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We examine counterfactual explanations for explaining the decisions made by model-based AI systems. The counterfactual approach we consider defines an explanation as a set of the system's data inputs that causally drives the decision (i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-14 Carlos Fernández-Loría , Foster Provost , Xintian Han

Predicting with missing inputs challenges even parametric models, as parameter estimation alone is insufficient for prediction on incomplete data. While several works study prediction in linear models, we focus on logistic models, where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Christophe Muller , Erwan Scornet , Julie Josse

Similarity/Distance measures play a key role in many machine learning, pattern recognition, and data mining algorithms, which leads to the emergence of metric learning field. Many metric learning algorithms learn a global distance function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Baida Hamdan , Davood Zabihzadeh , Monsefi Reza

We propose the MAC-VO, a novel learning-based stereo VO that leverages the learned metrics-aware matching uncertainty for dual purposes: selecting keypoint and weighing the residual in pose graph optimization. Compared to traditional…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Yuheng Qiu , Yutian Chen , Zihao Zhang , Wenshan Wang , Sebastian Scherer

We propose and study a framework for quantifying the importance of the choices of parameter values to the result of a query over a database. These parameters occur as constants in logical queries, such as conjunctive queries. In our…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Amir Gilad , Martin Grohe , Benny Kimelfeld , Peter Lindner , Christoph Standke

We consider the structured-output prediction problem through probabilistic approaches and generalize the "perturb-and-MAP" framework to more challenging weighted Hamming losses, which are crucial in applications. While in principle our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-22 Tatiana Shpakova , Francis Bach , Anton Osokin

One of the most common pitfalls often found in high dimensional biological data sets are correlations between the features. This may lead to statistical and machine learning methodologies overvaluing or undervaluing these correlated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Troy Maaslandand , João Pereira , Diogo Bastos , Marcus de Goffau , Max Nieuwdorp , Aeilko H. Zwinderman , Evgeni Levin

Coarse-grained (CG) modeling enables molecular simulations to reach time and length scales inaccessible to fully atomistic methods. For classical CG models, the choice of mapping, that is, how atoms are grouped into CG sites, is a major…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-12-10 Franz Görlich , Julija Zavadlav

A basic principle in the design of observational studies is to approximate the randomized experiment that would have been conducted under controlled circumstances. Now, linear regression models are commonly used to analyze observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-08 Ambarish Chattopadhyay , Jose R. Zubizarreta

The growing availability of large health databases has expanded the use of observational studies for comparative effectiveness research. Unlike randomized trials, observational studies must adjust for systematic differences in patient…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Haidong Lu , Fan Li , Laine E. Thomas , Fan Li

Motivated by the estimation of covariance matrices by importance sampling arising in the cross-entropy (CE) algorithm, we study a random matrix model $\hat \Sigma = {\bf X} L {\bf X}^\top$ with two distinct features: $\bf X$ and $L$ are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Jason Beh , Jerome Morio , Florian Simatos

CLIP and large multimodal models (LMMs) have better accuracy on examples involving concepts that are highly represented in the training data. However, the role of concept combinations in the training data on compositional generalization is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Helen Qu , Sang Michael Xie

Recent likelihood theory produces $p$-values that have remarkable accuracy and wide applicability. The calculations use familiar tools such as maximum likelihood values (MLEs), observed information and parameter rescaling. The usual…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-08 M. Bédard , D. A. S. Fraser , A. Wong

Set classification aims to classify a set of observations as a whole, as opposed to classifying individual observations separately. To formally understand the unfamiliar concept of binary set classification, we first investigate the optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Zhao Ren , Sungkyu Jung , Xingye Qiao

Explaining the decision process of machine learning algorithms is nowadays crucial for both model's performance enhancement and human comprehension. This can be achieved by assessing the variable importance of single variables, even for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Ahmad Chamma , Bertrand Thirion , Denis A. Engemann

Ensembling is now recognized as an effective approach for increasing the predictive performance and calibration of deep networks. We introduce a new approach, Parameter Ensembling by Perturbation (PEP), that constructs an ensemble of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Alireza Mehrtash , Purang Abolmaesumi , Polina Golland , Tina Kapur , Demian Wassermann , William M. Wells

Measuring treatment effects in observational studies is challenging because of confounding bias. Confounding occurs when a variable affects both the treatment and the outcome. Traditional methods such as propensity score matching estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-23 Bevan I. Smith , Charles Chimedza

Prediction performance does not always reflect the estimation behaviour of a method. High error in estimation may necessarily not result in high prediction error, but can lead to an unreliable prediction if test data lie in a slightly…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-22 Raju Rimal , Trygve Almøy , Solve Sæbø

In machine learning one of the strategic tasks is the selection of only significant variables as predictors for the response(s). In this paper an approach is proposed which consists in the application of permutation tests on the candidate…

In many contexts, there is interest in selecting the most important variables from a very large collection, commonly referred to as support recovery or variable, feature or subset selection. There is an enormous literature proposing a rich…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-23 Willem van den Boom , Galen Reeves , David B. Dunson
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