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Related papers: Fire-EnSF: Wildfire Spread Data Assimilation using…

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Data assimilation provides algorithms for widespread applications in various fields. It is of practical use to deal with a large amount of information in the complex system that is hard to estimate. Weather forecasting is one of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Yihua Yang

Predicting future states in uncertain environments, such as wildfire spread, medical diagnosis, or autonomous driving, requires models that can consider multiple plausible outcomes. While diffusion models can effectively learn such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Sebastian Gerard , Josephine Sullivan

Diffusion models are extensively used for modeling image priors for inverse problems. We introduce \emph{Diff-Unfolding}, a principled framework for learning posterior score functions of \emph{conditional diffusion models} by explicitly…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-22 Yuanhao Wang , Shirin Shoushtari , Ulugbek S. Kamilov

Wildfire monitoring and prediction are essential for understanding wildfire behaviour. With extensive Earth observation data, these tasks can be integrated and enhanced through multi-task deep learning models. We present a comprehensive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Yu Zhao , Sebastian Gerard , Yifang Ban

Early wildfire detection in remote and forest areas is crucial for minimizing devastation and preserving ecosystems. Autonomous drones offer agile access to remote, challenging terrains, equipped with advanced imaging technology that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Austin Briley , Fatemeh Afghah

Predicting the spread of wildfires is essential for effective fire management and risk assessment. With the fast advancements of artificial intelligence (AI), various deep learning models have been developed and utilized for wildfire spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-25 Jiyeon Kim , Yingjie Hu , Negar Elhami-Khorasani , Kai Sun , Ryan Zhenqi Zhou

This paper presents "FireFly", a synthetic dataset for ember detection created using Unreal Engine 4 (UE4), designed to overcome the current lack of ember-specific training resources. To create the dataset, we present a tool that allows the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Yue Hu , Xinan Ye , Yifei Liu , Souvik Kundu , Gourav Datta , Srikar Mutnuri , Namo Asavisanu , Nora Ayanian , Konstantinos Psounis , Peter Beerel

Accurate characterization of subsurface heterogeneity is important for the safe and effective implementation of geological carbon storage (GCS) projects. This paper explores how machine learning methods can enhance data assimilation for GCS…

Data assimilation is a technique for increasing the accuracy of simulations of solutions to partial differential equations by incorporating observable data into the solution as time evolves. Recently, a promising new algorithm for data…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Adam Larios , Collin Victor

Collaborative path planning for robot swarms in complex, unknown environments without external positioning is a challenging problem. This requires robots to find safe directions based on real-time environmental observations, and to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Chenxi Li , Weining Lu , Zhihao Ma , Litong Meng , Bin Liang

Selecting high-quality data can improve the pretraining efficiency of large language models (LLMs). Existing methods generally rely on heuristic techniques or single quality signals, limiting their ability to evaluate data quality…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Liangyu Xu , Xuemiao Zhang , Feiyu Duan , Sirui Wang , Rongxiang Weng , Jingang Wang , Xunliang Cai

Data assimilation (DA) aims to optimally combine model forecasts and observations that are both partial and noisy. Multi-model DA generalizes the variational or Bayesian formulation of the Kalman filter, and we prove that it is also the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Eviatar Bach , Michael Ghil

We introduce a data assimilation strategy aimed at accurately capturing key non-Gaussian structures in probability distributions using a small ensemble size. A major challenge in statistical forecasting of nonlinearly coupled multiscale…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Di Qi , Jian-Guo Liu

A wildland fire model based on semi-empirical relations for the spread rate of a surface fire and post-frontal heat release is coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting atmospheric model (WRF). The propagation of the fire front is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-08-03 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Soham Chakraborty , Janice L. Coen , Craig C. Douglas , Anthony Vodacek , Zhen Wang

We propose closed-form conditional diffusion models for data assimilation. Diffusion models use data to learn the score function (defined as the gradient of the log-probability density of a data distribution), allowing them to generate new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-02 Brianna Binder , Agnimitra Dasgupta , Assad Oberai

Data assimilation is a vital component in modern global medium-range weather forecasting systems to obtain the best estimation of the atmospheric state by combining the short-term forecast and observations. Recently, AI-based data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Kun Chen , Tao Chen , Peng Ye , Hao Chen , Kang Chen , Tao Han , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

Through ensemble-based data assimilation (DA), we address one of the most notorious difficulties in phase-resolved ocean wave forecast, regarding the deviation of numerical solution from the true surface elevation due to the chaotic nature…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-07-01 Guangyao Wang , Yulin Pan

We present an extension to the model-free anomaly detection algorithm, Isolation Forest. This extension, named Extended Isolation Forest (EIF), resolves issues with assignment of anomaly score to given data points. We motivate the problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Sahand Hariri , Matias Carrasco Kind , Robert J. Brunner

The Ensemble Kalman filter assumes the observations to be Gaussian random variables with a pre-specified mean and variance. In practice, observations may also have detection limits, for instance when a gauge has a minimum or maximum value.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Abhishek Shah , Mohamad El Gharamti , Laurent Bertino

Motivated by the Extreme Value Analysis 2021 (EVA 2021) data challenge we propose a method based on statistics and machine learning for the spatial prediction of extreme wildfire frequencies and sizes. This method is tailored to handle…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-04 Daniela Cisneros , Yan Gong , Rishikesh Yadav , Arnab Hazra , Raphael Huser
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