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Likelihood-free inference (LFI) has been successfully applied to state-space models, where the likelihood of observations is not available but synthetic observations generated by a black-box simulator can be used for inference instead.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Alexander Aushev , Thong Tran , Henri Pesonen , Andrew Howes , Samuel Kaski

In budget-constrained settings aimed at mitigating unfairness, like law enforcement, it is essential to prioritize the sources of unfairness before taking measures to mitigate them in the real world. Unlike previous works, which only serve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Pavan Ravishankar , Pranshu Malviya , Balaraman Ravindran

Estimating causal effects from observational data requires identifying valid adjustment sets. This task is especially challenging in realistic settings where latent confounding and feedback loops are present. Existing approaches typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Ana Leticia Garcez Vicente , Gijs van Seeventer , Saber Salehkaleybar

Algorithmic fairness in decision-making has been studied extensively in static settings where one-shot decisions are made on tasks such as classification. However, in practice most decision-making processes are of a sequential nature, where…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Xueru Zhang , Mingyan Liu

Unsupervised exploration and representation learning become increasingly important when learning in diverse and sparse environments. The information-theoretic principle of empowerment formalizes an unsupervised exploration objective through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-24 Jonathan Binas , Sherjil Ozair , Yoshua Bengio

This paper compares two leading approaches for robust optimization in the models of online algorithms and mechanism design. Competitive analysis compares the performance of an online algorithm to an offline benchmark in worst-case over…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Jason Hartline , Aleck Johnsen , Yingkai Li

In this work we discuss a novel model prior probability for variable selection in linear regression. The idea is to determine the prior mass in an objective sense, by considering the worth of each of the possible regression models, given…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-29 Cristiano Villa , Jeong Eun Lee

Dependent nonparametric processes extend distributions over measures, such as the Dirichlet process and the beta process, to give distributions over collections of measures, typically indexed by values in some covariate space. Such models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-21 Nicholas J. Foti , Sinead Williamson

Decision making in modern stochastic systems, including e-commerce platforms, financial markets and healthcare systems, has evolved into a multifaceted process that combines information acquisition and adaptive information sources. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Renyuan Xu , Thaleia Zariphopoulou , Luhao Zhang

When decision-makers can directly intervene, policy evaluation algorithms give valid causal estimates. In off-policy evaluation (OPE), there may exist unobserved variables that both impact the dynamics and are used by the unknown behavior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-05 David Bruns-Smith

We study the problem of {\em impartial selection}, a topic that lies at the intersection of computational social choice and mechanism design. The goal is to select the most popular individual among a set of community members. The input can…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Ioannis Caragiannis , George Christodoulou , Nicos Protopapas

In many practical scenarios, the dynamical system is not available and standard data assimilation methods are not applicable. Our objective is to construct a data-driven model for state estimation without the underlying dynamics. Instead of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-19 Ziyi Wang , Lijian Jiang

The presented paper tackles the problem of modeling an unknown function, and its first $r-1$ derivatives, out of scattered and poor-quality data. The considered setting embraces a large number of use cases addressed in the literature and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-28 Biagio Trimarchi , Lorenzo Gentilini , Fabrizio Schiano , Lorenzo Marconi

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian approach for multiscale problems with the availability of dynamic observational data. Our method selects important degrees of freedom probabilistically in a Generalized multiscale finite element method…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-18 Siu Wun Cheung , Nilabja Guha

Bayesian persuasion, a central model in information design, studies how a sender, who privately observes a state drawn from a prior distribution, strategically sends a signal to influence a receiver's action. A key assumption is that both…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Jingwu Tang , Jiahao Zhang , Fei Fang , Zhiwei Steven Wu

We study the problem of designing optimal learning and decision-making formulations when only historical data is available. Prior work typically commits to a particular class of data-driven formulation and subsequently tries to establish…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-13 Amine Bennouna , Bart P. G. Van Parys

We address the problem of planning under uncertainty, where an agent must choose actions that not only achieve desired outcomes but also reduce uncertainty. Traditional methods often treat exploration and exploitation as separate…

An "element-free" probability distribution is what remains of a probability distribution after we forget the elements to which the probabilities were assigned. These objects naturally arise in Bayesian statistics, in situations where…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Victor Blanchi , Hugo Paquet

We study the problem of choosing optimal policy rules in uncertain environments using models that may be incomplete and/or partially identified. We consider a policymaker who wishes to choose a policy to maximize a particular counterfactual…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-22 Thomas M. Russell

Motivated by real-world machine learning applications, we consider a statistical classification task in a sequential setting where test samples arrive sequentially. In addition, the generating distributions are unknown and only a set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-11 Mahdi Haghifam , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Ashish Khisti