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We study stochastic differential equations driven by finite-order chaos processes on abstract Wiener spaces, with pathwise Riemann-Stieltjes integration. The driving noise is an $\mathbb{R}^m$-valued chaotic process given by multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Laurent Loosveldt , Yassine Nachit , Ivan Nourdin

In this paper, we consider a class of reflected stochastic differential equations for which the constraint is not on the paths of the solution but on its law. We establish a small noise large deviation principle, a large deviation for short…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Ping Chen , Jianliang Zhai

In this paper we study the problem of the numerical calculation (by Monte Carlo Methods) of the effective diffusivity for a particle moving in a periodic divergent-free velocity filed, in the limit of vanishing molecular diffusion. In this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-11-13 G. A. Pavliotis , A. M. Stuart , K. C. Zygalakis

Bayesian inference allows to obtain useful information on the parameters of models, either in computational statistics or more recently in the context of Bayesian Neural Networks. The computational cost of usual Monte Carlo methods for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-03 Inass Sekkat , Gabriel Stoltz

We present on-line policy gradient algorithms for computing the locally optimal policy of a constrained, average cost, finite state Markov Decision Process. The stochastic approximation algorithms require estimation of the gradient of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-18 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Felisa Vazquez Abad

We propose a variance reduction framework for variational inference using the Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method. Our framework is built on reparameterized gradient estimators and "recycles" parameters obtained from past update history in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-03 Masahiro Fujisawa , Issei Sato

This paper considers the strong error analysis of the Euler and fast Euler methods for nonlinear overdamped generalized Langevin equations driven by the fractional noise. The main difficulty lies in handling the interaction between the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Xinjie Dai , Jialin Hong , Derui Sheng , Tau Zhou

Two popular classes of methods for approximate inference are Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and variational inference. MCMC tends to be accurate if run for a long enough time, while variational inference tends to give better approximations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-21 Justin Domke

By using Malliavin calculus and multiple Wiener-It\^o integrals, we study the existence and the regularity of stochastic currents defined as Skorohod (divergence) integrals with respect to the Brownian motion and to the fractional Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-17 Franco Flandoli , Ciprian Tudor

We study the error of the Euler scheme applied to a stochastic partial differential equation. We prove that as it is often the case, the weak order of convergence is twice the strong order. A key ingredient in our proof is Malliavin…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Arnaud Debussche

The article is devoted to models of financial markets with stochastic volatility, which is defined by a functional of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process or Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. We study the question of exact price of European option. The…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-02 S. Kuchuk-Iatsenko , Y. Mishura , Y. Munchak

In this paper we propose an efficient variance reduction approach for additive functionals of Markov chains relying on a novel discrete time martingale representation. Our approach is fully non-asymptotic and does not require the knowledge…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-22 D. Belomestny , E. Moulines , S. Samsonov

Finding effective ways to exploit parallel computing to accelerate Markov chain Monte Carlo methods is an important problem in Bayesian computation and related disciplines. In this paper, we consider the zeroth-order setting where the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-28 Francesco Pozza , Giacomo Zanella

By using Malliavin calculus, explicit derivative formulae are established for a class of semi-linear functional stochastic partial differential equations with additive or multiplicative noise. As applications, gradient estimates and Harnack…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-25 Jianhai Bao , Feng-Yu Wang , Chenggui Yuan

Standard Markov chain Monte Carlo methods struggle to explore distributions that are concentrated in the neighbourhood of low-dimensional structures. These pathologies naturally occur in a number of situations. For example, they are common…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-02 Khai Xiang Au , Matthew M. Graham , Alexandre H. Thiery

Modern variational inference (VI) uses stochastic gradients to avoid intractable expectations, enabling large-scale probabilistic inference in complex models. VI posits a family of approximating distributions q and then finds the member of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-24 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , David Blei

This article addresses online variational estimation in parametric state-space models. We propose a new procedure for efficiently computing the evidence lower bound and its gradient in a streaming-data setting, where observations arrive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Mathis Chagneux , Mathias Müller , Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff , Jimmy Olsson

Quantile regression (QR) is now widely used to analyze the effect of covariates on the conditional distribution of a response variable. It provides a more comprehensive picture of the relationship between a response and covariates compared…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Wenwu Gao , Dongyi Zheng , Hanbing Zhu

This paper presents a control variate-based Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for efficient sampling from the probability simplex, with a focus on applications in large-scale Bayesian models such as latent Dirichlet allocation. Standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-02 Francesco Barile , Christopher Nemeth

We introduce a class of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators for the multivariate density of max-stable fields generated by Gaussian processes. Our estimators take advantage of recent results on exact simulation of max-stable fields combined…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-28 Jose Blanchet , Zhipeng Liu