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Related papers: Fire-EnSF: Wildfire Spread Data Assimilation using…

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We explore the potential of Data-Assimilation (DA) within the multi-scale framework of a shell model of turbulence, with a focus on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF). The central objective is to understand how measuring mesoscales (i.e.,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-15 Francesco Fossella , Luca Biferale , Alberto Carrassi , Massimo Cencini , Vikrant Gupta

Ensemble-based data assimilation (DA) methods have become increasingly popular due to their inherent ability to address nonlinear dynamic problems. However, these methods often face a trade-off between analysis accuracy and computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Zhilin Li , Zhou Yao , Xianglong Li , Zeng Liu , Zhaokuan Lu , Shanlin Xu , Seungnam Kim , Guangyao Wang

In recent years, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have played an increasingly crucial role in supporting disaster emergency response efforts by analyzing aerial images. While current deep-learning models focus on improving accuracy, they…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Lemeng Zhao , Junjie Hu , Jianchao Bi , Yanbing Bai , Erick Mas , Shunichi Koshimura

This study considers the data assimilation problem in coupled systems, which consists of two components (sub-systems) interacting with each other through certain coupling terms. A straightforward way to tackle the assimilation problem in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-22 Xiaodong Luo , Ibrahim Hoteit

Data assimilation algorithms integrate prior information from numerical model simulations with observed data. Ensemble-based filters, regarded as state-of-the-art, are widely employed for large-scale estimation tasks in disciplines such as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Iris Rammelmüller , Gottfried Hastermann , Jana de Wiljes

Increasing wildfire occurrence has spurred growing interest in wildfire spread prediction. However, even the most complex wildfire models diverge from observed progression during multi-day simulations, motivating need for data assimilation.…

Recent research has demonstrated the potential of deep neural networks (DNNs) to accurately predict wildfire spread on a given day based upon high-dimensional explanatory data from a single preceding day, or from a time series of T…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Saad Lahrichi , Jake Bova , Jesse Johnson , Jordan Malof

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) is a popular sequential data assimilation method that has been increasingly used for parameter estimation and forecast prediction in epidemiological studies. The observation function plays a critical role…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-20 Leah Mitchell , Andrea Arnold

The ensemble random forest filter (ERFF) is presented as an alternative to the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for the purpose of inverse modeling. The EnKF is a data assimilation approach that forecasts and updates parameter estimates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-11 Vanessa A. Godoy , Gian F. Napa-García , J. Jaime Gómez-Hernández

Wireless sensor networks consist of sensor nodes that are physically distributed over different locations. Spatial filtering procedures exploit the spatial correlation across these sensor signals to fuse them into a filtered signal…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-04 Cem Ates Musluoglu , Alexander Bertrand

Assimilation of data into a fire-spread model is formulated as an optimization problem. The level set equation, which relates the fire arrival time and the rate of spread, is allowed to be satisfied only approximately, and we minimize a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-06-18 Àngel Farguell Caus , James Haley , Adam K. Kochanski , Ana Cortés Fité , Jan Mandel

Filtering - the task of estimating the conditional distribution for states of a dynamical system given partial and noisy observations - is important in many areas of science and engineering, including weather and climate prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Eviatar Bach , Ricardo Baptista , Enoch Luk , Andrew Stuart

In many engineering and applied science domains, high-dimensional nonlinear filtering is still a challenging problem. Recent advances in score-based diffusion models offer a promising alternative for posterior sampling but require repeated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Zhijun Zeng , Weiye Gan , Junqing Chen , Zuoqiang Shi

Fuel moisture is a major influence on the behavior of wildland fires and an important underlying factor in fire risk. We present a method to assimilate spatially sparse fuel moisture observations from remote automatic weather stations…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-11-05 Martin Vejmelka , Adam K. Kochanski , Jan Mandel

Computational simulations of wildfire spread typically employ empirical rate-of-spread calculations under various conditions (such as terrain, fuel type, weather). Small perturbations in conditions can often lead to significant changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Andrew Bolt , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert , Joel Janek Dabrowski , James Hilton , Conrad Sanderson

Data assimilation is concerned with sequentially estimating a temporally-evolving state. This task, which arises in a wide range of scientific and engineering applications, is particularly challenging when the state is high-dimensional and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-21 Yuming Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

Data assimilation (DA) for compressible flows with shocks is challenging because many classical DA methods generate spurious oscillations and nonphysical features near uncertain shocks. We focus here on the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). We…

Wildfires are one of the costliest and deadliest natural disasters in the US, causing damage to millions of hectares of forest resources and threatening the lives of people and animals. Of particular importance are risks to firefighters and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Alireza Shamsoshoara , Fatemeh Afghah , Abolfazl Razi , Liming Zheng , Peter Z Fulé , Erik Blasch

We present FIRE, Fast Interpretable Rule Extraction, an optimization-based framework to extract a small but useful collection of decision rules from tree ensembles. FIRE selects sparse representative subsets of rules from tree ensembles,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Brian Liu , Rahul Mazumder

Ensembles of models often yield improvements in system performance. These ensemble approaches have also been empirically shown to yield robust measures of uncertainty, and are capable of distinguishing between different \emph{forms} of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-27 Andrey Malinin , Bruno Mlodozeniec , Mark Gales