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In black-box function optimization, we need to consider not only controllable design variables but also uncontrollable stochastic environment variables. In such cases, it is necessary to solve the optimization problem by taking into account…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-03 Yu Inatsu , Shion Takeno , Masayuki Karasuyama , Ichiro Takeuchi

Black-box variational inference (BBVI) now sees widespread use in machine learning and statistics as a fast yet flexible alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for approximate Bayesian inference. However, stochastic optimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-22 Manushi Welandawe , Michael Riis Andersen , Aki Vehtari , Jonathan H. Huggins

We study a distributionally robust optimization formulation (i.e., a min-max game) for two representative problems in Bayesian nonparametric estimation: Gaussian process regression and, more generally, linear inverse problems. Our…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Youssef Marzouk , Viet Anh Nguyen , Sven Wang

In this paper we explore the relation between distributionally robust learning and different forms of regularization to enforce robustness of deep neural networks. In particular, starting from a concrete min-max distributionally robust…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Camilo Garcia Trillos , Nicolas Garcia Trillos

We consider decision-making problems under decision-dependent uncertainty (DDU), where the distribution of uncertain parameters depends on the decision variables and is only observable through a finite offline dataset. To address this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Chengrui Qu , Huiwen Jia , Pengcheng You

Stochastic natural gradient variational inference (NGVI) is a popular and efficient algorithm for Bayesian inference. Despite empirical success, the convergence of this method is still not fully understood. In this work, we define and study…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Thomas Guilmeau , Hadrien Hendrikx , Florence Forbes

Safe and reliable disclosure of information from confidential data is a challenging statistical problem. A common approach considers the generation of synthetic data, to be disclosed instead of the original data. Efficient approaches ought…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-04 Larissa N. A. Martins , Flávio B. Gonçalves , Thais P. Galletti

The robustness of fault detection algorithms against uncertainty is crucial in the real-world industrial environment. Recently, a new probabilistic design scheme called distributionally robust fault detection (DRFD) has emerged and received…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Yulin Feng , Hailang Jin , Steven X. Ding , Hao Ye , Chao Shang

We propose a robust Bayesian formulation of random feature (RF) regression that accounts explicitly for prior and likelihood misspecification via Huber-style contamination sets. Starting from the classical equivalence between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Michele Caprio , Katerina Papagiannouli , Siu Lun Chau , Sayan Mukherjee

A common goal in statistics and machine learning is to learn models that can perform well against distributional shifts, such as latent heterogeneous subpopulations, unknown covariate shifts, or unmodeled temporal effects. We develop and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-21 John Duchi , Hongseok Namkoong

We investigate the data distribution valuation problem, which aims to quantify the values of data distributions from their samples. This is a recently proposed problem that is related to but different from classical data valuation and can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Cuong N. Nguyen , Cuong V. Nguyen

Learning in uncertain, noisy, or adversarial environments is a challenging task for deep neural networks (DNNs). We propose a new theoretically grounded and efficient approach for robust learning that builds upon Bayesian estimation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-12 Giuseppina Carannante , Dimah Dera , Ghulam Rasool , Nidhal C. Bouaynaya , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Deep neural networks have achieved impressive results on a wide variety of tasks. However, quantifying uncertainty in the network's output is a challenging task. Bayesian models offer a mathematical framework to reason about model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Manikanta Srikar Yellapragada , Chandra Prakash Konkimalla

We present a data-driven method for solving the linear quadratic regulator problem for systems with multiplicative disturbances, the distribution of which is only known through sample estimates. We adopt a distributionally robust approach…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-27 Peter Coppens , Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

Optimization problems with uncertain black-box constraints, modeled by warped Gaussian processes, have recently been considered in the Bayesian optimization setting. This work introduces a new class of constraints in which the same…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Johannes Wiebe , Inês Cecílio , Jonathan Dunlop , Ruth Misener

In this work, we present an algorithmically tractable safe approximation of distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems that contain univariate indicator functions. The latter appear in different applications, but render the model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-22 Jana Dienstbier , Frauke Liers , Florian Rösel , Jan Rolfes

This paper focusses on robust estimation of location and concentration parameters of the von Mises-Fisher distribution in the Bayesian framework. The von Mises-Fisher (or Langevin) distribution has played a central role in directional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Yasuhito Tsuruta , Sho Kazari , Kouji Tahata

Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) aims to find robust and generalizable solutions by hedging against data perturbations in Wasserstein distance. Despite its recent empirical success in operations research and machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-03 Rui Gao

Since distribution shifts are common in real-world applications, there is a pressing need to develop prediction models that are robust against such shifts. Existing frameworks, such as empirical risk minimization or distributionally robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Xinwei Shen , Peter Bühlmann , Armeen Taeb

In many supervised learning applications, the response consists of both continuous and binary outcomes. Studies have shown that jointly modeling such mixed-type responses can substantially improve predictive performance compared to separate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Yu Wang , Ran Jin , Lulu Kang