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Finance-related news such as Bloomberg News, CNN Business and Forbes are valuable sources of real data for market screening systems. In news, an expert shares opinions beyond plain technical analyses that include context such as political,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Silvia García-Méndez , Francisco de Arriba-Pérez , Ana Barros-Vila , Francisco J. González-Castaño

Reasoning failures in large language models (LLMs) are typically measured only at the end of a generation, yet many failures manifest as a process-level breakdown: the model "loses the thread" mid-reasoning. We study whether such breakdowns…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Jinkun Chen , Fengxiang Cheng , Sijia Han , Vlado Keselj

This study proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a Large Language Model (LLM) with a Transformer architecture for stock price forecasting. The research addresses a critical theoretical gap in existing approaches…

The fundamental challenge of using Large Language Models (LLMs) for reliable, enterprise-grade analytics, such as sentiment prediction, is the conflict between the LLMs' inherent stochasticity (generative, non-deterministic nature) and the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Sharookh Daruwalla , Nitin Mayande , Shreeya Verma Kathuria , Nitin Joglekar , Charles Weber

Ensuring the robustness of factual knowledge in LLMs is critical for reliable applications in tasks such as question answering and reasoning. However, existing evaluation methods predominantly focus on performance-based metrics, often…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Alina Fastowski , Bardh Prenkaj , Gjergji Kasneci

Accurate prediction of financial market volatility is critical for risk management, derivatives pricing, and investment strategy. In this study, we propose a multitude of regime-switching methods to improve the prediction of S&P 500…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-07 Ava C. Blake , Nivika A. Gandhi , Anurag R. Jakkula

Volatility is the canonical measure of financial risk, a role largely inherited from Modern Portfolio Theory. Yet, its universality rests on restrictive efficiency assumptions that render volatility, at best, an incomplete proxy for true…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini

Deploying machine learning in regulated financial environments -- credit risk, fraud detection, and anti-money laundering -- exposes critical vulnerabilities in algorithmic reproducibility. While early financial ML addressed statistical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Ruizhe Zhou , Xiaoyang Liu , Gaoyuan Du , Yi Zheng , Shouxi Ren , Deepayan Chakrabarti , Dengdu Jiang

As large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in high-stakes and operational settings, evaluation strategies based solely on aggregate accuracy are often insucient to characterize system reliability. This study proposes a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Hikmat Karimov , Rahid Zahid Alekberli

Sophisticated machine learning (ML) models to inform trading in the financial sector create problems of interpretability and risk management. Seemingly robust forecasting models may behave erroneously in out of distribution settings. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Gabriel Deza , Adelin Travers , Colin Rowat , Nicolas Papernot

The macroeconomic climate influences operations with regard to, e.g., raw material prices, financing, supply chain utilization and demand quotas. In order to adapt to the economic environment, decision-makers across the public and private…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Stefan Feuerriegel , Julius Gordon

Portfolio managers rely on correlation-based analysis and heuristic methods that fail to capture true causal relationships driving performance. We present a hybrid framework that integrates statistical causal discovery algorithms with…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-24 Alejandro Michel , Abhinav Arun , Bhaskarjit Sarmah , Stefano Pasquali

Large language models used for clinical abstraction are sensitive to prompt wording, yet most work treats prompts as fixed and studies uncertainty in isolation. We argue these should be treated jointly. Across two clinical tasks (MedAlign…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Arinbjörn Kolbeinsson , Daniel Timbie , Sajjan Narsinghani , Sanjay Hariharan

Robustness evaluation for Natural Language to SQL (NL2SQL) systems is essential because real-world database environments are dynamic, noisy, and continuously evolving, whereas conventional benchmark evaluations typically assume static…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Lifu Tu , Rongguang Wang , Tao Sheng , Sujjith Ravi , Dan Roth

This work introduces a regime-aware in-context learning framework that leverages large language models (LLMs) for financial volatility forecasting under nonstationary market conditions. The proposed approach deploys pretrained LLMs to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Saba Asaad , Shayan Mohajer Hamidi , Ali Bereyhi

Deep-learning-based NLP models are found to be vulnerable to word substitution perturbations. Before they are widely adopted, the fundamental issues of robustness need to be addressed. Along this line, we propose a formal framework to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Yuting Yang , Pei Huang , FeiFei Ma , Juan Cao , Meishan Zhang , Jian Zhang , Jintao Li

Financial sentiment analysis plays a crucial role in informing investment decisions, assessing market risk, and predicting stock price trends. Existing works in financial sentiment analysis have not considered the impact of stock prices or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Chaithra , Kamesh Kadimisetty , Biju R Mohan

In recent years, Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable versatility across various applications, including natural language understanding, domain-specific knowledge tasks, etc. However, applying LLMs to complex,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Xinqi Yang , Scott Zang , Yong Ren , Dingjie Peng , Zheng Wen

LLM-as-judge frameworks are increasingly used for automatic NLG evaluation, yet their per-instance reliability remains poorly understood. We present a two-pronged diagnostic toolkit applied to SummEval: $\textbf{(1)}$ a transitivity…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Manan Gupta , Dhruv Kumar

While pre-trained language models (LMs) have brought great improvements in many NLP tasks, there is increasing attention to explore capabilities of LMs and interpret their predictions. However, existing works usually focus only on a certain…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Yaozong Shen , Lijie Wang , Ying Chen , Xinyan Xiao , Jing Liu , Hua Wu