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Modeling of growth (or decay) curves arises in many fields such as microbiology, epidemiology, marketing, and econometrics. Parametric forms like Logistic and Gompertz are often used for modeling such monotonic patterns. While useful for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Rajesh Selukar

In this paper we derive the closed-form solutions for the Lucas-Uzawa growth model with the aid of the partial Hamiltonian approach and then compare our results with those derived by the classical approach \cite{chil}. The partial…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-24 Rehana Naz , Azam Chaudhry

We develop a physics-informed neural network (PINN) framework for parameter estimation in fractional-order SEIRD epidemic models. By embedding the Caputo fractional derivative into the network residuals via the L1 discretization scheme, our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Achraf Zinihi

Hidden Markov models are widely used for modeling sequential data but typically have limited applicability in observational causal inference due to their strong conditional independence assumptions. I introduce feedback-augmented…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-21 Jouni Helske

We propose a semi-partitioned Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) framework for analyzing longitudinal data with time-dependent covariates, within a marginal modeling paradigm. This approach addresses limitations of both aggregated and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Niloofar Ramezani , Jeffrey R. Wilson

This paper establishes new sufficient conditions for Mittag-Leffler stability of Caputo fractional-order nonlinear systems with state-dependent delays. The central analytical tool is a class of Lyapunov-Krasovskii functionals that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Abdallah Alsammani , Gassan Farah

Distributed optimization is fundamental to modern machine learning applications like federated learning, but existing methods often struggle with ill-conditioned problems and face stability-versus-speed tradeoffs. We introduce fractional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Andrei Lixandru , Marcel van Gerven , Sergio Pequito

The growth-fragmentation equation models systems of particles that grow and split as time proceeds. An important question concerns the large time asymptotic of its solutions. Doumic and Escobedo ($2016$) observed that when growth is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Benedetta Cavalli

We derive an alternative expression for a delayed logistic equation in which the rate of change in the population involves a growth rate that depends on the population density during an earlier time period. In our formulation, the delay in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Chiu-Ju Lin , Ting-Hao Hsu , Gail S. K. Wolkowicz

The main purpose of this paper is to study the fractional-order model with Caputo derivative associated to Lagrange system. For this fractional-order system we investigate the existence and uniqueness of solutions of initial value problem,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Mihai Ivan

Logistic regression models are a popular and effective method to predict the probability of categorical response data. However inference for these models can become computationally prohibitive for large datasets. Here we adapt ideas from…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Tom Whitaker , Boris Beranger , Scott A. Sisson

Logistic functions are good models of biological population growth. They are also popular in marketing in modelling demand-supply curves and in a different context, to chart the sales of new products over time. Delays being inherent in any…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-30 Milind M. Rao , K. L. Preetish

We introduce an efficient variational hybrid quantum-classical algorithm designed for solving Caputo time-fractional partial differential equations. Our method employs an iterable cost function incorporating a linear combination of overlap…

Traffic flow prediction is a critical component of intelligent transportation systems, yet accurately forecasting traffic remains challenging due to the interaction between long-term trends and short-term fluctuations. Standard deep…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Adway Das , Agnimitra Sengupta , S. Ilgin Guler

The paper is devoted to the development of control procedures with a guide for conflict-controlled dynamical systems described by ordinary fractional differential equations with the Caputo derivative of an order $\alpha \in (0, 1).$ For the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-10 Mikhail Gomoyunov

In this paper we consider a generalized classical mechanics with fractional derivatives. The generalization is based on the time-clock randomization of momenta and coordinates taken from the conventional phase space. The fractional…

Classical Physics · Physics 2011-11-15 Aleksander Stanislavsky

Long memory in the sense of slowly decaying autocorrelations is a stylized fact in many time series from economics and finance. The fractionally integrated process is the workhorse model for the analysis of these time series. Nevertheless,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-22 Uwe Hassler , Marc-Oliver Pohle

The problem of time-series forecasting in non-stationary and complex environments is a challenging task in machine learning, especially with heterogeneous numerical and textual data present. Traditional statistical models like…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-05 Alexis Lazanas , Spyridon Karpouzis

Traffic forecasting is crucial for urban traffic management and guidance. However, existing methods rarely exploit the time-frequency properties of traffic speed observations, and often neglect the propagation of traffic flows from upstream…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-16 Na Zhang , Xuefeng Guan , Jun Cao , Xinglei Wang , Huayi Wu

In model-based reinforcement learning, generative and temporal models of environments can be leveraged to boost agent performance, either by tuning the agent's representations during training or via use as part of an explicit planning…