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We consider the problem of detecting the source of a rumor which has spread in a network using only observations about which set of nodes are infected with the rumor and with no information as to \emph{when} these nodes became infected. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-04 Devavrat Shah , Tauhid Zaman

We provide a systematic study of the problem of finding the source of a rumor in a network. We model rumor spreading in a network with a variant of the popular SIR model and then construct an estimator for the rumor source. This estimator…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-11-03 Devavrat Shah , Tauhid Zaman

Rumor and information spreading are natural processes that emerge from human-to-human interaction. Mathematically, this was explored in the popular Maki-Thompson model, where a phase transition was thought to be absent. Here, we show that a…

We consider the so-called Independent Cascade Model for rumor spreading or epidemic processes popularized by Kempe et al.\ [2003]. In this model, a small subset of nodes from a network are the source of a rumor. In discrete time steps, each…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Petra Berenbrink , Max Hahn-Klimroth , Dominik Kaaser , Lena Krieg , Malin Rau

In the era of the rapid development of the Internet, the threshold for information spreading has become lower. Most of the time, rumors, as a special kind of information, are harmful to society. And once the rumor appears, the truth will…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Yan Wang , Feng Qing , Jian-Ping Chai , Ye-Peng Ni

Junior, Machado and Zuluaga (2011) studied a model to understand the spread of a rumour. Their model consists of individuals situated at the integer points of the line $\N$. An individual at the origin $0$ starts a rumour and passes it to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Farkhondeh Alsadat Sajadi , Rahul Roy

We establish that the phase transition for infinite cycles in the random stirring model on an infinite regular tree of high degree is sharp. That is, we prove that there exists d_0 such that, for any d \geq d_0, the set of parameter values…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-27 Alan Hammond

We derive mean-field equations that describe the dynamics of a general model of rumor spreading on complex networks, and use analytical and numerical solutions of these equations to examine the threshold behavior and dynamics of the model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Maziar Nekovee , Yamir Moreno , Ginestra Bianconi , Matteo Marsili

We consider a two-dimensional time-inhomogeneous birth-death process to model the time-evolution of fake news in a population. The two components of the process represent, respectively, (i) the number of individuals (say spreaders) who know…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-13 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Paola Paraggio

We investigate the random loop model on the $d$-ary tree. For $d \geq 3$, we establish a (locally) sharp phase transition for the existence of infinite loops. Moreover, we derive rigorous bounds that in principle allow to determine the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-23 Volker Betz , Johannes Ehlert , Benjamin Lees , Lukas Roth

In earlier rumor spreading models, at each time step nodes contact all of their neighbors. In more realistic scenario it is possible that a node may contact only some of its neighbors to spread the rumor. Therefore it is must in real world…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Anurag Singh , Yatindra Nath Singh

Recent research [1] has suggested that coreness, and not degree, constitutes a better topological descriptor to identifying influential spreaders in complex networks. This hypothesis has been verified in the context of disease spreading.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-03 Javier Borge-Holthoefer , Yamir Moreno

We revisit the problem of broadcasting on $d$-ary trees: starting from a Bernoulli$(1/2)$ random variable $X_0$ at a root vertex, each vertex forwards its value across binary symmetric channels $\mathrm{BSC}_\delta$ to $d$ descendants. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Yuzhou Gu , Hajir Roozbehani , Yury Polyanskiy

We study the frog model with death on the biregular tree $\mathbb{T}_{d_1,d_2}$. Initially, there is a random number of awake and sleeping particles located on the vertices of the tree. Each awake particle moves as a discrete-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-04 Elcio Lebensztayn , Jaime Utria

We study analytically the late time statistics of the number of particles in a growing tree model introduced by Aldous and Shields. In this model, a cluster grows in continuous time on a binary Cayley tree, starting from the root, by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 David S. Dean , Satya N. Majumdar

The contact process on an infinite homogeneous tree is shown to exhibit at least two phase transitions as the infection parameter lambda is varied. For small values of lambda a single infection eventually dies out. For larger lambda the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle

We introduce a general stochastic model for the spread of rumours, and derive mean-field equations that describe the dynamics of the model on complex social networks (in particular those mediated by the Internet). We use analytical and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Maziar Nekovee , Y. Moreno , G. Bianconi , M. Marsili

We show that a simple model for the propagation of a rumor on a small-world network exhibits critical behavior at a finite randomness of the underlying graph. The transition occurs between a regime where the rumor "dies" in a small…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Damian H. Zanette

We study the spread of a persuasive new idea through a population of continuous-time random walkers in one dimension. The idea spreads via social gatherings involving groups of nearby walkers who act according to a biased "majority rule":…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-01-09 James Burridge , Michal Gnacik

An infection spreads in a binary tree of height n as follows: initially, each leaf is either infected by one of k states or it is not infected at all. The infection state of each leaf is independently distributed according to a probability…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Itai Benjamini , Yuri Lima