English
Related papers

Related papers: From Local Earthquake Nowcasting to Natural Time F…

200 papers

Amongst the available technologies for earthquake research, remote sensing has been commonly used due to its unique features such as fast imaging and wide image-acquisition range. Nevertheless, early studies on pre-earthquake and…

The idea of the global daily magnitude (GDM, unit designation is Mg) of earthquakes is introduced. The formula is given for calculating Mg from earthquake strength data, characterized by the classic magnitude M on the Richter scale. An…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-09-04 A. V. Guglielmi , B. I. Klain

The detection of earthquakes is a fundamental prerequisite for seismology and contributes to various research areas, such as forecasting earthquakes and understanding the crust/mantle structure. Recent advances in machine learning…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-14 Tomoki Tokuda , Hiromichi Nagao

The evaluation of the $b$ value of the Gutenberg-Richter (GR) law, for a sample composed of $n$ earthquakes, presents a systematic positive bias $\delta b$ which is proportional to $1/n$, as already observed by Ogata \& Yamashina (1986). In…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-10 Cataldo Godano , Giuseppe Petrillo , Eugenio Lippiello

We propose that the widely observed and universal Gutenberg-Richter relation is a mathematical consequence of the critical branching nature of earthquake process in a brittle fracture environment. These arguments, though preliminary, are…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-03-13 Yan Y. Kagan

Given a distribution of earthquake-induced seafloor elevations, we present a method to compute the probability of the resulting tsunamis reaching a certain size on shore. Instead of sampling, the proposed method relies on optimization to…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-05 Shanyin Tong , Eric Vanden-Eijnden , Georg Stadler

The recently proposed discrete scale invariance and its associated log-periodicity are an elaboration of the concept of scale invariance in which the system is scale invariant only under powers of specific values of the magnification…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 Y. Huang , A. Johansen , M. W. Lee , H. Saleur , D. Sornette

We present the "condensation" method that exploits the heterogeneity of the probability distribution functions (PDF) of event locations to improve the spatial information content of seismic catalogs. The method reduces the size of seismic…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-09-02 Y. Kamer , G. Ouillon , D. Sornette , J. Woessner

We present a method for locating the seismic event epicenters without assuming an Earth model of the seismic velocity structure, based on the linear relationship between $\log R$ and $\log t$ (where $R$ is the radius of spherical P wave…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-08-23 Rong Qiang Wei

Yes. Interval statistics have been used to conclude that major earthquakes are random events in time and cannot be anticipated or predicted. Machine learning is a powerful new technique that enhances our ability to understand the…

It is shown that earthquakes do not know how large they will become, at least from the information collected at seismic catalogs. In other words, the magnitude is independent on previous magnitudes as well as on the waiting time between…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

Scientists mapped the seismic time series into networks by considering the geographical location of events as nodes and establishing links between the nodes with different rules. Applying the successive defined laws to construct the…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-26 Nastaran Lotfi

Ground motion scenarios exists for most of the seismically active areas around the globe. They essentially correspond to shaking level maps at given earthquake return times which are used as reference for the likely areas under threat from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-02 Luigi Lombardo , Hakan Tanyas

A new non-parametric statistic is introduced for the characterization of deviations from power laws. It is tested on the distribution of seismic energies given by the Gutenberg-Richter law. Based on the two first statistical log-moments, it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 V. Pisarenko , D. Sornette , M. Rodkin

Earthquake early warning systems are crucial for protecting areas that are subject to these natural disasters. An essential part of these systems is the detection procedure. Traditionally these systems work with seismograph data, but high…

The number of earthquakes as a function of magnitude decays as a power law. This trend is usually justified using spring-block models, where slips with the appropriate global statistics have been numerically observed. However, prominent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-05-24 E. A. Jagla , A. B. Kolton

Forecasts of the focal mechanisms of future earthquakes are important for seismic hazard estimates and Coulomb stress and other models of earthquake occurrence. Here we report on a high-resolution global forecast of earthquake rate density…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 Yan Y. Kagan , David D. Jackson

Deep learning is fast emerging as a potential disruptive tool to tackle longstanding research problems across the sciences. Notwithstanding its success across disciplines, the recent trend of the overuse of deep learning is concerning to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Umair bin Waheed , Ahmed Shaheen , Mike Fehler , Ben Fulcher

Generative probabilistic forecasting produces future time series samples according to the conditional probability distribution given past time series observations. Such techniques are essential in risk-based decision-making and planning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Xinyi Wang , Lang Tong , Qing Zhao

A systematic quantitative investigation into whether the mechanisms of large earthquakes are unique could significantly deepen our understanding of fault rupture and seismicity patterns. This research holds the potential to advance our…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-26 Jiawei Li , Didier Sornette , Zhongliang Wu , Hangwei Li