English

Song Hit Prediction: Predicting Billboard Hits Using Spotify Data

Information Retrieval 2019-09-20 v2 Machine Learning Machine Learning

Abstract

In this work, we attempt to solve the Hit Song Science problem, which aims to predict which songs will become chart-topping hits. We constructed a dataset with approximately 1.8 million hit and non-hit songs and extracted their audio features using the Spotify Web API. We test four models on our dataset. Our best model was random forest, which was able to predict Billboard song success with 88% accuracy.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1908.08609,
  title  = {Song Hit Prediction: Predicting Billboard Hits Using Spotify Data},
  author = {Kai Middlebrook and Kian Sheik},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1908.08609},
  year   = {2019}
}

Comments

6 pages, 5 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-23T10:54:44.994Z