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We study continuous-time persuasion where a sender controls both how informative a signal is over time and when to stop providing information to a receiver. Given an exogenous signal process, the sender can both garble the evolving signal…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-19 Can Urgun , Mark Whitmeyer

We introduce a model of sender-receiver stopping games, where the state of the world follows an iid--process throughout the game. At each period, the sender observes the current state, and sends a message to the receiver, suggesting either…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Aditya Aradhye , János Flesch , Mathias Staudigl , Dries Vermeulen

We frame dynamic persuasion in a partial observation stochastic control Leader-Follower game with an ergodic criterion. The Receiver controls the dynamics of a multidimensional unobserved state process. Information is provided to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-23 René Aïd , Ofelia Bonesini , Giorgia Callegaro , Luciano Campi

We study a dynamic Bayesian persuasion model called Markovian persuasion. In such a model, the belief of the receiver regarding the current state of a Markov chain $(X_n)_{n\geq 1}$, over a finite state space $K$, is controlled through…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Dimitry Shaiderman

Bayesian inference on structured models typically relies on the ability to infer posterior distributions of underlying hidden variables. However, inference in implicit models or complex posterior distributions is hard. A popular tool for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-16 Theofanis Karaletsos

We consider a persuasion problem between a sender and a receiver whose utility may be nonlinear in her belief; we call such receivers risk-conscious. Such utility models arise when the receiver exhibits systematic biases away from…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-07-17 Jerry Anunrojwong , Krishnamurthy Iyer , David Lingenbrink

This paper considers Bayesian persuasion for routing games where information about the uncertain state of the network is provided by a traffic information system (TIS) using public signals. In this setup, the TIS commits to a signalling…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Jasper Verbree , Ashish Cherukuri

Information asymmetry in games enables players with the information advantage to manipulate others' beliefs by strategically revealing information to other players. This work considers a double-sided information asymmetry in a Bayesian…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Tao Li , Quanyan Zhu

We consider the problem of dynamic information design with one sender and one receiver where the sender observers a private state of the system and takes an action to send a signal based on its observation to a receiver. Based on this…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-05-18 Deepanshu Vasal

We study a persuasion problem in which a sender designs an information structure to induce a non-Bayesian receiver to take a particular action. The receiver, who is privately informed about his preferences, is a wishful thinker: he is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-12-01 Victor Augias , Daniel M. A. Barreto

We study a Bayesian persuasion setting in which a sender wants to persuade a critical mass of receivers by revealing partial information about the state to them. The homogeneous binary-action receivers are located on a communication…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Toygar T. Kerman , Anastas P. Tenev , Konstantin Zabarnyi

In this paper, we introduce a robust sensor design framework to provide "persuasion-based" defense in stochastic control systems against an unknown type attacker with a control objective exclusive to its type. For effective control, such an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-15 Muhammed O. Sayin , Tamer Basar

We introduce a scalable Bayesian preference learning method for identifying convincing arguments in the absence of gold-standard rat- ings or rankings. In contrast to previous work, we avoid the need for separate methods to perform quality…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-06-08 Edwin Simpson , Iryna Gurevych

This paper studies a Stackelberg game wherein a sender (leader) attempts to shape the information of a less informed receiver (follower) who in turn takes an action that determines the payoff for both players. The sender chooses signals to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Reema Deori , Ankur A. Kulkarni

As one of the classic models that describe the belief dynamics over social networks, a non-Bayesian social learning model assumes that members in the network possess accurate signal knowledge through the process of Bayesian inference. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-05-21 Sannyuya Liu , Zhonghua Yan , Xiufeng Cheng , Liang Zhao

We introduce and study the problem of detecting whether an agent is updating their prior beliefs given new evidence in an optimal way that is Bayesian, or whether they are biased towards their own prior. In our model, biased agents form…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Yiling Chen , Tao Lin , Ariel D. Procaccia , Aaditya Ramdas , Itai Shapira

An informed sender communicates with an uninformed receiver through a sequence of uninformed mediators; agents' utilities depend on receiver's action and the state. For any number of mediators, the sender's optimal value is characterized.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-09-13 Itai Arieli , Yakov Babichenko , Fedor Sandomirskiy

In this paper we investigate the potential for persuasion arising from the quantum indeterminacy of a decision-maker's beliefs, a feature that has been proposed as a formal expression of well-known cognitive limitations. We focus on a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-25 Vladimir I. Danilov , Ariane Lambert-Mogiliansky

This paper studies a game in which an informed sender with state-independent preferences uses verifiable messages to convince a receiver to choose an action from a finite set. We characterize the equilibrium outcomes of the game and compare…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-10 Maria Titova , Kun Zhang

This work studies a dynamic mechanism design problem in which a principal delegates decision makings to a group of privately-informed agents without the monetary transfer or burning. We consider that the principal privately possesses…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Tao Zhang , Quanyan Zhu