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Testing the goodness-of-fit of a functional autoregressive model

Statistics Theory 2026-05-29 v8 Statistics Theory

Abstract

The proposed Goodness--of--Fit (GoF) test for checking the linear autocorrelation model in a functional time series is based on an empirical process, whose residual marks and covariate index set are in a separable Hilbert space \mathbb{H}. A functional central limit theorem is derived providing the convergence of the empirical process to a time-changed Wiener process evaluated in a separable Hilbert space \mathbb{H}, with subordinator given by the marginal probability of the involved strictly stationary Autoregressive Hilbertian process (AR\mathbb{H}(1) process). The large sample behavior of the test statistics is obtained under simple and composite null hypotheses. The consistency of the test is addressed under simple null hypothesis. The finite-sample performance of the testing procedure, under different families of alternatives, and random projection schemes, is illustrated in the Appendix.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2303.09644,
  title  = {Testing the goodness-of-fit of a functional autoregressive model},
  author = {W. González-Manteiga and M. D. Ruiz-Medina and M. Febrero-Bande},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2303.09644},
  year   = {2026}
}