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We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Marvin Schmitt , Desi R. Ivanova , Daniel Habermann , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

We present a general result giving us families of incomplete and boundedly complete families of discrete distributions. For such families, the classes of unbiased estimators of zero with finite variance and of parametric functions which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-25 Sumitra Purkayastha

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing for discrete distributions. In the standard model, where we have sample access to an underlying distribution $p$, extensive research has established optimal bounds for uniformity testing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Piotr Indyk , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal

This paper proposes a novel exact maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method for general Gaussian processes, where all parameters are estimated jointly. The exact ML estimator (MLE) is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Tetsuya Takabatake , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

This work performs a non-asymptotic analysis of the generalized Lasso under the assumption of sub-exponential data. Our main results continue recent research on the benchmark case of (sub-)Gaussian sample distributions and thereby explore…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Martin Genzel , Christian Kipp

We propose a general yet simple theorem describing the convergence of SGD under the arbitrary sampling paradigm. Our theorem describes the convergence of an infinite array of variants of SGD, each of which is associated with a specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-22 Robert Mansel Gower , Nicolas Loizou , Xun Qian , Alibek Sailanbayev , Egor Shulgin , Peter Richtarik

Maximum likelihood fits to data can be performed using binned data and unbinned data. The likelihood fits in either case produce only the fitted quantities but not the goodness of fit. With binned data, one can obtain a measure of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Rajendran Raja

Minimization of suitable statistical distances~(between the data and model densities) has proved to be a very useful technique in the field of robust inference. Apart from the class of $\phi$-divergences of \cite{a} and \cite{b}, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Sancharee Basak , Ayanendranath Basu

We propose a new density estimation algorithm. Given $n$ i.i.d. observations from a distribution belonging to a class of densities on $\mathbb{R}^d$, our estimator outputs any density in the class whose "perceptron discrepancy" with the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Patrik Róbert Gerber , Tianze Jiang , Yury Polyanskiy , Rui Sun

Nonconvex optimization is central to modern machine learning, but the general framework of nonconvex optimization yields weak convergence guarantees that are too pessimistic compared to practice. On the other hand, while convexity enables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Artem Riabinin , Ahmed Khaled , Peter Richtárik

We introduce a new notion of the stability of computations, which holds under post-processing and adaptive composition. We show that the notion is both necessary and sufficient to ensure generalization in the face of adaptivity, for any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Katrina Ligett , Moshe Shenfeld

In numerous instances, the generalized exponential distribution can be used as an alternative to the most widely used non-regular family of distributions: Weibull, gamma, lognormal with three-parameters when analyzing lifetime or any skewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Kiran Prajapat , Sharmishtha Mitra , Debasis Kundu

The proportion of false null hypotheses is a very important quantity in statistical modelling and inference based on the two-component mixture model and its extensions, and in control and estimation of the false discovery rate and false…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Xiongzhi Chen

We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

Pseudoentropy characterizations provide a quantitatively precise demonstration of the close relationship between computational hardness and computational randomness. We prove a unified pseudoentropy characterization that generalizes and…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Lunjia Hu , Salil Vadhan

Selective inference methods are developed for group lasso estimators for use with a wide class of distributions and loss functions. The method includes the use of exponential family distributions, as well as quasi-likelihood modeling for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Yiling Huang , Sarah Pirenne , Snigdha Panigrahi , Gerda Claeskens

In classical density (or density-functional) estimation, it is standard to assume that the underlying distribution has a density with respect to the Lebesgue measure. However, when the data distribution is a mixture of continuous and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Aytijhya Saha , Aaditya Ramdas

Standardness is a popular assumption in the literature on set estimation. It also appears in statistical approaches to topological data analysis, where it is common to assume that the data were sampled from a probability measure that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Leonardo Moreno , Beatriz Pateiro-López

We study problem-dependent rates, i.e., generalization errors that scale near-optimally with the variance, the effective loss, or the gradient norms evaluated at the "best hypothesis." We introduce a principled framework dubbed "uniform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-25 Yunbei Xu , Assaf Zeevi

Statistical inference based on divergence measures have a long history. Recently, Maji, Ghosh and Basu (2014) have introduced a general family of divergences called the logarithmic super divergence (LSD) family. This family acts as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-04 Avijit Maji , Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu
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