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A consistent goodness-of-fit test for distributional regression is introduced. The test statistic is based on a process that traces the difference between a nonparametric and a semi-parametric estimate of the marginal distribution function…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-10 Gitte Kremling , Gerhard Dikta

Goodness-of-fit (GoF) testing is ubiquitous in statistics, with direct ties to model selection, confidence interval construction, conditional independence testing, and multiple testing, just to name a few applications. While testing the GoF…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-16 Rina Foygel Barber , Lucas Janson

We propose a nonparametric statistical test for goodness-of-fit: given a set of samples, the test determines how likely it is that these were generated from a target density function. The measure of goodness-of-fit is a divergence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-28 Kacper Chwialkowski , Heiko Strathmann , Arthur Gretton

Bivariate count models having one marginal and the other conditionals being of the Poissons form are called pseudo-Poisson distributions. Such models have simple exible dependence structures, possess fast computation algorithms and generate…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-08 Banoth Veeranna , B. G. Manjunath , B. Shobha

The value of the likelihood is occasionally used by high energy physicists as a statistic to measure goodness-of-fit in unbinned maximum likelihood fits. Simple examples are presented that illustrate why this (seemingly intuitive) method…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-18 Joel Heinrich

We consider goodness-of-fit tests with i.i.d. samples generated from a categorical distribution $(p_1,...,p_k)$. For a given $(q_1,...,q_k)$, we test the null hypothesis whether $p_j=q_{\pi(j)}$ for some label permutation $\pi$. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Chao Gao

Despite the wide usage of parametric point processes in theory and applications, a sound goodness-of-fit procedure to test whether a given parametric model is appropriate for data coming from a self-exciting point processes has been missing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-15 José C. F. Kling , Mathias Vetter

[...] This paper presents a rigorous derivation of a goodness-of-fit statistics for colour-magnitude diagrams (CMD). We discuss the reliability of the underlying assumptions and their validity. We derived the distribution of the sum of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-05-26 G. Valle , M. Dell'Omodarme , E. Tognelli

We consider spatially homogeneous marked point patterns in an unboundedly expanding convex sampling window. Our main objective is to identify the distribution of the typical mark by constructing an asymptotic $\chi^2$-goodness-of-fit test.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-10 Lothar Heinrich , Sebastian Lück , Volker Schmidt

A variety of statistics based on sample spacings has been studied in the literature for testing goodness-of-fit to parametric distributions. To test the goodness-of-fit to a nonparametric class of univariate shape-constrained densities,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Kwun Chuen Gary Chan , Hok Kan Ling , Chuan-Fa Tang , Sheung Chi Phillip Yam

This paper proposes new specification tests for conditional models with discrete responses, which are key to apply efficient maximum likelihood methods, to obtain consistent estimates of partial effects and to get appropriate predictions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-01 Igor Kheifets , Carlos Velasco

This paper formally derives the asymptotic distribution of a goodness-of-fit test based on the Kernel Stein Discrepancy introduced in (Oscar Key et al., "Composite Goodness-of-fit Tests with Kernels", Journal of Machine Learning Research…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Florian Brück , Veronika Reimoser , Fabian Baier

A novel model of systematic errors for the regression of Poisson data is applied to hypothesis testing of nested model components with the introduction of a generalization of the $\Delta C$ statistic that applies in the presence of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-24 M. Bonamente , D. Zimmerman , Y. Chen

Maximum likelihood fits to data can be performed using binned data and unbinned data. The likelihood fits in either case produce only the fitted quantities but not the goodness of fit. With binned data, one can obtain a measure of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Rajendran Raja

We consider multinomial goodness-of-fit tests in the high-dimensional regime where the number of bins increases with the sample size. In this regime, Pearson's chi-squared test can suffer from low power due to the substantial bias as well…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-24 Ilmun Kim

Chi-squared tests for lack of fit are traditionally employed to find evidence against a hypothesized model, with the model accepted if the Karl Pearson statistic comparing observed and expected numbers of observations falling within cells…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-20 Robert G. Staudte

We develop a systematic, omnibus approach to goodness-of-fit testing for parametric distributional models when the variable of interest is only partially observed due to censoring and/or truncation. In many such designs, tests based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Juan Carlos Escanciano , Jacobo de Uña-Álvarez

The Gaussian graphical model is routinely employed to model the joint distribution of multiple random variables. The graph it induces is not only useful for describing the relationship between random variables but also critical for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-15 Thien-Minh Le , Ping-Shou Zhong , Chenlei Leng

We consider the problem of goodness-of-fit testing for a model that has at least one unknown parameter that cannot be eliminated by transformation. Examples of such problems can be as simple as testing whether a sample consists of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-28 Sean van der Merwe

Tests of goodness of fit are used in nearly every domain where statistics is applied. One powerful and flexible approach is to sample artificial data sets that are exchangeable with the real data under the null hypothesis (but not under the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Ritwik Bhaduri , Aabesh Bhattacharyya , Rina Foygel Barber , Lucas Janson