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Estimation and inference on causal parameters is typically reduced to a generalized method of moments problem, which involves auxiliary functions that correspond to solutions to a regression or classification problem. Recent line of work on…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-16 Qizhao Chen , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Morgane Austern

The Italian National Institute for Statistics regularly provides estimates of unemployment indicators using data from the Labor Force Survey. However, direct estimates of unemployment incidence cannot be released for Local Labor Market…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-23 Maria Francesca Marino , Maria Giovanna Ranalli , Nicola Salvati , Marco Alfo'

The American Community Survey (ACS) provides one-year (1y), three-year (3y) and five-year (5y) multi-year estimates (MYEs) of various demographic and economic variables for each "community", although the 1y and 3y may not be available for…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-09 Tucker McElroy

Estimating characteristics of domains (referred to as small areas) within a population from sample surveys of the population is an important problem in survey statistics. In this paper, we consider model-based small area estimation under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Ziyang Lyu , A. H. Welsh

In modern statistics, interests shift from pursuing the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator to reducing mean squared error (MSE) or residual squared error. Shrinkage based estimation and regression methods offer better prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Tianyu Zhan , Haoda Fu , Jian Kang

The term ``empirical predictor'' refers to a two-stage predictor of a linear combination of fixed and random effects. In the first stage, a predictor is obtained but it involves unknown parameters; thus, in the second stage, the unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kalyan Das , Jiming Jiang , J. N. K. Rao

Researchers may perform regressions using a sketch of data of size $m$ instead of the full sample of size $n$ for a variety of reasons. This paper considers the case when the regression errors do not have constant variance and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-23 Sokbae Lee , Serena Ng

We introduce a new method for estimating the mean of an outcome variable within groups when researchers only observe the average of the outcome and group indicators across a set of aggregation units, such as geographical areas. Existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Cory McCartan , Shiro Kuriwaki

This paper develops a difference-in-differences (DiD) estimation method that selects the optimal length of pre-trends by minimizing the mean squared error (MSE). Conventional DiD regression models, such as the two-way fixed effects model or…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-07 Yamato Igarashi

Auxiliary information is frequently utilized in survey sampling to improve the efficiency of estimators of the finite population mean. However, the simultaneous use of multiple auxiliary variables often induces multicollinearity, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 Rajesh Singh , Shobh Nath Tiwari

In the analysis of survey data it is of interest to estimate and quantify uncertainty about means or totals for each of several non-overlapping subpopulations, or areas. When the sample size for a given area is small, standard confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Kyle Burris , Peter Hoff

The multivariate errors-in-variables regression model is applicable when both dependent and independent variables in a multivariate regression are subject to measurement errors. In such a scenario it is long established that the traditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Johannes Lutzeyer , Edward A. K. Cohen

Despite the simplicity and intuitive interpretation of Minimum Mean Squared Error (MMSE) estimators, their effectiveness in certain scenarios is questionable. Indeed, minimizing squared errors on average does not provide any form of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-09 Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Luiz F. O. Chamon , George J. Pappas , Alejandro Ribeiro

A model-assisted semiparametric method of estimating finite population totals is investigated to improve the precision of survey estimators by incorporating multivariate auxiliary information. The proposed superpopulation model is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Lily Wang

This paper proposes a family of estimators of population mean using information on several auxiliary variables and analyzes its properties in the presence of measurement errors.

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jack Allen , Housila P. Singh , Florentin Smarandache

We consider the estimation of a scalar parameter, when two estimators are available. The first is always consistent. The second is inconsistent in general, but has a smaller asymptotic variance than the first, and may be consistent if an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille

An ever-increasing deluge of big data is becoming available to national statistical offices globally, but it is well documented that statistics produced by big data alone often suffer from selection bias and are not usually representative…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-29 Ryan Covey

A bilateral (i.e., upper and lower) bound on the mean-square error under a general model mismatch is developed. The bound, which is derived from the variational representation of the chi-square divergence, is applicable in the Bayesian and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-16 Amir Weiss , Alejandro Lancho , Yuheng Bu , Gregory W. Wornell

State estimation is a classical problem in quantum information. In optimization of estimation scheme, to find a lower bound to the error of the estimator is a very important step. So far, all the proposed tractable lower bounds use…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Yoshiyuki Tsuda , Keiji Matsumoto

This paper gives a replica analysis for the minimum mean square error (MSE) of a massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) system by using Bayesian inference. The Bayes-optimal estimator is adopted to estimate the data symbols and the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Chao-Kai Wen , Yongpeng Wu , Kai-Kit Wong , Robert Schober , Pangan Ting