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The paper solves the problem of optimal portfolio choice when the parameters of the asset returns distribution, like the mean vector and the covariance matrix are unknown and have to be estimated by using historical data of the asset…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 David Bauder , Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

While conditional diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in various applications, they require abundant data to train from scratch, which is often infeasible in practice. To address this issue, transfer learning has emerged as an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Ziheng Cheng , Tianyu Xie , Shiyue Zhang , Cheng Zhang

We introduce a new predictive mechanism that operates in the presence of hidden confounding across distributionally diverse data sources while ensuring consistent estimation of causal parameters-despite their recognized suboptimality for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , David Ríos Insua

This paper aims to develop new mathematical and computational tools for modeling the distribution of portfolio returns across portfolios. We establish relevant mathematical formulas and propose efficient algorithms, drawing upon powerful…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-05-17 Ludovic Calès , Apostolos Chalkis , Ioannis Z. Emiris

Understanding variable dependence, particularly eliciting their statistical properties given a set of covariates, provides the mathematical foundation in practical operations management such as risk analysis and decision-making given…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

We build the time series of optimal realized portfolio weights from high-frequency data and we suggest a novel Dynamic Conditional Weights (DCW) model for their dynamics. DCW is benchmarked against popular model-based and model-free…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-28 Fabrizio Cipollini , Giampiero M. Gallo , Alessandro Palandri

Accurate modeling of robot dynamics is essential for model-based control, yet remains challenging under distributional shifts and real-time constraints. In this work, we formulate system identification as an in-context meta-learning problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Angelo Moroncelli , Matteo Rufolo , Gunes Cagin Aydin , Asad Ali Shahid , Loris Roveda

Speech enhancement is a critical component of many user-oriented audio applications, yet current systems still suffer from distorted and unnatural outputs. While generative models have shown strong potential in speech synthesis, they are…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-11 Yen-Ju Lu , Zhong-Qiu Wang , Shinji Watanabe , Alexander Richard , Cheng Yu , Yu Tsao

We present a novel generative modeling framework,Wavelet-Fourier-Diffusion, which adapts the diffusion paradigm to hybrid frequency representations in order to synthesize high-quality, high-fidelity images with improved spatial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Andrew Kiruluta , Andreas Lemos

In the context of the rising share of new energy generation, accurately generating new energy output scenarios is crucial for day-ahead power system scheduling. Deep learning-based scenario generation methods can address this need, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Changgang Wang , Wei Liu , Yu Cao , Dong Liang , Yang Li , Jingshan Mo

In this study, we have developed a dynamic asset allocation investment strategy using reinforcement learning techniques. To begin with, we have addressed the crucial issue of incorporating non-stationarity of financial time series data into…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-10 Yasuhiro Nakayama , Tomochika Sawaki

The present paper provides a study of high-dimensional statistical arbitrage that combines factor models with the tools from stochastic control, obtaining closed-form optimal strategies which are both interpretable and computationally…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-25 Jorge Guijarro-Ordonez

We present a dynamic model in which the weights are conditioned on an input sample x and are learned to match those that would be obtained by finetuning a base model on x and its label y. This mapping between an input sample and network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Shahar Lutati , Lior Wolf

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CoVaR) quantifies systemic financial risk by measuring the loss quantile of one asset, conditional on another asset experiencing distress. We develop a Transformer-based methodology that integrates financial news…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-16 Junyu Chen , Tom Boot , Lingwei Kong , Weining Wang

Contextual stochastic optimization is an advanced methodology to model uncertainty in the presence of contextual information during decision planning processes. Although classical methodologies focus on minimizing the expectation of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Man Yiu Tsang , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

Recent improvements in conditional generative modeling have made it possible to generate high-quality images from language descriptions alone. We investigate whether these methods can directly address the problem of sequential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Anurag Ajay , Yilun Du , Abhi Gupta , Joshua Tenenbaum , Tommi Jaakkola , Pulkit Agrawal

Asset management attempts to keep the power system in working conditions. It requires much coordination between multiple entities and long term planning often months in advance. In this work we introduce a mid-term asset management…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Gal Dalal , Elad Gilboa , Shie Mannor

Performance analysis, from the external point of view of a client who would only have access to returns and holdings of a fund, evolved towards exact attribution made in the context of portfolio optimisation, which is the internal point of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-08 Bruno Durin

This paper proposes a supervised training algorithm for learning stochastic resource allocation policies with generative diffusion models (GDMs). We formulate the allocation problem as the maximization of an ergodic utility function subject…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Yigit Berkay Uslu , Samar Hadou , Shirin Saeedi Bidokhti , Alejandro Ribeiro

In the financial services industry, forecasting the risk factor distribution conditional on the history and the current market environment is the key to market risk modeling in general and value at risk (VaR) model in particular. As one of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-22 Lars Ericson , Xuejun Zhu , Xusi Han , Rao Fu , Shuang Li , Steve Guo , Ping Hu
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