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Music popularity prediction has garnered significant attention in both industry and academia, fuelled by the rise of data-driven algorithms and streaming platforms like Spotify. This study aims to explore the predictive power of various…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Niklas Sebastian , Jung , Florian Mayer

Spotify's streaming charts offer a real-time lens into music popularity, driving discovery, playlists, and even revenue potential. Understanding what influences a song's rise in ranks on these charts-especially early on-can guide marketing…

Sound · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Ian Jacob Cabansag , Paul Ntegeka

Hit song prediction, one of the emerging fields in music information retrieval (MIR), remains a considerable challenge. Being able to understand what makes a given song a hit is clearly beneficial to the whole music industry. Previous…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Mengyisong Zhao , Morgan Harvey , David Cameron , Frank Hopfgartner , Valerie J. Gillet

Forecasting the popularity of new songs has become a standard practice in the music industry and provides a comparative advantage for those that do it well. Considerable efforts were put into machine learning prediction models for that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-29 Niklas Reisz , Vito D. P. Servedio , Stefan Thurner

Artificial Intelligence (AI ) has been very successful in creating and predicting music playlists for online users based on their data; data received from users experience using the app such as searching the songs they like. There are lots…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Marissa Baxter , Lisa Ha , Kirill Perfiliev , Natalie Sayre

In this work, we attempt to solve the Hit Song Science problem, which aims to predict which songs will become chart-topping hits. We constructed a dataset with approximately 1.8 million hit and non-hit songs and extracted their audio…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Kai Middlebrook , Kian Sheik

In this study, we approached the Hit Song Prediction problem, which aims to predict which songs will become Billboard hits. We gathered a dataset of nearly 18500 hit and non-hit songs and extracted their audio features using the Spotify Web…

Sound · Computer Science 2023-01-20 Ioannis Dimolitsas , Spyridon Kantarelis , Afroditi Fouka

In the digital streaming landscape, it's becoming increasingly challenging for artists and industry experts to predict the success of music tracks. This study introduces a pioneering methodology that uses Convolutional Neural Networks…

Sound · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Navid Falah , Behnam Yousefimehr , Mehdi Ghatee

Accurately predicting music popularity is a critical challenge in the music industry, offering benefits to artists, producers, and streaming platforms. Prior research has largely focused on audio features, social metadata, or model…

Sound · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Yash Choudhary , Preeti Rao , Pushpak Bhattacharyya

Billions of USD are invested in new artists and songs by the music industry every year. This research provides a new strategy for assessing the hit potential of songs, which can help record companies support their investment decisions. A…

Sound · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Dorien Herremans , Tom Bergmans

Since the creation of the Billboard Hot 100 music chart in 1958, the chart has been a window into the music consumption of Americans. Which songs succeed on the chart is decided by consumption volumes, which can be affected by consumer…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-14 Marta Ewa Lech , Sune Lehmann , Jonas L. Juul

Predicting a song's commercial success prior to its release remains an open and critical research challenge for the music industry. Early prediction of music popularity informs strategic decisions, creative planning, and marketing. Existing…

Sound · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Yash Choudhary , Preeti Rao , Pushpak Bhattacharyya

Being able to predict whether a song can be a hit has impor- tant applications in the music industry. Although it is true that the popularity of a song can be greatly affected by exter- nal factors such as social and commercial influences,…

Sound · Computer Science 2017-04-06 Li-Chia Yang , Szu-Yu Chou , Jen-Yu Liu , Yi-Hsuan Yang , Yi-An Chen

This study approached the Hit Song Science problem with the aim of predicting which songs in the Afrobeats genre will become popular among Spotify listeners. A dataset of 2063 songs was generated through the Spotify Web API, with the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Adewale Adeagbo

Livestreaming commerce, a hybrid of e-commerce and self-media, has expanded the broad spectrum of traditional sales performance determinants. To investigate the factors that contribute to the success of livestreaming commerce, we construct…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-31 Xiong Xiong , Fan Yang , Li Su

The music industry is a $130 billion industry. Predicting whether a song catches the pulse of the audience impacts the industry. In this paper we analyze language inside the lyrics of the songs using several computational linguistic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2015-12-07 Vivek Datla , Abhinav Vishnu

Understanding music popularity is important not only for the artists who create and perform music but also for the music-related industry. It has not been studied well how music popularity can be defined, what its characteristics are, and…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Junghyuk Lee , Jong-Seok Lee

This study explores the association between music preferences and moral values by applying text analysis techniques to lyrics. Harvesting data from a Facebook-hosted application, we align psychometric scores of 1,386 users to lyrics from…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Vjosa Preniqi , Kyriaki Kalimeri , Charalampos Saitis

Using a set of over 70.000 records from PLOS One journal consisting of 37 lexical, sentiment and bibliographic variables we perform analysis backed with machine learning methods to predict the class of popularity of scientific papers…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-19 Robert Jankowski , Julian Sienkiewicz

The mood of a song is a highly relevant feature for exploration and recommendation in large collections of music. These collections tend to require automatic methods for predicting such moods. In this work, we show that listening-based…

Sound · Computer Science 2020-10-24 Filip Korzeniowski , Oriol Nieto , Matthew McCallum , Minz Won , Sergio Oramas , Erik Schmidt
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