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The rich history of observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs) does not yet include a well-established framework for using climate models. The need for a climate OSSE is triggered by the need to quantify the value of a particular…

A high degree of consensus exists in the climate sciences over the role that human interference with the atmosphere is playing in changing the climate. Following the Paris Agreement, a similar consensus exists in the policy community over…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-07-02 J-F Mercure , H. Pollitt , N. R. Edwards , P. B. Holden , U. Chewpreecha , P. Salas , A. Lam , F. Knobloch , J. Vinuales

Global non-hydrostatic atmospheric models are becoming increasingly important for studying the climates of planets and exoplanets. However, such models suffer from computational difficulties due to the large aspect ratio between the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-12 Huazhi Ge , Cheng Li , Xi Zhang , Dongwook Lee

Climate projections continue to be marred by large uncertainties, which originate in processes that need to be parameterized, such as clouds, convection, and ecosystems. But rapid progress is now within reach. New computational tools and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Tapio Schneider , Shiwei Lan , Andrew Stuart , João Teixeira

Global Climate Model (GCM) tuning (calibration) is a tedious and time-consuming process, with high-dimensional input and output fields. Experts typically tune by iteratively running climate simulations with hand-picked values of tuning…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-15 Drew Yarger , Benjamin Wagman , Lyndsay Shand , Kenny Chowdhary

Global data assimilation enables weather forecasting at all scales and provides valuable data for studying the Earth system. However, the computational demands of physics-based algorithms used in operational systems limits the volume and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Thomas J. Vandal , Kate Duffy , Daniel McDuff , Yoni Nachmany , Chris Hartshorn

Aerosol particles play an important role in the climate system by absorbing and scattering radiation and influencing cloud properties. They are also one of the biggest sources of uncertainty for climate modeling. Many climate models do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Paula Harder , Duncan Watson-Parris , Philip Stier , Dominik Strassel , Nicolas R. Gauger , Janis Keuper

This paper introduces PINT (Physics-Informed Neural Time Series Models), a framework that integrates physical constraints into neural time series models to improve their ability to capture complex dynamics. We apply PINT to the ERA5…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Keonvin Park , Jisu Kim , Jaemin Seo

Complex physical models are the most advanced tools available for producing realistic simulations of the climate system. However, such levels of realism imply high computational cost and restrictions on their use for policymaking and risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-03 Francisco Estrada , Oscar Calderón-Bustamante , Wouter Botzen , Julián A. Velasco , Richard S. J. Tol

Aerosol particles play an important role in the climate system by absorbing and scattering radiation and influencing cloud properties. They are also one of the biggest sources of uncertainty for climate modeling. Many climate models do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Paula Harder , Duncan Watson-Parris , Dominik Strassel , Nicolas Gauger , Philip Stier , Janis Keuper

An accurate estimate of the energy budget (heating and cooling) of the ionosphere and thermosphere, especially during space weather events, has been a challenge. The abundance of Nitric Oxide (NO), a minor species in the thermosphere, is an…

Space Physics · Physics 2019-01-23 Cissi Y. Lin , Yue Deng , Karthik Venkataramani , Justin Yonker , Scott M. Bailey

Operational weather prediction at kilometer scales remains computationally prohibitive for traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, limiting forecast access for applications in energy, agriculture, and disaster management that…

Physics-based Earth system models (ESMs) are essential for attributing climate change and generating scenario projections, yet their reliance on high-resolution numerical integration makes multi-decadal experiments expensive. In parallel,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-18 Hira Saleem , Flora Salim , Cormac Purcell

Quantifying the impacts of anthropogenic global warming requires accurate Earth system model (ESM) simulations. Statistical bias correction and downscaling can be applied to reduce errors and increase the resolution of ESMs. However,…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-06-24 Philipp Hess , Niklas Boers

Remote sensing observations of the Earth's surface are frequently stymied by clouds, water vapour, and aerosols in our atmosphere. These degrade or preclude the measurementof quantities critical to scientific and, hence, societal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-07-19 Angelina Agabin , J. Xavier Prochaska , Peter C. Cornillon , Christian E. Buckingham

Accurately describing the distribution of CO$_2$ in the atmosphere with atmospheric tracer transport models is essential for greenhouse gas monitoring and verification support systems to aid implementation of international climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Vitus Benson , Ana Bastos , Christian Reimers , Alexander J. Winkler , Fanny Yang , Markus Reichstein

Climate models, such as Earth system models (ESMs), are crucial for simulating future climate change based on projected Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. While ESMs are sophisticated and invaluable,…

Clouds play a key role in regulating climate change but are difficult to simulate within Earth system models (ESMs). Improving the representation of clouds is one of the key tasks towards more robust climate change projections. This study…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-28 A. Kaps , A. Lauer , G. Camps-Valls , P. Gentine , L. Gómez-Chova , V. Eyring

Cloud-related parameterizations remain a leading source of uncertainty in climate projections. Although machine learning holds promise for Earth system models (ESMs), many data-driven parameterizations lack interpretability, physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-25 Arthur Grundner , Tom Beucler , Julien Savre , Axel Lauer , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring