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This paper presents a model of asymmetric bifurcating autoregressive process with random coefficients. We couple this model with a Galton Watson tree to take into account possibly missing observations. We propose least-squares estimators…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Benoîte de Saporta , Anne Gégout-Petit , Laurence Marsalle

In this paper we develop new Newton and conjugate gradient algorithms on the Grassmann and Stiefel manifolds. These manifolds represent the constraints that arise in such areas as the symmetric eigenvalue problem, nonlinear eigenvalue…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-09-25 Alan Edelman , T. A. Arias , Steven T. Smith

We propose a recursive Bayesian estimation procedure for multivariate autoregressive models with exogenous inputs based on message passing in a factor graph. Unlike recursive least-squares, our method produces full posterior distributions…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-04 T. N. Nisslbeck , Wouter M. Kouw

Parameter identification and comparison of dynamical systems is a challenging task in many fields. Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian process regression over time-series data have been successfully applied to infer the parameters of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-04 Philippe Wenk , Alkis Gotovos , Stefan Bauer , Nico Gorbach , Andreas Krause , Joachim M. Buhmann

The concept of a random process has been recently extended to graph signals, whereby random graph processes are a class of multivariate stochastic processes whose coefficients are matrices with a \textit{graph-topological} structure. The…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-13 Thiernithi Variddhisai , Danilo Mandic

An ensemble method is introduced that utilizes randomization and loss function gradients to compute a prediction. Multiple weakly-correlated estimators approximate the gradient at randomly sampled points on the error surface and are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Nicholas Smith

Autoregressive models are ubiquitous tools for the analysis of time series in many domains such as computational neuroscience and biomedical engineering. In these domains, data is, for example, collected from measurements of brain activity.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-02 Jonas F. Haderlein , Andre D. H. Peterson , Anthony N. Burkitt , Iven M. Y. Mareels , David B. Grayden

In this paper, we investigate a class of spherical functional autoregressive processes, and we discuss the estimation of the corresponding autoregressive kernels. In particular, we first establish a consistency result (in sup and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-15 Alessia Caponera , Domenico Marinucci

A random coefficient autoregressive process is deeply investigated in which the coefficients are correlated. First we look at the existence of a strictly stationary causal solution, we give the second-order stationarity conditions and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Frédéric Proïa , Marius Soltane

We propose a novel recursive system identification algorithm for linear autoregressive systems with skewed innovations. The algorithm is based on the variational Bayes approximation of the model with a multivariate normal prior for the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-12-13 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri

Motivated by a variety of applications, high-dimensional time series have become an active topic of research. In particular, several methods and finite-sample theories for individual stable autoregressive processes with known lag have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-06 Somnath Chakraborty , Johannes Lederer , Rainer von Sachs

Random orthogonal matrices play an important role in probability and statistics, arising in multivariate analysis, directional statistics, and models of physical systems, among other areas. Calculations involving random orthogonal matrices…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Michael Jauch , Peter D. Hoff , David B. Dunson

Considering orthogonal Stiefel manifolds as constraint manifolds, we give an explicit description of a set of local coordinates that also generate a basis for the tangent space in any point of the orthogonal Stiefel manifolds. We show how…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Petre Birtea , Ioan Casu , Dan Comanescu

A parameter estimation method is devised for a slow-fast stochastic dynamical system, where often only the slow component is observable. By using the observations only on the slow component, the system parameters are estimated by working on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Jian Ren , Jinqiao Duan

A generalized Stiefel manifold is the manifold of orthonormal frames in a vector space with a non-degenerated bilinear or hermitian form. In this article, the Isometry group of the generalized Stiefel manifolds are computed at least up to…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Manuel Sedano-Mendoza

An autoregressive-moving average model in which all roots of the autoregressive polynomial are reciprocals of roots of the moving average polynomial and vice versa is called an all-pass time series model. All-pass models are useful for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Beth Andrews , Richard A. Davis , F. Jay Breidt

Gaussian processes are used in machine learning to learn input-output mappings from observed data. Gaussian process regression is based on imposing a Gaussian process prior on the unknown regressor function and statistically conditioning it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-16 Simo Särkkä

The aim of this paper is to define a nonlinear least squares estimator for the spectral parameters of a spherical autoregressive process of order 1 in a parametric setting. Furthermore, we investigate on its asymptotic properties, such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Alessia Caponera , Claudio Durastanti

Polygons are compound geometric objects, but when trying to understand the expected behavior of a large collection of random polygons -- or even to formalize what a random polygon is -- it is convenient to interpret each polygon as a point…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2019-09-23 Clayton Shonkwiler

In this paper, we propose a simple acceleration scheme for Riemannian gradient methods by extrapolating iterates on manifolds. We show when the iterates are generated from Riemannian gradient descent method, the accelerated scheme achieves…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-16 Andi Han , Bamdev Mishra , Pratik Jawanpuria , Junbin Gao
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