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Traditional regression models assume stationary relationships between predictors and responses, failing to capture the spatial heterogeneity present in many environmental, epidemiological, and ecological processes. To address this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Justice Akuoko-Frimpong , Edward Shao , Jonathan Ta

Successful forecasting models strike a balance between parsimony and flexibility. This is often achieved by employing suitable shrinkage priors that penalize model complexity but also reward model fit. In this note, we modify the stochastic…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-15 Florian Huber , Michael Pfarrhofer

Modern data analysis increasingly requires identifying shared latent structure across multiple high-dimensional datasets. A commonly used model assumes that the data matrices are noisy observations of low-rank matrices with a shared…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-31 Tavor Z. Baharav , Phillip B. Nicol , Rafael A. Irizarry , Rong Ma

Dense flow visualization is a popular visualization paradigm. Traditionally, the various models and methods in this area use a continuous formulation, resting upon the solid foundation of functional analysis. In this work, we examine a…

Graphics · Computer Science 2020-07-06 Daniel Preuß , Tino Weinkauf , Jens Krüger

Implied posterior probability of a given model (say, Support Vector Machines (SVM)) at a point $\bf{x}$ is an estimate of the class posterior probability pertaining to the class of functions of the model applied to a given dataset. It can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-02 Georgi Nalbantov , Svetoslav Ivanov

We investigate the joint dynamics of spot and implied volatility from an empirical perspective. We focus on the equity market with the SPX Index our underlying of choice. Using only observable quantities, we extract the instantaneous…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-06 Florent Ségonne

This paper presents a robust controller using a Linear Parameter Varying (LPV) model of the lane-keeping system with parameter reduction. Both varying vehicle speed and roll motion on a curved road influence the lateral vehicle model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-05 Ying Shuai Quan , Jin Sung Kim , Chung Choo Chung

Models of complex networks often incorporate node-intrinsic properties abstracted as hidden variables. The probability of connections in the network is then a function of these variables. Real-world networks evolve over time, and many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-19 Harrison Hartle , Fragkiskos Papadopoulos , Dmitri Krioukov

The paper studies the continuous-time dynamics of VIX with stochastic volatility and jumps in VIX and volatility. Built on the general parametric affine model with stochastic volatility and jump in logarithm of VIX, we derive a linear…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-31 Xin Zang , Jun Ni , Jing-Zhi Huang , Lan Wu

In this paper, we study randomized methods for feedback design of uncertain systems. The first contribution is to derive the sample complexity of various constrained control problems. In particular, we show the key role played by the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-22 T. Alamo , R. Tempo , A. Luque , D. R. Ramirez

In [Precise Asymptotics for Robust Stochastic Volatility Models; Ann. Appl. Probab. 2021] we introduce a new methodology to analyze large classes of (classical and rough) stochastic volatility models, with special regard to short-time and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-30 Peter K. Friz , Paul Gassiat , Paolo Pigato

Aiming to provide a faster and convenient truncated SVD algorithm for large sparse matrices from real applications (i.e. for computing a few of largest singular values and the corresponding singular vectors), a dynamically shifted power…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Xu Feng , Wenjian Yu , Yuyang Xie , Jie Tang

This paper discusses the efficient Bayesian estimation of a multivariate factor stochastic volatility (Factor MSV) model with leverage. We propose a novel approach to construct the sampling schemes that converges to the posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-14 David Gunawan , Chris Carter , Robert Kohn

This paper studies a risk minimization problem with decision dependent data distribution. The problem pertains to the performative prediction setting in which a trained model can affect the outcome estimated by the model. Such dependency…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Qiang Li , Hoi-To Wai

In this chapter we first briefly review the existing approaches to hedging in rough volatility models. Next, we present a simple but general result which shows that in a one-factor rough stochastic volatility model, any option may be…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-11 Masaaki Fukasawa , Blanka Horvath , Peter Tankov

We compare the most common SV models such as the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU), the Heston and the exponential OU (expOU) models. We try to decide which is the most appropriate one by studying their volatility autocorrelation and leverage effect,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver , Napoleon Anento

We study robust nonlinear filtering for stochastic models driven by L\'evy processes, where the signal and observation processes are coupled through common Brownian and jump noise. Robustness, defined as the continuous dependence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Sharan Srinivasan , Vijay Gupta , Harsha Honnappa

We study a class of multi-stage stochastic programs, which incorporate modeling features from Markov decision processes (MDPs). This class includes structured MDPs with continuous action and state spaces. We extend policy graphs to include…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 David P. Morton , Oscar Dowson , Bernardo K. Pagnoncelli

Pricing and hedging exotic options using local stochastic volatility models drew a serious attention within the last decade, and nowadays became almost a standard approach to this problem. In this paper we show how this framework could be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-24 Andrey Itkin

We consider stochastic volatility dynamics driven by a general H\"older continuous Volterra-type noise and with unbounded drift. For these so-called SVV-models, we consider the explicit computation of quadratic hedging strategies. While the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-16 Giulia Di Nunno , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko