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In this paper we design a neural interpolation operator to improve the boundary data for regional weather models, which is a challenging problem as we are required to map multi-scale dynamics between grid resolutions. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 James Jackaman , Oliver Sutton

Effective management of environmental resources and agricultural sustainability heavily depends on accurate soil moisture data. However, datasets like the SMAP/Sentinel-1 soil moisture product often contain missing values across their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Kehui Yao , Jingyi Huang , Jun Zhu

Extrapolating future weather radar echoes from past observations is a complex task vital for precipitation nowcasting. The spatial morphology and temporal evolution of radar echoes exhibit a certain degree of correlation, yet they also…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Liangyu Xu , Wanxuan Lu , Hongfeng Yu , Fanglong Yao , Xian Sun , Kun Fu

The problem of forecasting spatiotemporal events such as crimes and accidents is crucial to public safety and city management. Besides accuracy, interpretability is also a key requirement for spatiotemporal forecasting models to justify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Bang An , Xun Zhou , Zirui Zhou , Ronilo Ragodos , Zenglin Xu , Jun Luo

Spatial-temporal forecasting is crucial and widely applicable in various domains such as traffic, energy, and climate. Benefiting from the abundance of unlabeled spatial-temporal data, self-supervised methods are increasingly adapted to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Qi Zheng , Zihao Yao , Yaying Zhang

Deep learning methods achieve remarkable predictive performance in modeling complex, large-scale data. However, assessing the quality of derived models has become increasingly challenging, as more classical statistical assumptions may no…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-02 Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

Making an accurate prediction of an unknown system only from a short-term time series is difficult due to the lack of sufficient information, especially in a multi-step-ahead manner. However, a high-dimensional short-term time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-27 Peng Tao , Xiaohu Hao , Jie Cheng , Luonan Chen

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

Gridded data products, for example interpolated daily measurements of precipitation from weather stations, are commonly used as a convenient substitute for direct observations because these products provide a spatially and temporally…

Spatiotemporal predictive learning (ST-PL) is a hotspot with numerous applications, such as object movement and meteorological prediction. It aims at predicting the subsequent frames via observed sequences. However, inherent uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Zenghao Chai , Zhengzhuo Xu , Yunpeng Bai , Zhihui Lin , Chun Yuan

Precipitation nowcasting is crucial across various industries and plays a significant role in mitigating and adapting to climate change. We introduce an efficient deep learning model for precipitation nowcasting, capable of predicting…

Efficient integration of solar energy into the electricity mix depends on a reliable anticipation of its intermittency. A promising approach to forecast the temporal variability of solar irradiance resulting from the cloud cover dynamics is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Quentin Paletta , Anthony Hu , Guillaume Arbod , Joan Lasenby

Accurate assessment of anthropogenic climate change relies on historical instrumental data, yet observations from the early 20th century are sparse, fragmented, and uncertain. Conventional reconstructions rely on disparate statistical…

Extracting and meticulously analyzing geo-spatiotemporal features is crucial to recognize intricate underlying causes of natural events, such as floods. Limited evidence about hidden factors leading to climate change makes it challenging to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Aishwarya Sarkar , Jien Zhang , Chaoqun Lu , Ali Jannesari

We propose an extension of the non-homogeneous Gaussian regression (NGR) model by Gneiting et al. (2005) that yields locally calibrated probabilistic forecasts of tem- perature, based on the output of an ensemble prediction system (EPS).…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-29 Michael Scheuerer , Luca Büermann

Snow density estimates below the surface, used with airplane-acquired ice-penetrating radar measurements, give a site-specific history of snow water accumulation. Because it is infeasible to drill snow cores across all of Antarctica to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-20 Philip A. White , Durban G. Keeler , Summer Rupper

Ahead-of-time forecasting of incident solar-irradiance on a panel is indicative of expected energy yield and is essential for efficient grid distribution and planning. Traditionally, these forecasts are based on meteorological physics…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-16 Talha A. Siddiqui , Samarth Bharadwaj , Shivkumar Kalyanaraman

Extreme precipitation events, such as violent rainfall and hail storms, routinely ravage economies and livelihoods around the developing world. Climate change further aggravates this issue. Data-driven deep learning approaches could widen…

When deploying time series forecasting models based on machine learning to real world settings, one often encounter situations where the data distribution drifts. Such drifts expose the forecasting models to out-of-distribution (OOD) data,…

In this work we study Weakly Supervised Spatio-Temporal Video Grounding (WSTVG), a challenging task of localizing subjects spatio-temporally in videos using only textual queries and no bounding box supervision. Inspired by recent advances…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Aaryan Garg , Akash Kumar , Yogesh S Rawat