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We study a system whose dynamics are governed by predictions of its future states. A general formalism and concrete examples are presented. We find that the dynamical characteristics depend on how to shape the predictions as well as on how…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 Toru Ohira

This is a guide to the mathematical theory of Brownian motion and related stochastic processes, with indications of how this theory is related to other branches of mathematics, most notably the classical theory of partial differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-28 Jim Pitman , Marc Yor

Stochastic Thermodynamics (ST) extends the notions of classical thermodynamics to trajectories taken from a nonequilibrium ensemble. This extension yields a simple approach to fluctuation relations in small systems. Multiple time- and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-10-19 Bernhard Altaner

Increasing effort is put into the development of methods for learning mechanistic models from data. This task entails not only the accurate estimation of parameters but also a suitable model structure. Recent work on the discovery of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Justin N. Kreikemeyer , Philipp Andelfinger , Adelinde M. Uhrmacher

Biological systems are characterized by the ubiquitous roles of weak, that is, non-covalent molecular interactions, small, often very small, numbers of specific molecules per cell, and Brownian motion. These combine to produce stochastic…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-27 Michael W. Klymkowsky

This thesis is devoted to the study of extreme value statistics in stochastic processes and their applications. In the first part, we obtain exact analytical results on the extreme value statistics of both discrete-time and continuous-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-24 Benjamin De Bruyne

These lecture notes introduce some topics of classical statistical physics, particularly those that are relevant for neural networks and deep learning. Statistical physics is treated as a branch of probability theory or statistics, with the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-05-12 Olaf Hohm

Single-particle traces of the diffusive motion of molecules, cells, or animals are by-now routinely measured, similar to stochastic records of stock prices or weather data. Deciphering the stochastic mechanism behind the recorded dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-14 Henrik Seckler , Janusz Szwabinski , Ralf Metzler

The theory of stochastic resetting asserts that restarting a stochastic process can expedite its completion. In this paper, we study the escape process of a Brownian particle in an open Hamiltonian system that suffers noise-enhanced…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-23 Julia Cantisán , Alexandre R. Nieto , Jesús M. Seoane , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán

Stochastic differential equations are ubiquitous modelling tools in physics and the sciences. In most modelling scenarios, random fluctuations driving dynamics or motion have some non-trivial temporal correlation structure, which renders…

Stochastic mathematical models are essential tools for understanding and predicting complex phenomena. The purpose of this work is to study the exit times of a stochastic dynamical system-specifically, the mean exit time and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Eric José Ávila-Vales , José Villa-Morales

These are lecture notes compiled for a short lecture series at the 2023 Condensed Matter Summer School at the University of Minnesota. They are designed to be conversational and fun, and not to take the place of review articles that do a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-07 Brian Skinner

Supply chain disruptions and volatile demand pose significant challenges to the UK automotive industry, which relies heavily on Just-In-Time (JIT) manufacturing. While qualitative studies highlight the potential of integrating Artificial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 Muhammad Shahnawaz , Adeel Safder

We develop an approach for Bayesian learning of spatiotemporal dynamical mechanistic models. Such learning consists of statistical emulation of the mechanistic system that can efficiently interpolate the output of the system from arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Sudipto Banerjee , Xiang Chen , Ian Frankenburg , Daniel Zhou

We introduce a statistical physics inspired supervised machine learning algorithm for classification and regression problems. The method is based on the invariances or stability of predicted results when known data is represented as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-19 Patrick Chao , Tahereh Mazaheri , Bo Sun , Nicholas B. Weingartner , Zohar Nussinov

Imitation learning is a data-driven approach to acquiring skills that relies on expert demonstrations to learn a policy that maps observations to actions. When performing demonstrations, experts are not always consistent and might…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Sagar Gubbi Venkatesh , Nihesh Rathod , Shishir Kolathaya , Bharadwaj Amrutur

These are lecture notes on the subject defined in the title. As such, they do not pretend to be really new, probably except for the only section about Poisson equations with potentials. Yet, the hope of the author is that they may serve as…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Alexander Veretennikov

The smoothing spline is one of the most popular curve-fitting methods, partly because of empirical evidence supporting its effectiveness and partly because of its elegant mathematical formulation. However, there are two obstacles that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-11 Yu Ryan Yue , Daniel Simpson , Finn Lindgren , Håvard Rue

Studying the properties of stochastic noise to optimize complex non-convex functions has been an active area of research in the field of machine learning. Prior work has shown that the noise of stochastic gradient descent improves…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Aurelien Lucchi , Frank Proske , Antonio Orvieto , Francis Bach , Hans Kersting

Stochastic gradient descent is an optimisation method that combines classical gradient descent with random subsampling within the target functional. In this work, we introduce the stochastic gradient process as a continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Jonas Latz
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