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Stochastic process discovery is concerned with deriving a model capable of reproducing the stochastic character of observed executions of a given process, stored in a log. This leads to an optimisation problem in which the model's parameter…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Pierre Cry , Paolo Ballarini , András Horváth , Pascale Le Gall

We establish a multiparameter extension of the stochastic sewing lemma. This allows us to derive novel regularity estimates on the local time of locally non-deterministic Gaussian fields. These estimates are sufficiently strong to derive…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-24 Florian Bechtold , Fabian A. Harang , Hannes Kern

Time series modeling and forecasting has fundamental importance to various practical domains. Thus a lot of active research works is going on in this subject during several years. Many important models have been proposed in literature for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

These lecture notes were written with the aim to provide an accessible though technically solid introduction to the logic of systematical analyses of statistical data to both undergraduate and postgraduate students, in particular in the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-02 Henk van Elst

Stochastic thermodynamics lays down a broad framework to revisit the venerable concepts of heat, work and entropy production for individual stochastic trajectories of mesoscopic systems. Remarkably, this approach, relying on stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-31 David Guéry-Odelin , Christopher Jarzynski , Carlos A. Plata , Antonio Prados , Emmanuel Trizac

Node-perturbation learning is a type of statistical gradient descent algorithm that can be applied to problems where the objective function is not explicitly formulated, including reinforcement learning. It estimates the gradient of an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-22 Kazuyuki Hara , Kentaro Katahira , Masato Okada

An extension and generalization of a recently presented approach for the analysis of Langevin-type stochastic processes in the presence of strong measurement noise is presented. For a stochastic process in N dimensions which is superimposed…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-10-23 B. Lehle

Stochastic resonance describes the utility of noise in improving the detectability of weak signals in certain types of systems. It has been observed widely in natural and engineered settings, but its utility in image classification with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Siegfried Ludwig

This paper investigates the supervised learning problem with observations drawn from certain general stationary stochastic processes. Here by \emph{general}, we mean that many stationary stochastic processes can be included. We show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-11 Hanyuan Hang , Yunlong Feng , Ingo Steinwart , Johan A. K. Suykens

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are of utmost importance in various scientific and industrial areas. They are the natural description of dynamical processes whose precise equations of motion are either not known or too expensive to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-08 Philipp Frank , Theo Steininger , Torsten A. Enßlin

In this paper we focus on the parameter estimation of dynamic load models with stochastic terms, in particular, load models where protection settings are uncertain, such as in aggregated air conditioning units. We show how the uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Daniel Adrian Maldonado , Vishwas Rao , Mihai Anitescu , Vivak Patel

The technique of stochastic solutions, previously used for deterministic equations, is here proposed as a solution method for partial differential equations driven by distribution-valued noises.

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-22 R. Vilela Mendes

Modern single-particle-tracking techniques produce extensive time-series of diffusive motion in a wide variety of systems, from single-molecule motion in living-cells to movement ecology. The quest is to decipher the physical mechanisms…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-14 Henrik Seckler , Ralf Metzler

Non-spherical particles transported by an anisotropic turbulent flow preferentially align with the mean shear and intermittently tumble when the local strain fluctuates. Such an intricate behaviour is here studied for inertialess,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-12-27 Lorenzo Campana , Mireille Bossy , Jeremie Bec

This study investigates a stochastic production planning problem with regime-switching parameters, inspired by economic cycles impacting production and inventory costs. The model considers types of goods and employs a Markov chain to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Dragos-Patru Covei

Based on the physics of stochastic processes we present a new approach for structural health monitoring. We show that the new method allows for an in-situ analysis of the elastic features of a mechanical structure even for realistic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-08 Philip Rinn , Hendrik Heißelmann , Matthias Wächter , Joachim Peinke

We study the task of learning from non-i.i.d. data. In particular, we aim at learning predictors that minimize the conditional risk for a stochastic process, i.e. the expected loss of the predictor on the next point conditioned on the set…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-15 Alexander Zimin , Christoph H. Lampert

This article is devoted to study stochastic lattice dynamical systems driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(1/2,1)$. First of all, we investigate the existence and uniqueness of pathwise mild solutions to such…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-09-09 Hakima Bessaih , María J. Garrido-Atienza , Xiaoying Han , Björn Schmalfuß

In order to bring contraction analysis into the very fruitful and topical fields of stochastic and Bayesian systems, we extend here the theory describes in \cite{Lohmiller98} to random differential equations. We propose new definitions of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-09-27 Nicolas Tabareau , Jean-Jacques Slotine

Epidemics are inherently stochastic, and stochastic models provide an appropriate way to describe and analyse such phenomena. Given temporal incidence data consisting of, for example, the number of new infections or removals in a given time…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Sam A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Colin S. Gillespie , Theodore Kypraios
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