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The problem of detecting changes in covariance for a single pair of features has been studied in some detail, but may be limited in importance or general applicability. In contrast, testing equality of covariance matrices of a {\it set} of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-12 Yi-Hui Zhou

In many longitudinal settings, time-varying covariates may not be measured at the same time as responses and are often prone to measurement error. Naive last-observation-carried-forward methods incur estimation biases, and existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-10 Xinyue Chang , Yehua Li , Yi Li

It is well-known that the statistical performance of Lasso can suffer significantly when the covariates of interest have strong correlations. In particular, the prediction error of Lasso becomes much worse than computationally inefficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-26 Jonathan Kelner , Frederic Koehler , Raghu Meka , Dhruv Rohatgi

A significant obstacle in the development of robust machine learning models is covariate shift, a form of distribution shift that occurs when the input distributions of the training and test sets differ while the conditional label…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-17 Nilesh Tripuraneni , Ben Adlam , Jeffrey Pennington

Educational policymakers often lack data on student outcomes where standardized tests were not administered. Machine learning can predict unobserved outcomes in target populations using source population data. However, covariate…

Adjusting for (baseline) covariates with working regression models becomes standard practice in the analysis of randomized clinical trials (RCT). When the dimension $p$ of the covariates is large relative to the sample size $n$,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-24 Yujia Gu , Lin Liu , Wei Ma

When we are interested in high-dimensional system and focus on classification performance, the $\ell_{1}$-penalized logistic regression is becoming important and popular. However, the Lasso estimates could be problematic when penalties of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Huamei Huang , Yujing Gao , Huiming Zhang , Bo Li

Nonlinear function estimation is core to modern machine learning applications. In this paper, to perform nonlinear function estimation, we reduce a nonlinear inverse problem to a linear one using a polynomial kernel expansion. These kernels…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-02 Hangjin Liu , You , Zhou , Ahmad Beirami , Dror Baron

We propose a new measure of variable importance in high-dimensional regression based on the change in the LASSO solution path when one covariate is left out. The proposed procedure provides a novel way to calculate variable importance and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-11 Xiangyang Cao , Karl Gregory , Dewei Wang

In practical applications, machine learning algorithms are often needed to learn classifiers that optimize domain specific performance measures. Previously, the research has focused on learning the needed classifier in isolation, yet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Nan Li , Ivor W. Tsang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

Causal influence measures for machine learnt classifiers shed light on the reasons behind classification, and aid in identifying influential input features and revealing their biases. However, such analyses involve evaluating the classifier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-10 Shayak Sen , Piotr Mardziel , Anupam Datta , Matthew Fredrikson

Probability integral transforms (PITs) and empirical $p$-values are widely used to assess the calibration of predictive distributions. While exact PIT values are uniformly distributed under correct model specification, practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Jakub Lis

Principal Component Analysis is a key technique for reducing the complexity of high-dimensional data while preserving its fundamental data structure, ensuring models remain stable and interpretable. This is achieved by transforming the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Nuwan Weeraratne , Lyn Hunt , Jason Kurz

Machine Learning explainability techniques have been proposed as a means of `explaining' or interrogating a model in order to understand why a particular decision or prediction has been made. Such an ability is especially important at a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-28 Matthew J. Vowels

In the sparse linear regression setting, we consider testing the significance of the predictor variable that enters the current lasso model, in the sequence of models visited along the lasso solution path. We propose a simple test statistic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Richard Lockhart , Jonathan Taylor , Ryan J. Tibshirani , Robert Tibshirani

As Language Model (LM) capabilities advance, evaluating and supervising them at scale is getting harder for humans. There is hope that other language models can automate both these tasks, which we refer to as ''AI Oversight''. We study how…

Several variational bounds involving importance weighting ideas generalize the Evidence Lower BOund (ELBO) for marginal likelihood optimization, such as the Importance-weighted Auto-Encoder (IWAE), Variational R\'enyi (VR) and VR-IWAE…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Kamélia Daudel , François Roueff

Hypothesis tests calibrated by (re)sampling methods (such as permutation, rank and bootstrap tests) are useful tools for statistical analysis, at the computational cost of requiring Monte-Carlo sampling for calibration. It is common and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Ivo V. Stoepker , Rui M. Castro

Reinforcement Learning, particularly through policy gradient methods, has played a central role in enabling reasoning capabilities of Large Language Models. However, the optimization stability of policy gradients in this setting remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Luckeciano C. Melo , Alessandro Abate , Yarin Gal

Scientists and practitioners increasingly rely on machine learning to model data and draw conclusions. Compared to statistical modeling approaches, machine learning makes fewer explicit assumptions about data structures, such as linearity.…

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