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Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

This research paper addresses the challenge of detecting obscured wildfires (when the fire flames are covered by trees, smoke, clouds, and other natural barriers) in real-time using drones equipped only with RGB cameras. We propose a novel…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Uma Meleti , Abolfazl Razi

Fire is characterized by its sudden onset and destructive power, making early fire detection crucial for ensuring human safety and protecting property. With the advancement of deep learning, the application of computer vision in fire…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Ziqi Zhang , Xiuzhuang Zhou , Xiangyang Gong

Denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) are becoming the leading paradigm for generative models. It has recently shown breakthroughs in audio synthesis, time series imputation and forecasting. In this paper, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Xinyu Yuan , Yan Qiao

Forecasting models that are trained across sets of many time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), have shown recently promising results in forecasting competitions and real-world applications, outperforming many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-07 Kasun Bandara , Hansika Hewamalage , Yuan-Hao Liu , Yanfei Kang , Christoph Bergmeir

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have achieved remarkable success through large-scale pretraining. However, their design primarily targets real-valued series, limiting their ability to handle general forecasting tasks involving diverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Lu Han , Yu Liu , Lan Li , Qiwen Deng , Jian Jiang , Yinbo Sun , Zhe Yu , Binfeng Wang , Xingyu Lu , Lintao Ma , Han-Jia Ye , De-Chuan Zhan

Time series forecasting holds significant value in various domains such as economics, traffic, energy, and AIOps, as accurate predictions facilitate informed decision-making. However, the existing Mean Squared Error (MSE) loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Xiangfei Qiu , Xingjian Wu , Hanyin Cheng , Xvyuan Liu , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang

Time-series forecasting is fundamental in industrial domains like manufacturing and smart factories. As systems evolve toward automation, models must operate on edge devices (e.g., PLCs, microcontrollers) with strict constraints on latency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Jaehoon Lee , Seungwoo Lee , Younghwi Kim , Dohee Kim , Sunghyun Sim

Anomaly detection significantly enhances the robustness of cloud systems. While neural network-based methods have recently demonstrated strong advantages, they encounter practical challenges in cloud environments: the contradiction between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Feiyi Chen , Yingying zhang , Zhen Qin , Lunting Fan , Renhe Jiang , Yuxuan Liang , Qingsong Wen , Shuiguang Deng

High-resolution time series data are crucial for the operation and planning of energy systems such as electrical power systems and heating systems. Such data often cannot be shared due to privacy concerns, necessitating the use of synthetic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Nan Lin , Peter Palensky , Pedro P. Vergara

In edge computing, users' service profiles are migrated due to user mobility. Reinforcement learning (RL) frameworks have been proposed to do so, often trained on simulated data. However, existing RL frameworks overlook occasional server…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Marie Siew , Shikhar Sharma , Zekai Li , Kun Guo , Chao Xu , Tania Lorido-Botran , Tony Q. S. Quek , Carlee Joe-Wong

Time series forecasting has become a critical task due to its high practicality in real-world applications such as traffic, energy consumption, economics and finance, and disease analysis. Recent deep-learning-based approaches have shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Youngin Cho , Daejin Kim , Dongmin Kim , Mohammad Azam Khan , Jaegul Choo

Separating multiple effects in time series is fundamental yet challenging for time-series forecasting (TSF). However, existing TSF models cannot effectively learn interpretable multi-effect decomposition by their smoothing-based temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Runze Yang , Longbing Cao , Xiaoming Wu , Xin You , Kun Fang , Jianxun Li , Jie Yang

Many methods for time-series forecasting are known in classical statistics, such as autoregression, moving averages, and exponential smoothing. The DeepAR framework is a novel, recent approach for time-series forecasting based on deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Ayla Jungbluth , Johannes Lederer

The challenge of effectively learning inter-series correlations for multivariate time series forecasting remains a substantial and unresolved problem. Traditional deep learning models, which are largely dependent on the Transformer paradigm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Wanlin Cai , Kun Wang , Hao Wu , Xiaoxu Chen , Yuankai Wu

Accurate time series forecasting is a fundamental challenge in data science. It is often affected by external covariates such as weather or human intervention, which in many applications, may be predicted with reasonable accuracy. We refer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Jimeng Shi , Rukmangadh Myana , Vitalii Stebliankin , Azam Shirali , Giri Narasimhan

Detecting and analyzing complex patterns in multivariate time-series data is crucial for decision-making in urban and environmental system operations. However, challenges arise from the high dimensionality, intricate complexity, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Haowen Xu , Ali Boyaci , Jianming Lian , Aaron Wilson

Multivariate time series forecasting is essential in domains such as finance, transportation, climate, and energy. However, existing patch-based methods typically adopt fixed-length segmentation, overlooking the heterogeneity of local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Kuiye Ding , Fanda Fan , Chunyi Hou , Zheya Wang , Lei Wang , Zhengxin Yang , Jianfeng Zhan

The rise of foundation models has revolutionized natural language processing and computer vision, yet their best practices to time series forecasting remains underexplored. Existing time series foundation models often adopt methodologies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xiaobin Hong , Jiawen Zhang , Wenzhong Li , Sanglu Lu , Jia Li

This paper presents $\mathbf{OLinear}$, a $\mathbf{linear}$-based multivariate time series forecasting model that operates in an $\mathbf{o}$rthogonally transformed domain. Recent forecasting models typically adopt the temporal forecast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Wenzhen Yue , Yong Liu , Haoxuan Li , Hao Wang , Xianghua Ying , Ruohao Guo , Bowei Xing , Ji Shi
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