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The gold standard for discovering causal relations is by means of experimentation. Over the last decades, alternative methods have been proposed that can infer causal relations between variables from certain statistical patterns in purely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-21 Joris M. Mooij , Sara Magliacane , Tom Claassen

Learning DAG structures from purely observational data remains a long-standing challenge across scientific domains. An emerging line of research leverages the score of the data distribution to initially identify a topological order of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Vy Vo , He Zhao , Trung Le , Edwin V. Bonilla , Dinh Phung

Causal discovery is a powerful technique for identifying causal relationships among variables in data. It has been widely used in various applications in software engineering. Causal discovery extensively involves conditional independence…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Pingchuan Ma , Zhenlan Ji , Peisen Yao , Shuai Wang , Kui Ren

Understanding causal relations is vital in scientific discovery. The process of causal structure learning involves identifying causal graphs from observational data to understand such relations. Usually, a central server performs this task,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Zhaoyu Wang , Pingchuan Ma , Shuai Wang

We present GO-CBED, a goal-oriented Bayesian framework for sequential causal experimental design. Unlike conventional approaches that select interventions aimed at inferring the full causal model, GO-CBED directly maximizes the expected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Zheyu Zhang , Jiayuan Dong , Jie Liu , Xun Huan

Large Language Models (LLMs) have been used as experts to infer causal graphs, often by repeatedly applying a pairwise prompt that asks about the causal relationship of each variable pair. However, such experts, including human domain…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Aniket Vashishtha , Abbavaram Gowtham Reddy , Abhinav Kumar , Saketh Bachu , Vineeth N Balasubramanian , Amit Sharma

Causal discovery from observational data is an important tool in many branches of science. Under certain assumptions it allows scientists to explain phenomena, predict, and make decisions. In the large sample limit, sound and complete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-13 Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Raanan Y. Rohekar , Gal Novik

Causal discovery is fundamental to scientific understanding and reliable decision-making. Existing approaches face critical limitations: purely data-driven methods suffer from statistical indistinguishability and modeling assumptions, while…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Bo Peng , Sirui Chen , Lei Xu , Chaochao Lu

Causal discovery and causal reasoning are classically treated as separate and consecutive tasks: one first infers the causal graph, and then uses it to estimate causal effects of interventions. However, such a two-stage approach is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Christian Toth , Lars Lorch , Christian Knoll , Andreas Krause , Franz Pernkopf , Robert Peharz , Julius von Kügelgen

Causal discovery aims to learn causal relationships between variables from targeted data, making it a fundamental task in machine learning. However, causal discovery algorithms often rely on unverifiable causal assumptions, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Huiyang Yi , Yanyan He , Duxin Chen , Mingyu Kang , He Wang , Wenwu Yu

Constraint-based causal discovery is brittle in finite-sample regimes because erroneous conditional-independence (CI) decisions can cascade into substantial structural errors. We propose Quantitative Argumentation for Causal Discovery…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Sheng Wei , Yulin Chen , Beishui Liao

Contextual multi-armed bandits are a popular choice to model sequential decision-making. E.g., in a healthcare application we may perform various tests to asses a patient condition (exploration) and then decide on the best treatment to give…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Mirco Mutti , Jeongyeol Kwon , Shie Mannor , Aviv Tamar

This brief aims at the issue of globally composite-learning-based neural fast finite-time (F-FnT) tracking control for a class of uncertain systems in strict-feedback form subject to nonlinearly periodic disturbances. First, uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-22 Xidong Wang , Zhan Li , Zhen He

We propose a novel framework that leverages LLMs for full causal graph discovery. While previous LLM-based methods have used a pairwise query approach, this requires a quadratic number of queries which quickly becomes impractical for larger…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Thomas Jiralerspong , Xiaoyin Chen , Yash More , Vedant Shah , Yoshua Bengio

Revealing hidden causal variables alongside the underlying causal mechanisms is essential to the development of science. Despite the progress in the past decades, existing practice in causal discovery (CD) heavily relies on high-quality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Chenxi Liu , Yongqiang Chen , Tongliang Liu , Mingming Gong , James Cheng , Bo Han , Kun Zhang

Identifying causal interactions in complex dynamical systems is a fundamental challenge across the computational sciences. Existing functional connectivity methods capture correlations but not causation. While addressing directionality,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-10 Rahul Biswas , SuryaNarayana Sripada , Somabha Mukherjee , Reza Abbasi-Asl

We present a constraint-based algorithm for learning causal structures from observational time-series data, in the presence of latent confounders. We assume a discrete-time, stationary structural vector autoregressive process, with both…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Gal Novik

The causal bandit problem seeks to identify, through sequential experimentation, an intervention that maximizes the expected reward in a causal system modeled by a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Existing methods typically assume that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Yijia Zhao , Qing Zhou

We present DMCD (DataMap Causal Discovery), a two-phase causal discovery framework that integrates LLM-based semantic drafting from variable metadata with statistical validation on observational data. In Phase I, a large language model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Samarth KaPatel , Sofia Nikiforova , Giacinto Paolo Saggese , Paul Smith

Constraint-based causal discovery from limited data is a notoriously difficult challenge due to the many borderline independence test decisions. Several approaches to improve the reliability of the predictions by exploiting redundancy in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-27 Sara Magliacane , Tom Claassen , Joris M. Mooij