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We consider critical percolation on Galton-Watson trees and prove quenched analogues of classical theorems of critical branching processes. We show that the probability critical percolation reaches depth $n$ is asymptotic to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Marcus Michelen

Under natural assumptions, a Feller type diffusion approximation is derived for critical, irreducible multi-type continuous state and continuous time branching processes with immigration. Namely, it is proved that a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Matyas Barczy , Gyula Pap

We consider the tail distribution of the edge cover time of a specific non-Markov process, $\delta$ once-reinforced random walk, on finite connected graphs, whose transition probability is proportional to weights of edges. Here the weights…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Xiangyu Huang , Yong Liu , Kainan Xiang

In this work we investigate limit theorems for the time-averaged process $\left(\frac{1}{t}\int_0^t X_s^x ds\right)_{t\geq 0}$ where $X^x$ is a subcritical continuous-state branching processes with immigration (CBI processes) starting in $x…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Mariem Abdellatif , Martin Friesen , Peter Kuchling , Barbara Rüdiger

We are interested in the genealogical structure of alleles for a Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson branching process with neutral mutations (infinite alleles model), in the situation where the initial population is large and the mutation rate small.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-25 Jean Bertoin

Consider a branching system with particles moving according to an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with drift $\mu>0$ and branching according to a law in the domain of attraction of the $(1+\beta)$-stable distribution. The mean of the branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-23 Rafał Marks , Piotr Miłoś

We consider the simple random walk on Galton-Watson trees with supercritical offspring distribution, conditioned on non-extinction. In case the offspring distribution has finite support, we prove an upper bound for the annealed return…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Peter Müller , Jakob Stern

We investigate a stationary random coefficient autoregressive process. Using renewal type arguments tailor-made for such processes, we show that the stationary distribution has a power-law tail. When the model is normal, we show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Claudia Kluppelberg , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We establish the joint scaling limit of a critical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process with immigration (BGWI) and its (counting) local time at zero to the corresponding self-similar continuous-state branching process with immigration (CBI)…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Aleksandar Mijatović , Benjamin Povar , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

Given a super-critical Galton-Watson process $\{Z_n\}$ and a positive sequence $\{\epsilon_n\}$, we study the limiting behaviors of $P(S_{Z_n}/Z_n\geq\epsilon_n)$ and $P(S_{Z_n}/m^n\geq\epsilon_n) $ with sums $S_{n}$ of i.i.d. random…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Hui He

We study self-similarity in random binary rooted trees. In a well-understood case of Galton-Watson trees, a distribution on a space of trees is said to be self-similar if it is invariant with respect to the operation of pruning, which cuts…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Yevgeniy Kovchegov , Ilya Zaliapin

Statistical description of stochastic dynamics in highly unstable potentials is strongly affected by properties of divergent trajectories, that quickly leave meta-stable regions of the potential landscape and never return. Using ideas from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-22 Artem Ryabov , Viktor Holubec , Ekaterina Berestneva

In this paper, the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares (CLS) estimators of the offspring means $(\alpha,\beta)$ and of the criticality parameter $\varrho:=\alpha+\beta$ for a $2$-type critical doubly symmetric positively…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Márton Ispány , Kristóf Körmendi , Gyula Pap

These notes were used in a short graduate course on branching processes the author gave in Beijing Normal University. The following main topics are covered: scaling limits of Galton--Watson processes, continuous-state branching processes,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-16 Zenghu Li

We establish general sufficient conditions for a sequence of controlled branching processes to converge weakly on the Skorokhod space. We focus on a class of controlled random variables that extends previous results by considering them as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Miguel González , Pedro Martín-Chávez , Inés del Puerto

We propose a stochastic process driven by memory effect with novel distributions including both exponential and leptokurtic heavy-tailed distributions. A class of distribution is analytically derived from the continuum limit of the discrete…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-14 Jongwook Kim , Gabjin Oh

Take a continuous-time Galton-Watson tree. If the system survives until a large time $T$, then choose $k$ particles uniformly from those alive. What does the ancestral tree drawn out by these $k$ particles look like? Some special cases are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-14 Simon C. Harris , Samuel G. G. Johnston , Matthew I. Roberts

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto

In this work, we study asymptotics of the genealogy of Galton--Watson processes conditioned on the total progeny. We consider a fixed, aperiodic and critical offspring distribution such that the rescaled Galton--Watson processes converges…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas Duquesne

We prove that the speed of a biased random walk on a supercritical Galton-Watson tree conditioned to survive is analytic within the ballistic regime. This extends the previous work arXiv:1906.07913 in which it was shown that the speed is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Adam Bowditch , Yuki Tokushige