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This article proposes methods to model nonstationary temporal graph processes. This corresponds to modelling the observation of edge variables (relationships between objects) indicating interactions between pairs of nodes (or objects)…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-07 Maria Suveges , Sofia C. Olhede

Modelling dependencies between climate extremes is important for climate risk assessment, for instance when allocating emergency management funds. In statistics, multivariate extreme value theory is often used to model spatial extremes.…

To mitigate the risk posed by extreme rainfall events, we require statistical models that reliably capture extremes in continuous space with dependence. However, assuming a stationary dependence structure in such models is often erroneous,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-15 K. R. Saunders , A. G. Stephenson , D. J. Karoly

With the proliferation of modern high-resolution measuring instruments mounted on satellites, planes, ground-based vehicles and monitoring stations, a need has arisen for statistical methods suitable for the analysis of large spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-26 Matthias Katzfuss

Different dependence scenarios can arise in multivariate extremes, entailing careful selection of an appropriate class of models. In bivariate extremes, the variables are either asymptotically dependent or are asymptotically independent.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-30 Jennifer Wadsworth , Jonathan Tawn , Anthony Davison , Daniel Elton

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace in spatial statistics. Although many non-stationary models have been developed, there is arguably a lack of flexibility compared to equipping each location with its own parameters. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-19 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Extreme events over large spatial domains may exhibit highly heterogeneous tail dependence characteristics, yet most existing spatial extremes models yield only one dependence class over the entire spatial domain. To accurately characterize…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Muyang Shi , Likun Zhang , Mark D. Risser , Benjamin A. Shaby

The probability and structure of co-occurrences of extreme values in multivariate data may critically depend on auxiliary information provided by covariates. In this contribution, we develop a flexible generalized additive modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 Linda Mhalla , Thomas Opitz , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

The statistical modeling of space-time extremes in environmental applications is key to understanding complex dependence structures in original event data and to generating realistic scenarios for impact models. In this context of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-16 Jean-Noel Bacro , Carlo Gaetan , Thomas Opitz , Gwladys Toulemonde

The analysis of spatial extremes requires the joint modeling of a spatial process at a large number of stations and max-stable processes have been developed as a class of stochastic processes suitable for studying spatial extremes. Spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Soyoung Jeon , Richard L. Smith

The conditional autoregressive model is a routinely used statistical model for areal data that arise from, for instances, epidemiological, socio-economic or ecological studies. Various multivariate conditional autoregressive models have…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Ye Liang

This article proposes a generalized notion of extreme multivariate dependence between two random vectors which relies on the extremality of the cross-covariance matrix between these two vectors. Using a partial ordering on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-10 Damien Bosc , Alfred Galichon

Flexible spatial models that allow transitions between tail dependence classes have recently appeared in the literature. However, inference for these models is computationally prohibitive, even in moderate dimensions, due to the necessity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Likun Zhang , Benjamin A. Shaby , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Inference over tails is performed by applying only the results of extreme value theory. Whilst such theory is well defined and flexible enough in the univariate case, multivariate inferential methods often require the imposition of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-11 Manuele Leonelli , Dani Gamerman

The aim of this paper is to provide models for spatial extremes in the case of stationarity. The spatial dependence at extreme levels of a stationary process is modeled using an extension of the theory of max-stable processes of de Haan and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Laurens de Haan , Teresa T. Pereira

Regularly varying space-time processes have proved useful to study extremal dependence in space-time data. We propose a semiparametric estimation procedure based on a closed form expression of the extremogram to estimate parametric models…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Sven Buhl , Richard A. Davis , Claudia Klüppelberg , Christina Steinkohl

Spatial maps of extreme precipitation are crucial in flood protection. With the aim of producing maps of precipitation return levels, we propose a novel approach to model a collection of spatially distributed time series where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-27 Federica Stolf , Antonio Canale

We introduce a nonparametric graphical model for discrete node variables based on additive conditional independence. Additive conditional independence is a three way statistical relation that shares similar properties with conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Jun Tao , Bing Li , Lingzhou Xue

Graphical models are widely used in diverse application domains to model the conditional dependencies amongst a collection of random variables. In this paper, we consider settings where the graph structure is covariate-dependent, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-24 Jiahe Lin , Yikai Zhang , George Michailidis

We introduce a new framework to analyze shape descriptors that capture the geometric features of an ensemble of point clouds. At the core of our approach is the point of view that the data arises as sampled recordings from a metric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-11 Anne van Delft , Andrew J. Blumberg