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Accurate condition monitoring of industrial equipment requires inferring latent degradation parameters from indirect sensor measurements under uncertainty. While traditional Bayesian methods like Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Peter Collett , Alexander Johannes Stasik , Simone Casolo , Signe Riemer-Sørensen

MicroBooNE is a liquid-argon-based neutrino experiment, which began collecting data in Fermilab's Booster neutrino beam in October 2015. Physics goals of the experiment include probing the source of the anomalous excess of electron-like…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2017-05-16 Marco Del Tutto

Scientific modeling and engineering applications rely heavily on parameter estimation methods to fit physical models and calibrate numerical simulations using real-world measurements. In the absence of analytic statistical models with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Ruoxi Jiang , Peter Y. Lu , Rebecca Willett

Neutrino oscillation experiments use Monte Carlo event generators to predict neutrino-nucleus interactions. Cross section uncertainties are typically implemented by varying the parameters of the model(s) used in the generator. We study the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-12-03 Jean Wolfs , Chris M. Marshall

Neural networks are being extensively used for modelling data, especially in the case where no likelihood can be formulated. Although in the case of X-ray spectral fitting, the likelihood is known, we aim to investigate the neural networks…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-22 Didier Barret , Simon Dupourqué

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables parameter estimation for complex stochastic models with intractable likelihoods when model simulation is feasible. Neural posterior estimation (NPE) is a popular SBI approach that often achieves…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Ryan P. Kelly , David T. Frazier , David J. Warne , Christopher C. Drovandi

Simulation Based Inference (SBI) is shown to yield more accurate resonance parameter estimates than traditional chi-squared minimization in certain cases of model misspecification, demonstrated through a case study of pi-pi scattering and…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-07-28 Daniel Sadasivan , Isaac Cordero , Andrew Graham , Cecilia Marsh , Daniel Kupcho , Melana Mourad , Maxim Mai

In neutrino oscillation experiments, neutrino interactions at the detector are simulated using event generators which attempt to reflect our understanding of nuclear physics. We study the impact of different neutrino interactions and…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2014-04-23 Pilar Coloma , Patrick Huber , Chun-Min Jen , Camillo Mariani

Upcoming experiments need improved simulations of neutrino scattering. This work uses the popular GENIE event generator to test a variety of neutrino interaction models against recent MicroBooNE measurements of pionless charged-current…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-05-18 Liang Liu , Steven Gardiner , Steven Dytman

Modelling and reconstructing neutrino-nucleus scattering is difficult, but it is crucial to do it precisely to enable next-generation oscillation measurements. Liquid argon time projection chambers (LArTPCs), such as MicroBooNE, can be the…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-06-05 Holly B. Parkinson , for the MicroBooNE Collaboration

New neutrino interactions beyond the Standard Model (BSM) have been of much interest in not only particle physics but also cosmology and astroparticle physics. We numerically investigate the time delay distribution of astrophysical…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-02-24 Jose Alonso Carpio , Kohta Murase

The Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) and Hyper-Kamiokande (Hyper-K) will measure neutrino oscillation parameters with an unprecedented precision that requires neutrino energy estimation to be controlled at the few-MeV level. A…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2026-05-28 Stephen Dolan , Jake McKean , Laura Munteanu

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables amortized Bayesian inference by first training a neural posterior estimator (NPE) on prior-simulator pairs, typically through low-dimensional summary statistics, which can then be cheaply reused for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Sherman Khoo , Dennis Prangle , Song Liu , Mark Beaumont

Accurately estimating parameters of physiological models is essential to achieving reliable digital twins. For Type 1 Diabetes, this is particularly challenging due to the complexity of glucose-insulin interactions. Traditional methods…

