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Human behaviour strongly influences the spread of infectious diseases: understanding the interplay between epidemic dynamics and adaptive behaviours is essential to improve response strategies to epidemics, with the goal of containing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-21 Marco Mancastroppa , Alessandro Vezzani , Vittoria Colizza , Raffaella Burioni

We show how one can trace in a systematic way the coarse-grained solutions of individual-based stochastic epidemic models evolving on heterogeneous complex networks with respect to their topological characteristics. In particular, we have…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Andreas I. Reppas , Konstantinos Spiliotis , Constantinos Siettos

We approach the development of models and control strategies of susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic processes from the perspective of marked temporal point processes and stochastic optimal control of stochastic differential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Lars Lorch , Abir De , Samir Bhatt , William Trouleau , Utkarsh Upadhyay , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

Emergent hydrodynamics (EHD) bridges short-time unitarity with late-time thermodynamics, universal transport phenomena characterize the manner and speed of transport and thermalization. Typical non-integrable systems with few conserved…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-10-23 Andrew Stasiuk , Garrett Heller , Lance Berkey , Bo Xing , Paola Cappellaro

This article is devoted to the analysis of a particle system model for epidemics among a finite population with susceptible, infective and removed individuals (SIR). The infection mechanism depends on the relative distance between…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Monia Capanna

We consider an infinite-dimensional stochastic clustering model on $\mathbb{R}$. In discrete time, each point of a unit-intensity simple point process moves halfway toward either of its left or right neighbors, chosen uniformly at random.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Partha S. Dey , S. Rasoul Etesami , Aditya S. Gopalan

Assessing small-signal stability of power systems composed of thousands of interacting generators is a computationally challenging task. To reduce the computational burden, this paper introduces a novel condition to assess and certify…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-30 Amin Gholami , Xu Andy Sun

Accurate and reliable forecasting of epidemic incidences is critical for public health preparedness, yet it remains a challenging task due to complex nonlinear temporal dependencies and heterogeneous spatial interactions. Often, point…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-10 Rajdeep Pathak , Tanujit Chakraborty

Human mobility is a key factor in spatial disease dynamics and related phenomena. In computational models host mobility is typically modelled by diffusion in space or on metapolulation networks. Alternatively, an effective force of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

This review maps developments in stochastic modeling, highlighting non-standard approaches and their applications to biology and epidemiology. It brings together four strands: (1) core models for systems that evolve with randomness; (2)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Yassine Sabbar , Kottakkaran Sooppy Nisar

In a previous work [8], it was shown that the joint law of a diffusion process and the running supremum of its first component is absolutely continuous, and that its density satisfies a non standard weak partial differential equation (PDE).…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-01-20 Laure Coutin , Lorick Huang , Monique Pontier

Cure rate models are mostly used to study data arising from cancer clinical trials. Its use in the context of infectious diseases has not been explored well. In 2008, Tournoud and Ecochard first proposed a mechanistic formulation of cure…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Suvra Pal

Most spreading processes require spatial proximity between agents. The stationary state of spreading dynamics in a population of mobile agents thus depends on the interplay between the time and length scales involved in the epidemic process…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-05 Jorge P. Rodríguez , Matteo Paoluzzi , Demian Levis , Michele Starnini

In this article, we consider the problem of stabilizing stochastic processes, which are constrained to a bounded Euclidean domain or a compact smooth manifold, to a given target probability density. Most existing works on modeling and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-08 Karthik Elamvazhuthi , Spring Berman

A deterministic pathogen transmission model based on high-fidelity physics has been developed. The model combines computational fluid dynamics and computational crowd dynamics in order to be able to provide accurate tracing of viral matter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-26 Rainald Löhner , Harbir Antil , Juan Marcelo Gimenez , Sergio Idelsohn , Eugenio Oñate

This paper proposes a model predictive controller for discrete-time linear systems with additive, possibly unbounded, stochastic disturbances and subject to chance constraints. By computing a polytopic probabilistic positively invariant set…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Kai Wang , Kiet Tuan Hoang , Sébastien Gros

Despite the advanced stage of epidemic modeling, there is a major demand for methods to incorporate behavioral responses to the spread of a disease such as social distancing and adoption of prevention methods. Mobility plays an important…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-14 Paulo Cesar Ventura , Alberto Aleta , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Yamir Moreno

The existence and stability of localized patterns of criminal activity are studied for the reaction-diffusion model of urban crime that was introduced by Short et. al. [Math. Models. Meth. Appl. Sci., 18, Suppl. (2008), pp. 1249--1267].…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2012-01-17 Theodore Kolokolnikov , Michael Ward , Juncheng Wei

We considered a model for an infectious disease outbreak, when the depletion of susceptible individuals is negligible, and assumed that individuals adapt their behavior according to the information they receive about new cases. In line with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-27 Alessia andò , Simone De Reggi , Francesca Scarabel , Rossana Vermiglio , Jianhong Wu

It has recently been shown that structural conditions on the reaction network, rather than a 'fine-tuning' of system parameters, often suffice to impart 'absolute concentration robustness' on a wide class of biologically relevant,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 David F. Anderson , German Enciso , Matthew Johnston
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