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Cloud-related parameterizations remain a leading source of uncertainty in climate projections. Although machine learning holds promise for Earth system models (ESMs), many data-driven parameterizations lack interpretability, physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-25 Arthur Grundner , Tom Beucler , Julien Savre , Axel Lauer , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring

Extreme heat is the deadliest weather-related hazard in the United States. Furthermore, it is increasing in intensity, frequency, and duration, making skillful forecasts vital to protecting life and property. Traditional numerical weather…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-01 Kelsey E. Ennis , Elizabeth A. Barnes , Marybeth C. Arcodia , Martin A. Fernandez , Eric D. Maloney

Due to insufficient local area information, numerical weather prediction (NWP) may yield biases for specific areas. Previous studies correct biases mainly by employing handcrafted features or applying data-driven methods intuitively,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Binqing Wu , Weiqi Chen , Wengwei Wang , Bingqing Peng , Liang Sun , Ling Chen

Accurate weather forecast reporting enables individuals and communities to better plan daily activities and agricultural operations. However, the current reporting process primarily relies on manual analysis of multi-source data, which…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Zinan Zheng , Yang Liu , Nuo Chen , Juepeng Zheng , Hong Cheng , Jia Li

The recent boom of large pre-trained models witnesses remarkable success in developing foundation models (FMs) for time series forecasting. Despite impressive performance across diverse downstream forecasting tasks, existing time series FMs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Hui He , Kun Yi , Yuanchi Ma , Qi Zhang , Zhendong Niu , Guansong Pang

The transition from conventional methods of energy production to renewable energy production necessitates better prediction models of the upcoming supply of renewable energy. In wind power production, error in forecasting production is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Alagappan Swaminathan , Venkatakrishnan Sutharsan , Tamilselvi Selvaraj

This study investigates zero-shot forecasting capabilities of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) for macroeconomic indicators. We apply TSFMs to forecasting economic indicators under univariate conditions, bypassing the need for train…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Jittarin Jetwiriyanon , Teo Susnjak , Surangika Ranathunga

The midlatitude climate and weather are shaped by storms, yet the factors governing their predictability remain insufficiently understood. Here, we use a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to predict and quantify uncertainty in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-30 Wuqiushi Yao , Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

Operational weather prediction at kilometer scales remains computationally prohibitive for traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, limiting forecast access for applications in energy, agriculture, and disaster management that…

To promote the practical application of AI Global Weather Forecasting Models (AIGWFM), we have developed an adaptable application platform named 'YanTian'. This platform enhances existing open-source AIGWFM with a suite of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-15 Wencong Cheng , Jiangjiang Xia , Chang Qu , Zhigang Wang , Xinyi Zeng , Fang Huang , Tianye Li

Authors: Yifan Xu Abstract: Conventional wind power prediction methods often struggle to provide accurate and reliable predictions in the presence of sudden changes in wind speed and power output. To address this challenge, this study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Yifan Xu

We provide a condition monitoring system for wind farms, based on normal behaviour modelling using a probabilistic multi-layer perceptron with transfer learning via fine-tuning. The model predicts the output power of the wind turbine under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Filippo Fiocchi , Domna Ladopoulou , Petros Dellaportas

With the rapid growth of wind power penetration, wind farms (WFs) are required to implement frequency regulation that active power control to track a given power reference. Due to the wake interaction of the wind turbines (WTs), there is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-31 Cheng Zhong , Yicheng Ding , Husai Wang , Jikai Chen , Jian Wang , Yang Li

The rapid growth of the wind energy sector underscores the urgent need to optimize turbine operations and ensure effective maintenance through early fault detection systems. While traditional empirical and physics-based models offer…

The resilience of electric power grids is threatened by natural hazards. Climate-related hazards are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Statistical analyses clearly demonstrate a rise in the number of incidents (power…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-30 George Karagiannakis , Mathaios Panteli , Sotirios Argyroudis

Integrating AI into the physical layer is a cornerstone of 6G networks. However, current data-driven approaches struggle to generalize across dynamic environments because they lack an intrinsic understanding of electromagnetic wave…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Ziqi Chen , Yi Ren , Yixuan Huang , Qi Sun , Nan Li , Yuhong Huang , Chih-Lin I , Yifan Li , Liang Xia

The wind power ramp events threaten the power grid safety significantly. To improve the ramp prediction accuracy, a hybrid wavelet deep belief network algorithm with adaptive feature selection (WDBNAFS) is proposed. First, the wind power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-14 Zhenhao Tang , Qingyu Meng , Shengxian Cao , Yang Li , Zhongha Mu , Xiaoya Pang

Weather forecasting is a long-standing computational challenge with direct societal and economic impacts. This task involves a large amount of continuous data collection and exhibits rich spatiotemporal dependencies over long periods,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Xin Man , Chenghong Zhang , Jin Feng , Changyu Li , Jie Shao

Accurately representing surface weather at the sub-kilometer scale is crucial for optimal decision-making in a wide range of applications. This motivates the use of statistical techniques to provide accurate and calibrated probabilistic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-15 Francesco Zanetta , Daniele Nerini , Matteo Buzzi , Henry Moss

Foundation models (FMs) have shown remarkable capabilities in generalized intelligence, multimodal understanding, and adaptive learning across a wide range of domains. However, their deployment in harsh or austere environments --…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Evan Chen , Seyyedali Hosseinalipour , Christopher G. Brinton , David J. Love