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I introduce a model of predictive scoring. A receiver wants to predict a sender's quality. An intermediary observes multiple features of the sender and aggregates them into a score. Based on the score, the receiver makes a decision. The…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-05-17 Ian Ball

Many decentralized and networked control problems involve decision makers which have either misaligned criteria or subjective priors. In the context of such a setup, in this paper we consider binary signaling problems in which the decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-06 Serkan Sarıtaş , Sinan Gezici , Serdar Yüksel

We study the multi-user Bayesian persuasion game between one encoder and two decoders, where the first decoder is better informed than the second decoder. We consider two perfect links, one to the first decoder only, and the other to both…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-09 Rony Bou Rouphael , Mael Le Treust

We examine receiver-optimal mechanisms for aggregating information divided across many biased senders. Each sender privately observes an unconditionally independent signal about an unknown state, so no sender can verify another's report. A…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-05 James Best , Daniel Quigley , Maryam Saeedi , Ali Shourideh

The DeGroot model of naive social learning assumes that agents only communicate scalar opinions. In practice, agents communicate not only their opinions, but their confidence in such opinions. We propose a model that captures this aspect of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Jerry Anunrojwong , Nat Sothanaphan

We study a sender-receiver model in which the receiver can commit to a decision rule before the sender determines the information policy. The decision rule can depend on the information structure chosen by the sender and the realized…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-19 Dirk Bergemann , Tan Gan , Yingkai Li

This paper introduces a novel criterion, persuasiveness, to select equilibria in signaling games. In response to the Stiglitz critique, persuasiveness focuses on the comparison across equilibria. An equilibrium is more persuasive than an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-04 Haoyuan Zeng

We study the bounds of mediated communication in sender-receiver games in which the sender's payoff is state-independent. We show that the feasible distributions over the receiver's beliefs under mediation are those that induce zero…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-11-14 Roberto Corrao , Yifan Dai

Independent samples from an unknown probability distribution $\bf p$ on a domain of size $k$ are distributed across $n$ players, with each player holding one sample. Each player can communicate $\ell$ bits to a central referee in a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-05-24 Jayadev Acharya , Clément L. Canonne , Himanshu Tyagi

Communication is essential for coordination among humans and animals. Therefore, with the introduction of intelligent agents into the world, agent-to-agent and agent-to-human communication becomes necessary. In this paper, we first study…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-03-04 Varun Bhatt , Michael Buro

This work considers a novel information design problem and studies how the craft of payoff-relevant environmental signals solely can influence the behaviors of intelligent agents. The agents' strategic interactions are captured by an…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Tao Zhang , Quanyan Zhu

The design of informatively rich input signals is essential for accurate system identification, yet classical Fisher-information-based methods are inherently local and often inadequate in the presence of significant model uncertainty and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-15 Piotr Bania , Anna Wójcik

Attaining the vision of Smart Cities requires the deployment of an enormous number of sensors for monitoring various conditions of the environment. Backscatter-sensors have emerged to be a promising solution due to the uninterruptible…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-11 Guangxu Zhu , Seung-Woo Ko , Kaibin Huang

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is a method to perform inference on a variety of complex scientific models with challenging inference (inverse) problems. Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) aims to efficiently use experimental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-13 Vincent D. Zaballa , Elliot E. Hui

We consider the problem of sequentially making decisions that are rewarded by "successes" and "failures" which can be predicted through an unknown relationship that depends on a partially controllable vector of attributes for each instance.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-18 Yingfei Wang , Chu Wang , Warren Powell

Attention-based neural networks have achieved state-of-the-art results on a wide range of tasks. Most such models use deterministic attention while stochastic attention is less explored due to the optimization difficulties or complicated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Shujian Zhang , Xinjie Fan , Bo Chen , Mingyuan Zhou

In this paper, we introduce a two-stage Bayesian persuasion model in which a third-party platform controls the information available to the sender about users' preferences. We aim to characterize the optimal information disclosure policy of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Itai Arieli , Omer Madmon , Moshe Tennenholtz

We consider a two-player dynamic information design problem between a principal and a receiver -- a game is played between the two agents on top of a Markovian system controlled by the receiver's actions, where the principal obtains and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Dengwang Tang , Vijay G. Subramanian

Despite exceptional predictive performance of Deep sequence models (DSMs), the main concern of their deployment centers around the lack of uncertainty awareness. In contrast, probabilistic models quantify the uncertainty associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Wenlong Chen

We consider the information design problem in spatial resource competition settings. Agents gather at a location deciding whether to move to another location for possibly higher level of resources, and the utility each agent gets by moving…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-09-30 Pu Yang , Krishnamurthy Iyer , Peter Frazier