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In a tie-breaker design (TBD), subjects with high values of a running variable are given some (usually desirable) treatment, subjects with low values are not, and subjects in the middle are randomized. TBDs are intermediate between…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Tim P. Morrison , Art B. Owen

Decision making often occurs in the presence of incomplete information, leading to the under- or overestimation of risk. Leveraging the observable information to learn the complete information is called nowcasting. In practice, incomplete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-09 Paul Wilsens , Katrien Antonio , Gerda Claeskens

In robotics, methods and softwares usually require optimizations of hyperparameters in order to be efficient for specific tasks, for instance industrial bin-picking from homogeneous heaps of different objects. We present a developmental…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-31 Maxime Petit , Emmanuel Dellandrea , Liming Chen

Algorithm selection is crucial in the field of optimization, as no single algorithm performs perfectly across all types of optimization problems. Finding the best algorithm among a given set of algorithms for a given problem requires a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Saba Sadeghi Ahouei , Denis Antipov , Aneta Neumann , Frank Neumann

Many real-world applications require solving families of expensive multi-objective optimization problems~(EMOPs) under varying operational conditions. This can be formulated as parametric expensive multi-objective optimization problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Tingyang Wei , Jiao Liu , Abhishek Gupta , Chin Chun Ooi , Puay Siew Tan , Yew-Soon Ong

Time-Varying Bayesian Optimization (TVBO) is the go-to framework for optimizing a time-varying, expensive, noisy black-box function $f$. However, most of the asymptotic guarantees offered by TVBO algorithms rely on the assumption that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-21 Anthony Bardou , Patrick Thiran

Bayesian optimization (BO) provides a powerful framework for optimizing black-box, expensive-to-evaluate functions. It is therefore an attractive tool for engineering design problems, typically involving multiple objectives. Thanks to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Navid Ansari , Alireza Javanmardi , Eyke Hüllermeier , Hans-Peter Seidel , Vahid Babaei

An automatic machine learning (AutoML) task is to select the best algorithm and its hyper-parameters simultaneously. Previously, the hyper-parameters of all algorithms are joint as a single search space, which is not only huge but also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Yi-Qi Hu , Yang Yu , Jun-Da Liao

Preferential Bayesian optimization (PBO) is a framework for optimizing a decision-maker's latent preferences over available design choices. While preferences often involve multiple conflicting objectives, existing work in PBO assumes that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Raul Astudillo , Kejun Li , Maegan Tucker , Chu Xin Cheng , Aaron D. Ames , Yisong Yue

Ecess-over-Threshold method is a crucial technique in extreme value analysis, which approximately models larger observations over a threshold using a Generalized Pareto Distribution. This paper presents a comprehensive framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Yifan Hu , Yanxi Hou

The latent stochastic block model is a flexible and widely used statistical model for the analysis of network data. Extensions of this model to a dynamic context often fail to capture the persistence of edges in contiguous network…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-16 Riccardo Rastelli

The block maxima method is a standard approach for analyzing the extremal behavior of a potentially multivariate time series. It has recently been found that the classical approach based on disjoint block maxima may be universally improved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-26 Axel Bücher , Torben Staud

The objective of this Philosophiae Doctor (Ph.D) thesis is to propose an efficient approach for optimizing a multidisciplinary black-box model when the optimization problem is constrained and involves a large number of mixed integer design…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Paul Saves

In extreme value analysis, sensitivity of inference to the definition of extreme event is a paramount issue. Under the peaks-over-threshold (POT) approach, this translates directly into the need of fitting a Generalized Pareto distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-01 Jessica Silva Lomba , Maria Isabel Fraga Alves

Balancing competing objectives is omnipresent across disciplines, from drug design to autonomous systems. Multi-objective Bayesian optimization is a promising solution for such expensive, black-box problems: it fits probabilistic surrogates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Xinyu Zhang , Conor Hassan , Julien Martinelli , Daolang Huang , Samuel Kaski

In this paper, we have considered a Block-Basu type bivariate Pareto distribution. Here in the standard manner, first Marshall-Olkin type singular bivariate distribution has been constructed, and then by taking away the singular component…

Computation · Statistics 2023-01-18 Biplab Paul , Arabin Kumar Dey

Extreme events in society and nature, such as pandemic spikes, rogue waves, or structural failures, can have catastrophic consequences. Characterizing extremes is difficult as they occur rarely, arise from seemingly benign conditions, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Ethan Pickering , Stephen Guth , George Em Karniadakis , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

We efficiently solve the optimal multi-dimensional mechanism design problem for independent bidders with arbitrary demand constraints when either the number of bidders is a constant or the number of items is a constant. In the first…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2011-12-20 Constantinos Daskalakis , S. Matthew Weinberg

The goal of Multi-task Bayesian Optimization (MBO) is to minimize the number of queries required to accurately optimize a target black-box function, given access to offline evaluations of other auxiliary functions. When offline datasets are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Kourosh Hakhamaneshi , Pieter Abbeel , Vladimir Stojanovic , Aditya Grover

First Order Bayesian Optimization (FOBO) is a sample efficient sequential approach to find the global maxima of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box objective function by suitably querying for the function and its gradient evaluations. Such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Utkarsh Prakash , Aryan Chollera , Kushagra Khatwani , Prabuchandran K. J. , Tejas Bodas
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