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A new Bayesian approach to linear system identification has been proposed in a series of recent papers. The main idea is to frame linear system identification as predictor estimation in an infinite dimensional space, with the aid of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-03 Diego Romeres , Gianluigi Pillonetto , Alessandro Chiuso

Spatial connectivity is an important consideration when modelling infectious disease data across a geographical region. Connectivity can arise for many reasons, including shared characteristics between regions, and human or vector movement.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Sophie A Lee , Theodoros Economou , Rachel Lowe

The number of times that we can access a system to extract information via quantum metrology is always finite, and possibly small, and realistic amounts of prior knowledge tend to be moderate. Thus theoretical consistency demands a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-12-02 Jesús Rubio

In statistical applications, it is common to encounter parameters supported on a varying or unknown dimensional space. Examples include the fused lasso regression, the matrix recovery under an unknown low rank, etc. Despite the ease of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 Maoran Xu , Hua Zhou , Yujie Hu , Leo L. Duan

Design of experiments has traditionally relied on the frequentist hypothesis testing framework where the optimal size of the experiment is specified as the minimum sample size that guarantees a required level of power. Sample size…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Shirin Golchi , Luke Hagar

For civil structures, structural damage due to severe loading events such as earthquakes, or due to long-term environmental degradation, usually occurs in localized areas of a structure. A new sparse Bayesian probabilistic framework for…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-02 Yong Huang , James L. Beck

High dimensional statistics deals with the challenge of extracting structured information from complex model settings. Compared with the growing number of frequentist methodologies, there are rather few theoretically optimal Bayes methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Chao Gao , Aad W. van der Vaart , Harrison H. Zhou

Despite the advancements in learning governing differential equations from observations of dynamical systems, data-driven methods are often unaware of fundamental physical laws, such as frame invariance. As a result, these algorithms may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Jianke Yang , Wang Rao , Nima Dehmamy , Robin Walters , Rose Yu

Bayesian latent space models offer a principled approach to network representation, but rely on correct specification of both geometry and link function. Real-world networks often violate these assumptions, exhibiting geometric mismatch and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 Aldric Labarthe

In this paper, we develop a generalized Bayesian inference framework for a collection of signal-plus-noise matrix models arising in high-dimensional statistics and many applications. The framework is built upon an asymptotically unbiased…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-01 Fangzheng Xie , Dingbo Wu

Although linear regression models are fundamental tools in statistical science, the estimation results can be sensitive to outliers. While several robust methods have been proposed in frequentist frameworks, statistical inference is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-15 Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Simulator-based models are models for which the likelihood is intractable but simulation of synthetic data is possible. They are often used to describe complex real-world phenomena, and as such can often be misspecified in practice.…

One of the fundamental tasks of science is to find explainable relationships between observed phenomena. One approach to this task that has received attention in recent years is based on probabilistic graphical modelling with sparsity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-16 Peter Orchard , Felix Agakov , Amos Storkey

Network topology inference is a fundamental problem in many applications of network science, such as locating the source of fake news, brain connectivity networks detection, etc. Many real-world situations suffer from a critical problem…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-22 Yupeng Chen , Zhiguo Wang , Xiaojing Shen

The need to reason about uncertainty in large, complex, and multi-modal datasets has become increasingly common across modern scientific environments. The ability to transform samples from one distribution $P$ to another distribution $Q$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-30 Diego A. Mesa , Justin Tantiongloc , Marcela Mendoza , Todd P. Coleman

Existing methods to summarize posterior inference for mixture models focus on identifying a point estimate of the implied random partition for clustering, with density estimation as a secondary goal (Wade and Ghahramani, 2018; Dahl et al.,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-09 Khai Nguyen , Peter Mueller

With extreme weather events becoming more common, the risk posed by surface water flooding is ever increasing. In this work we propose a model, and associated Bayesian inference scheme, for generating probabilistic (high-resolution…

Bayesian inference is applied to the level fluctuations of two coupled microwave billiards in order to extract the coupling strength. The coupled resonators provide a model of a chaotic quantum system containing two coupled symmetry classes…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-31 C. I. Barbosa , H. L. Harney

Car-following behavior modeling is critical for understanding traffic flow dynamics and developing high-fidelity microscopic simulation models. Most existing impulse-response car-following models prioritize computational efficiency and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-09 Chengyuan Zhang , Wenshuo Wang , Lijun Sun

Symmetry is fundamental to understanding physical systems and can improve performance and sample efficiency in machine learning. Both pursuits require knowledge of the underlying symmetries in data, yet discovering these symmetries…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Yuxuan Chen , Jung Yeon Park , Floor Eijkelboom , Jianke Yang , Jan-Willem van de Meent , Lawson L. S. Wong , Robin Walters
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