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We introduce a method combining variational autoencoders (VAEs) and deep metric learning to perform Bayesian optimisation (BO) over high-dimensional and structured input spaces. By adapting ideas from deep metric learning, we use label…

This paper presents an innovative approach to Extreme Value Analysis (EVA) by introducing the Extreme Value Dynamic Benchmarking Method (EVDBM). EVDBM integrates extreme value theory to detect extreme events and is coupled with the novel…

The block maximum method, which is widely used in extreme value analysis, uses a generalized extreme value distribution to approximate that of the maximum of m observations. The quality of this approximation depends on the value of m and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Léo R. Belzile , Anthony C. Davison

A major issue of extreme value analysis is the determination of the shape parameter $\xi$ common to Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) and Generalized Pareto (GP) distributions, which drives the tail behavior, and is of major impact on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Nicolas Bousquet , Merlin Keller

Automatic Machine Learning (Auto-ML) systems tackle the problem of automating the design of prediction models or pipelines for data science. In this paper, we present Lifelong Bayesian Optimization (LBO), an online, multitask Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-24 Yao Zhang , James Jordon , Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

Materials design can be cast as an optimization problem with the goal of achieving desired properties, by varying material composition, microstructure morphology, and processing conditions. Existence of both qualitative and quantitative…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-07-08 Akshay Iyer , Yichi Zhang , Aditya Prasad , Siyu Tao , Yixing Wang , Linda Schadler , L Catherine Brinson , Wei Chen

Robustness to distributional shift is one of the key challenges of contemporary machine learning. Attaining such robustness is the goal of distributionally robust optimization, which seeks a solution to an optimization problem that is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-24 Johannes Kirschner , Ilija Bogunovic , Stefanie Jegelka , Andreas Krause

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful black-box optimization framework that looks to efficiently learn the global optimum of an unknown system by systematically trading-off between exploration and exploitation. However, the use of BO as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Dinesh Krishnamoorthy , Joel A. Paulson

We consider robust optimal experimental design (ROED) for nonlinear Bayesian inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). An optimal design is one that maximizes some utility quantifying the quality of the solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Abhijit Chowdhary , Ahmed Attia , Alen Alexanderian

Extremes play a special role in Anomaly Detection. Beyond inference and simulation purposes, probabilistic tools borrowed from Extreme Value Theory (EVT), such as the angular measure, can also be used to design novel statistical learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-01 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

Bayesian optimization (BO ) is an effective method for optimizing expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions. While high-dimensional problems can be particularly challenging, due to the multitude of parameter choices and the potentially high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Erik Hellsten , Carl Hvarfner , Leonard Papenmeier , Luigi Nardi

Extreme value theory (EVT) has been utilized to estimate crash risk from traffic conflicts with the peak over threshold approach. However, it's challenging to determine a suitable threshold to distinguish extreme conflicts in an objective…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-12-30 Quansheng Yue , Yanyong Guo , Tarek Sayed , Lai Zheng , Hao Lyu , Pan Liu

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a model-based approach to sequentially optimize expensive black-box functions, such as the validation error of a deep neural network with respect to its hyperparameters. In many real-world scenarios, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-17 Valerio Perrone , Iaroslav Shcherbatyi , Rodolphe Jenatton , Cedric Archambeau , Matthias Seeger

We propose a novel deterministic sampling method to approximate a target distribution $\rho^*$ by minimizing the kernel discrepancy, also known as the Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD). By employing the general \emph{energetic variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Yindong Chen , Yiwei Wang , Lulu Kang , Chun Liu

Projections of changes in extreme climate are sometimes predicted by using multi-model ensemble methods such as Bayesian model averaging (BMA) embedded with the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. BMA is a popular method for…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-20 Yonggwan Shin , Youngsaeng Lee , Juntae Choi , Jeong-Soo Park

Electrical discharge machining (EDM) is a crucial process in precision manufacturing, leveraging electro-thermal energy to remove material without electrode contact. In this study, we delve into the realm of Machine Learning (ML) to enhance…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2026-05-15 Mohsen Asghari Ilani , Yaser Mike Banad

Parameter settings profoundly impact the performance of machine learning algorithms and laboratory experiments. The classical grid search or trial-error methods are exponentially expensive in large parameter spaces, and Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-18 Vu Nguyen , Santu Rana , Sunil Gupta , Cheng Li , Svetha Venkatesh

The so-called block-term decomposition (BTD) tensor model, especially in its rank-$(L_r,L_r,1)$ version, has been recently receiving increasing attention due to its enhanced ability of representing systems and signals that are composed of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-04 Paris V. Giampouras , Athanasios A. Rontogiannis , Eleftherios Kofidis

Classical evolutionary approaches for multiobjective optimization are quite accurate but incur a lot of queries to the objectives; this can be prohibitive when objectives are expensive oracles. A sample-efficient approach to solving…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Ashwin Renganathan , Kade E. Carlson

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a sample-efficient approach for tuning design parameters to optimize expensive-to-evaluate, black-box performance metrics. In many manufacturing processes, the design parameters are subject to random input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-06 Samuel Daulton , Sait Cakmak , Maximilian Balandat , Michael A. Osborne , Enlu Zhou , Eytan Bakshy
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