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This article studies exponential families $\mathcal{E}$ on finite sets such that the information divergence $D(P\|\mathcal{E})$ of an arbitrary probability distribution from $\mathcal{E}$ is bounded by some constant $D>0$. A particular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-18 Johannes Rauh

Deep latent variable models (DLVMs) combine the approximation abilities of deep neural networks and the statistical foundations of generative models. Variational methods are commonly used for inference; however, the exact likelihood of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Jes Frellsen

We develop a new framework of uncertainty variables to model uncertainty. An uncertainty variable is characterized by an uncertainty set, in which its realization is bound to lie, while the conditional uncertainty is characterized by a set…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-10 Rajat Talak , Sertac Karaman , Eytan Modiano

This paper considers an empirical likelihood inference for parameters defined by general estimating equations, when data are missing at random. The efficiency of existing estimators depends critically on correctly specifying the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-06 Tianqing Liu , Xiaohui Yuan , Zhaohai Li , Aiyi Liu

We derive concentration inequalities for the supremum norm of the difference between a kernel density estimator (KDE) and its point-wise expectation that hold uniformly over the selection of the bandwidth and under weaker conditions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Jisu Kim , Jaehyeok Shin , Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman

In this paper, we propose an analytical framework to quantify the amount of data samples needed to obtain accurate state estimation in a power system - a problem known as sample complexity analysis in computer science. Motivated by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-20 Joshua Comden , Marcello Colombino , Andrey Bernstein , Zhenhua Liu

Maximum composite likelihood estimation is a useful alternative to maximum likelihood estimation when data arise from data generating processes (DGPs) that do not admit tractable joint specification. We demonstrate that generic composite…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-29 Hien D Nguyen , Jessica Bagnall-Guerreiro , Andrew T Jones

A new tool is proposed for finding out the completeness limit in apparent magnitude of a magnitude-redshift sample. The technique, closely related to the statistical test proposed by Efron & Petrosian (1992), presents a real improvement…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 Stephane Rauzy

As the information available to lay users through autonomous data sources continues to increase, mediators become important to ensure that the wealth of information available is tapped effectively. A key challenge that these information…

Databases · Computer Science 2012-08-29 Rohit Raghunathan , Sushovan De , Subbarao Kambhampati

Statistical sufficiency formalizes the notion of data reduction. In the decision theoretic interpretation, once a model is chosen all inferences should be based on a sufficient statistic. However, suppose we start with a set of procedures…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Vincent Q. Vu

When in a full exponential family the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) does not exist, the MLE may exist in the Barndorff-Nielsen completion of the family. We propose a practical algorithm for finding the MLE in the completion based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-06 Charles J. Geyer

It is well-known that in some situations it is not easy to compute the likelihood function as the datasets might be large or the model is too complex. In that contexts composite likelihood, derived by multiplying the likelihoods of subjects…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-02 Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo , Konstantinos Zografos

The semi-parametric Cox proportional hazards regression model has been widely used for many years in several applied sciences. However, a fully parametric proportional hazards model, if appropriately assumed, can often lead to more…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-29 Amarnath Nandy , Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu , Leandro Pardo

One fundamental goal in any learning algorithm is to mitigate its risk for overfitting. Mathematically, this requires that the learning algorithm enjoys a small generalization risk, which is defined either in expectation or in probability.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-04 Ibrahim Alabdulmohsin

This paper develops a new divergence that generalizes relative entropy and can be used to compare probability measures without a requirement of absolute continuity. We establish properties of the divergence, and in particular derive and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Paul Dupuis , Yixiang Mao

A variety of statistics based on sample spacings has been studied in the literature for testing goodness-of-fit to parametric distributions. To test the goodness-of-fit to a nonparametric class of univariate shape-constrained densities,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Kwun Chuen Gary Chan , Hok Kan Ling , Chuan-Fa Tang , Sheung Chi Phillip Yam

A common statistical task lies in showing asymptotic normality of certain statistics. In many of these situations, classical textbook results on weak convergence theory suffice for the problem at hand. However, there are quite some…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Viktor Bengs , Hajo Holzmann

This paper introduces a declarative framework to specify and reason about distributions of data over computing nodes in a distributed setting. More specifically, it proposes distribution constraints which are tuple and equality generating…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Gaetano Geck , Frank Neven , Thomas Schwentick

We study density estimation in Kullback-Leibler divergence: given an i.i.d. sample from an unknown density $p^\star$, the goal is to construct an estimator $\widehat{p}$ such that $\mathrm{KL}(p^\star,\widehat{p})$ is small with high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Spencer Compton , Gábor Lugosi , Jaouad Mourtada , Jian Qian , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We develop a general framework for proving rigorous guarantees on the performance of the EM algorithm and a variant known as gradient EM. Our analysis is divided into two parts: a treatment of these algorithms at the population level (in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Martin J. Wainwright , Bin Yu
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