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Accurate simulation of complex physical systems enables the development, testing, and certification of control strategies before they are deployed into the real systems. As simulators become more advanced, the analytical tractability of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Lucas Barcelos , Rafael Oliveira , Rafael Possas , Lionel Ott , Fabio Ramos

Bayesian parameter inference for complex stochastic simulators is challenging due to intractable likelihood functions. Existing simulation-based inference methods often require large number of simulations and become costly to use in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Vasilis Gkolemis , Christos Diou , Michael U. Gutmann

We consider a linear stochastic fluid network under Markov modulation, with a focus on the probability that the joint storage level attains a value in a rare set at a given point in time. The main objective is to develop efficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-09 Onno Boxma , Ewan Cahen , David Koops , Michel Mandjes

This research addresses accurate option pricing by employing models beyond the traditional Black-Scholes framework. While Black-Scholes provides a closed-form solution, it is limited by assumptions of constant volatility, no dividends, and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-08 Karmanpartap Singh Sidhu , Pranshi Saxena

The rough Heston model is a very popular recent model in mathematical finance; however, the lack of Markov and semimartingale properties poses significant challenges in both theory and practice. A way to resolve this problem is to use…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-14 Christian Bayer , Simon Breneis

This paper studies a non-random-walk Markov Chain Monte Carlo method, namely the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method in the context of Subset Simulation used for structural reliability analysis. The HMC method relies on a deterministic…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-20 Ziqi Wang , Marco Broccardo , Junho Song

The HEat modulated Infinite DImensional Heston (HEIDIH) model and its numerical approximation are introduced and analyzed. This model falls into the general framework of infinite dimensional Heston stochastic volatility models of (F.E.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-11 Fred Espen Benth , Gabriel Lord , Giulia Di Nunno , Andreas Petersson

Deep learning is a powerful tool whose applications in quantitative finance are growing every day. Yet, artificial neural networks behave as black boxes and this hinders validation and accountability processes. Being able to interpret the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-20 Damiano Brigo , Xiaoshan Huang , Andrea Pallavicini , Haitz Saez de Ocariz Borde

We introduce the Volterra Stein-Stein model with stochastic interest rates, where both volatility and interest rates are driven by correlated Gaussian Volterra processes. This framework unifies various well-known Markovian and non-Markovian…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-17 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Donatien Hainaut , Edouard Motte

This paper discusses the efficient Bayesian estimation of a multivariate factor stochastic volatility (Factor MSV) model with leverage. We propose a novel approach to construct the sampling schemes that converges to the posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-14 David Gunawan , Chris Carter , Robert Kohn

We propose a new scheme for the long time approximation of a diffusion when the drift vector field is not globally Lipschitz. Under this assumption, regular explicit Euler scheme --with constant or decreasing step-- may explode and implicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Vincent Lemaire

This paper investigates Merton's portfolio problem in a rough stochastic environment described by Volterra Heston model. The model has a non-Markovian and non-semimartingale structure. By considering an auxiliary random process, we solve…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-20 Bingyan Han , Hoi Ying Wong

We investigate relaxation and correlations in a class of mean-reverting models for stochastic variances. We derive closed-form expressions for the correlation functions and leverage for a general form of the stochastic term. We also discuss…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-12 M. Dashti Moghaddam , Zhiyuan Liu , R. A. Serota

The Heston model is a well-known two-dimensional financial model. Because the Heston model contains implicit parameters that cannot be determined directly from real market data, calibrating the parameters to real market data is challenging.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-16 Anna Clevenhaus , Claudia Totzeck , Matthias Ehrhardt

We propose the use of statistical emulators for the purpose of valuing mortality-linked contracts in stochastic mortality models. Such models typically require (nested) evaluation of expected values of nonlinear functionals of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-15 James Risk , Michael Ludkovski

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are popular models to identify a finite number of latent states from sequential data. However, fitting them to large data sets can be computationally demanding because most likelihood maximization techniques…

We present an efficient algorithm for the inference of stochastic block models in large networks. The algorithm can be used as an optimized Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method, with a fast mixing time and a much reduced susceptibility to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-01-14 Tiago P. Peixoto

There has been considerable recent interest in Bayesian modeling of high-dimensional networks via latent space approaches. When the number of nodes increases, estimation based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo can be extremely slow and show poor…

Computation · Statistics 2022-05-30 Emanuele Aliverti , Massimiliano Russo

The paper is an extended and modified version of the preprint S.Boyarchenko and S.Levendorski\u{i} ``Correct implied volatility shapes and reliable pricing in the rough Heston model". We combine a modification of the Adams method with the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-26 Svetlana Boyarchenko , Marco de Innocentis , Sergei Levendorskiĭ

An algorithm for a family of self-starting high-order implicit time integration schemes with controllable numerical dissipation is proposed for both linear and nonlinear transient problems. This work builds on the previous works of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Daniel O'Shea , Xiaoran Zhang , Shayan Mohammadian , Chongmin Song
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