Primary challenges for current and future precision neutrino experiments using liquid argon time projection chambers (LArTPCs) include understanding detector effects and quantifying the associated systematic uncertainties. This paper…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2022-06-20 MicroBooNE collaboration , P. Abratenko , R. An , J. Anthony , L. Arellano , J. Asaadi , A. Ashkenazi , S. Balasubramanian , B. Baller , C. Barnes , G. Barr , V. Basque , L. Bathe-Peters , O. Benevides Rodrigues , S. Berkman , A. Bhanderi , A. Bhat , M. Bishai , A. Blake , T. Bolton , J. Y. Book , L. Camilleri , D. Caratelli , I. Caro Terrazas , F. Cavanna , G. Cerati , Y. Chen , D. Cianci , J. M. Conrad , M. Convery , L. Cooper-Troendle , J. I. Crespo-Anadón , M. Del Tutto , S. R. Dennis , P. Detje , A. Devitt , R. Diurba , R. Dorrill , K. Duffy , S. Dytman , B. Eberly , A. Ereditato , J. J. Evans , R. Fine , G. A. Fiorentini Aguirre , R. S. Fitzpatrick , B. T. Fleming , N. Foppiani , D. Franco , A. P. Furmanski , D. Garcia-Gamez , S. Gardiner , G. Ge , S. Gollapinni , O. Goodwin , E. Gramellini , P. Green , H. Greenlee , W. Gu , R. Guenette , P. Guzowski , L. Hagaman , O. Hen , C. Hilgenberg , G. A. Horton-Smith , A. Hourlier , R. Itay , C. James , X. Ji , L. Jiang , J. H. Jo , R. A. Johnson , Y. -J. Jwa , D. Kalra , N. Kamp , N. Kaneshige , G. Karagiorgi , W. Ketchum , M. Kirby , T. Kobilarcik , I. Kreslo , I. Lepetic , K. Li , Y. Li , K. Lin , B. R. Littlejohn , W. C. Louis , X. Luo , K. Manivannan , C. Mariani , D. Marsden , J. Marshall , D. A. Martinez Caicedo , K. Mason , A. Mastbaum , N. McConkey , V. Meddage , T. Mettler , K. Miller , J. Mills , K. Mistry , A. Mogan , T. Mohayai , J. Moon , M. Mooney , A. F. Moor , C. D. Moore , L. Mora Lepin , J. Mousseau , M. Murphy , D. Naples , A. Navrer-Agasson , M. Nebot-Guinot , R. K. Neely , D. A. Newmark , J. Nowak , M. Nunes , O. Palamara , V. Paolone , A. Papadopoulou , V. Papavassiliou , S. F. Pate , N. Patel , A. Paudel , Z. Pavlovic , E. Piasetzky , I. D. Ponce-Pinto , S. Prince , X. Qian , J. L. Raaf , V. Radeka , A. Rafique , M. Reggiani-Guzzo , L. Ren , L. C. J. Rice , L. Rochester , J. Rodriguez Rondon , M. Rosenberg , M. Ross-Lonergan , G. Scanavini , D. W. Schmitz , A. Schukraft , W. Seligman , M. H. Shaevitz , R. Sharankova , J. Shi , J. Sinclair , A. Smith , E. L. Snider , M. Soderberg , S. Söldner-Rembold , P. Spentzouris , J. Spitz , M. Stancari , J. St. John , T. Strauss , K. Sutton , S. Sword-Fehlberg , A. M. Szelc , W. Tang , K. Terao , C. Thorpe , D. Totani , M. Toups , Y. -T. Tsai , M. A. Uchida , T. Usher , W. Van De Pontseele , B. Viren , M. Weber , H. Wei , Z. Williams , S. Wolbers , T. Wongjirad , M. Wospakrik , K. Wresilo , N. Wright , W. Wu , E. Yandel , T. Yang , G. Yarbrough , L. E. Yates , H. W. Yu , G. P. Zeller , J. Zennamo , C. Zhang

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is a method to perform inference on a variety of complex scientific models with challenging inference (inverse) problems. Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) aims to efficiently use experimental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-13 Vincent D. Zaballa , Elliot E. Hui

Non-standard neutrino interactions (NSI) affect both their propagation through matter and their detection, with bounds on NSI parameters coming from various astrophysical and terrestrial neutrino experiments. In this paper, we show that NSI…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-08-31 Bhaskar Dutta , Shu Liao , Louis E. Strigari , Joel W. Walker

A growing family of approaches to causal inference rely on Bayesian formulations of assumptions that go beyond causal graph structure. For example, Bayesian approaches have been developed for analyzing instrumental variable designs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Sam Witty , David Jensen , Vikash Mansinghka

The simulation of the neutrino interaction is a crucial step in the simulation chain of a neutrino experiment. The different processes taking part in the neutrino scattering on a nucleus require several approximations in order to make the…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2021-10-27 Johannes Schumann , Bouke Jung

The formalism of non-standard four-fermion interactions provides a convenient, model-independent way of parameterizing a wide class of ``new physics'' scenarios. In this article, we study the performance of reactor and superbeam neutrino…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2008-11-26 Joachim Kopp , Manfred Lindner , Toshihiko Ota , Joe Sato