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Identifying important features linked to a response variable is a fundamental task in various scientific domains. This article explores statistical inference for simulated Markov random fields in high-dimensional settings. We introduce a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-23 Haoyu Wei , Xiaoyu Lei , Yixin Han , Huiming Zhang

Given a random sample from a distribution with density function that depends on an unknown parameter $\theta$, we are interested in accurately estimating the true parametric density function at a future observation from the same…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Mihaela Aslan

This paper investigates the quasi-maximum likelihood inference including estimation, model selection and diagnostic checking for linear double autoregressive (DAR) models, where all asymptotic properties are established under only…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-02 Hua Liu , Songhua Tan , Qianqian Zhu

We evaluate the performance of targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) for estimating the average treatment effect in missing data scenarios under varying levels of positivity violations. We employ model- and design-based simulations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Christoph Wiederkehr , Christian Heumann , Michael Schomaker

Reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) is widely used to align large language models (LLMs) with human preferences. However, RLHF-trained reward models often exhibit length bias -- a systematic tendency to favor longer responses…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Hyeonji Kim , Sujeong Oh , Sanghack Lee

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a statistical method used to estimate the parameters of a probability distribution that best explain the observed data. In the context of text generation, MLE is often used to train generative language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Chenze Shao , Zhengrui Ma , Min Zhang , Yang Feng

The maximum-likelihood estimator of nonlinear panel data models with fixed effects is consistent but asymptotically-biased under rectangular-array asymptotics. The literature has thus far concentrated its effort on devising methods to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-28 Ayden Higgins , Koen Jochmans

In a mixture of linear regression model, the regression coefficients are treated as random vectors that may follow either a continuous or discrete distribution. We propose two Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithms to estimate this prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Andrew Welbaum , Wanli Qiao

The exponential-family random graph models (ERGMs) have emerged as an important framework for modeling social networks for a wide variety of relational types. ERGMs for valued networks are less well-developed than their unvalued…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Peng Huang , Carter T. Butts

Boltzmann machines (BMs) are a class of binary neural networks for which there have been numerous proposed methods of estimation. Recently, it has been shown that in the fully visible case of the BM, the method of maximum pseudolikelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-30 Hien D. Nguyen , Ian A. Wood

The empirical Bayes $g$-modeling approach via the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) is widely used for large-scale estimation and inference in the normal means problem, yet theoretical guarantees for uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Taehyun Kim , Bodhisattva Sen

Two commonly used methods for improving precision and power in clinical trials are stratified randomization and covariate adjustment. However, many trials do not fully capitalize on the combined precision gains from these two methods, which…

Solving conditional moment restrictions (CMRs) is a key problem considered in statistics, causal inference, and econometrics, where the aim is to solve for a function of interest that satisfies some conditional moment equalities.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-25 Daqian Shao , Ashkan Soleymani , Francesco Quinzan , Marta Kwiatkowska

We consider a randomised implementation of the finite element method (FEM) for elliptic partial differential equations on high-dimensional models. This is motivated by applications where model predictions are essential for real-time process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Yue Wu , Dimitris Kamilis , Nick Polydorides

Evaluation in scientific reconstruction is dominated by pointwise metrics - RMSE, MAE, per-event resolution - under the implicit assumption that lower error means better reconstruction. We show that this assumption fails structurally for…

Multi-prompt learning methods have emerged as an effective approach for facilitating the rapid adaptation of vision-language models to downstream tasks with limited resources. Existing multi-prompt learning methods primarily focus on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Fei Song , Yi Li , Jiangmeng Li , Rui Wang , Changwen Zheng , Fanjiang Xu , Hui Xiong

In high dimensional variable selection problems, statisticians often seek to design multiple testing procedures that control the False Discovery Rate (FDR), while concurrently identifying a greater number of relevant variables. Model-X…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Taejoo Ahn , Licong Lin , Song Mei

We revisit the classical causal inference problem of estimating the average treatment effect in the presence of fully observed confounding variables using two-stage semiparametric methods. In existing theoretical studies of methods such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Steve Yadlowsky

Confirmation bias, the tendency to seek evidence that supports rather than challenges one's belief, hinders one's reasoning ability. We examine whether large language models (LLMs) exhibit confirmation bias by adapting the rule-discovery…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Ayush Rajesh Jhaveri , Anthony GX-Chen , Ilia Sucholutsky , Eunsol Choi

Opportunistic pharmacokinetic (PK) studies have sparse and imbalanced clinical measurement data, and the impact of sample time errors is an important concern when seeking accurate estimates of treatment response. We evaluated an approximate…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-25 Hannah L Weeks , Matthew S Shotwell