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Models characterized by autoregressive structure and random coefficients are powerful tools for the analysis of high-frequency, high-dimensional and volatile time series. The available literature on such models is broad, but also sectorial,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Marta Regis , Paulo Serra , Edwin R. van den Heuvel

The paper proposes an identification procedure for autoregressive gaussian stationary stochastic processes wherein the manifest (or observed) variables are mostly related through a limited number of latent (or hidden) variables. The method…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Mattia Zorzi , Rodolphe Sepulchre

This paper investigates structural changes in the parameters of first-order autoregressive models by analyzing the edge eigenvalues of the precision matrices. Specifically, edge eigenvalues in the precision matrix are observed if and only…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Junho Yang

Gaussian variational approximation is a popular methodology to approximate posterior distributions in Bayesian inference especially in high dimensional and large data settings. To control the computational cost while being able to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Bingxin Zhou , Junbin Gao , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Richard Gerlach

This paper focus on investigating the distributed Riemannian stochastic optimization problem on the Stiefel manifold for multi-agent systems, where all the agents work collaboratively to optimize a function modeled by the average of their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Jishu Zhao , Xi Wang , Jinlong Lei

We study the asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under very weak assumptions on the driven noise of the process, namely conditional pair-wise independence…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Bernard Bercu , Benoite de Saporta , Anne Gegout-Petit

We consider the problem of minimizing a non-convex function over a smooth manifold $\mathcal{M}$. We propose a novel algorithm, the Orthogonal Directions Constrained Gradient Method (ODCGM) which only requires computing a projection onto a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-17 Sholom Schechtman , Daniil Tiapkin , Michael Muehlebach , Eric Moulines

This paper introduces a new stochastic process with values in the set Z of integers with sign. The increments of process are Poisson differences and the dynamics has an autoregressive structure. We study the properties of the process and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-12 Giulia Carallo , Roberto Casarin , Christian P. Robert

This paper introduces an extension of the backpropagation algorithm that enables us to have layers with constrained weights in a deep network. In particular, we make use of the Riemannian geometry and optimization techniques on matrix…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-11-21 Mehrtash Harandi , Basura Fernando

In the present paper, we propose and analyze a novel method for estimating a univariate regression function of bounded variation. The underpinning idea is to combine two classical tools in nonparametric statistics, namely isotonic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Arnaud Guyader , Nicolas Jégou , Alexander B. Németh , Sándor Z. Németh

Gaussian process regression is widely used because of its ability to provide well-calibrated uncertainty estimates and handle small or sparse datasets. However, it struggles with high-dimensional data. One possible way to scale this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-02 Bernardo Fichera , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Andreas Krause , Aude Billard

In this paper, we define the geometric median of a probability measure on a Riemannian manifold, give its characterization and a natural condition to ensure its uniqueness. In order to calculate the median in practical cases, we also…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Le Yang

We consider estimation procedures which are recursive in the sense that each successive estimator is obtained from the previous one by a simple adjustment. We propose a wide class of recursive estimation procedures for the general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Teo Sharia

We compute the degree of Stiefel manifolds, that is, the variety of orthonormal frames in a finite dimensional vector space. Our approach employs techniques from classical algebraic geometry, algebraic combinatorics, and classical invariant…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Taylor Brysiewicz , Fulvio Gesmundo

A method is presented in which matrix elements for some processes are calculated recursively. This recursive calculational technique is based on the method of basis spinors.

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 V. V. Andreev

We introduce Autoregressive Graphical Models (AGMs) as an Ansatz for modeling the ground states of stoquastic Hamiltonians. Exact learning of these models for smaller systems show the dominance of the pairwise terms in the autoregressive…

Gaussian processes models are widely adopted for nonparameteric/semi-parametric modeling. Identifiability issues occur when the mean model contains polynomials with unknown coefficients. Though resulting prediction is unaffected, this leads…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-02 Matthew Plumlee , V. Roshan Joseph

We address the problem to estimate a Kronecker graphical model corresponding to an autoregressive Gaussian stochastic process. The latter is completely described by the power spectral density function whose inverse has support which admits…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Mattia Zorzi

Orthogonality constraints naturally appear in many machine learning problems, from principal component analysis to robust neural network training. They are usually solved using Riemannian optimization algorithms, which minimize the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-08 Pierre Ablin , Simon Vary , Bin Gao , P. -A. Absil

Generalized autoregressive score (GAS) models are a class of observation-driven time series models that employ the score to dynamically update time-varying parameters of the underlying probability distribution. GAS models have been…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-09 Vladimír Holý