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Recent years have seen tremendous advances in the theory and application of sequential experiments. While these experiments are not always designed with hypothesis testing in mind, researchers may still be interested in performing tests…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-29 Karun Adusumilli

We consider a nonlinear polynomial regression model in which we wish to test the null hypothesis of structural stability in the regression parameters against the alternative of a break at an unknown time. We derive the extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-23 Alexander Aue , Lajos Horváth , Marie Hušková , Piotr Kokoszka

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

We present supremum Lagrange Multiplier tests to compare a linear ARMA specification against its threshold ARMA extension. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistics both under the null hypothesis and contiguous local…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-19 Greta Goracci , Simone Giannerini , Kung-Sik Chan , Howell Tong

We study goodness-of-fit testing for non-causal autoregressive time series with non-Gaussian stable noise. To model time series exhibiting sharp spikes or occasional bursts of outlying observations, the exponent of the non-Gaussian stable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-19 Yunwei Cui , Rongning Wu , Thomas J. Fisher

We propose a general method for constructing confidence intervals and statistical tests for single or low-dimensional components of a large parameter vector in a high-dimensional model. It can be easily adjusted for multiplicity taking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Sara van de Geer , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov , Ruben Dezeure

Methodology is proposed to uncover structural breaks in functional data that is "fully functional" in the sense that it does not rely on dimension reduction techniques. A thorough asymptotic theory is developed for a fully functional break…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-31 Alexander Aue , Gregory Rice , Ozan Sönmez

This paper studies the validity of nonparametric tests used in the regression discontinuity design. The null hypothesis of interest is that the average treatment effect at the threshold in the so-called sharp design equals a pre-specified…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-16 Vishal Kamat

Consider $d$ dependent change point tests, each based on a CUSUM-statistic. We provide an asymptotic theory that allows us to deal with the maximum over all test statistics as both the sample size $n$ and $d$ tend to infinity. We achieve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Moritz Jirak

Recent advances in Post-Selection Inference have shown that conditional testing is relevant and tractable in high-dimensions. In the Gaussian linear model, further works have derived unconditional test statistics such as the Kac-Rice Pivot…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Jean-Marc Azaïs , Yohann de Castro , Stéphane Mourareau

We revisit the outlier hypothesis testing framework of Li \emph{et al.} (TIT 2014) and derive fundamental limits for the optimal test under the generalized Neyman-Pearson criterion. In outlier hypothesis testing, one is given multiple…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Lin Zhou , Yun Wei , Alfred Hero

The proposed Goodness--of--Fit (GoF) test for checking the linear autocorrelation model in a functional time series is based on an empirical process, whose residual marks and covariate index set are in a separable Hilbert space \mathbb{H}.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-29 W. González-Manteiga , M. D. Ruiz-Medina , M. Febrero-Bande

Widely used methods and software for group sequential tests of a null hypothesis of no treatment difference that allow for early stopping of a clinical trial depend primarily on the fact that sequentially-computed test statistics have the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-19 Anastasios A. Tsiatis , Marie Davidian

We consider the estimation of a structural function which models a non-parametric relationship between a response and an endogenous regressor given an instrument in presence of dependence in the data generating process. Assuming an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Nicolas Asin , Jan Johannes

Hypothesis testing in the linear regression model is a fundamental statistical problem. We consider linear regression in the high-dimensional regime where the number of parameters exceeds the number of samples ($p> n$). In order to make…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Adel Javanmard , Jason D. Lee

There exist a number of tests for assessing the nonparametric heteroscedastic location-scale assumption. Here we consider a goodness-of-fit test for the more general hypothesis of the validity of this model under a parametric functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Marie Hušková , Simos G. Meintanis , Charl Pretorius

Motivated by statistical inference problems in high-dimensional time series data analysis, we first derive non-asymptotic error bounds for Gaussian approximations of sums of high-dimensional dependent random vectors on hyper-rectangles,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Jinyuan Chang , Xiaohui Chen , Mingcong Wu

Variance estimation is important for statistical inference. It becomes non-trivial when observations are masked by serial dependence structures and time-varying mean structures. Existing methods either ignore or sub-optimally handle these…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-03 Kin Wai Chan

This article proposes omnibus portmanteau tests for contrasting adequacy of time series models. The test statistics are based on combining the autocorrelation function of the conditional residuals, the autocorrelation function of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-02 Esam Mahdi

We propose a series-based nonparametric specification test for a regression function when data are spatially dependent, the `space' being of a general economic or social nature. Dependence can be parametric, parametric with increasing…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-30 Abhimanyu Gupta , Xi Qu