Likelihood-based procedures are a common way to estimate tail dependence parameters. They are not applicable, however, in non-differentiable models such as those arising from recent max-linear structural equation models. Moreover, they can…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-20 John H. J. Einmahl , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

We propose a method for high dimensional multivariate regression that is robust to random error distributions that are heavy-tailed or contain outliers, while preserving estimation accuracy in normal random error distributions. We extend…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Mayu Hiraishi , Kensuke Tanioka , Hiroshi Yadohisa
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