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In network congestion games, system operators often utilize latency models, estimated from real-world traffic flow and travel time data, to design monetary incentives which steer equilibrium user behaviors towards lowering system-wide…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Chih-Yuan Chiu , Sarah H. Q. Li , Bryce L. Ferguson

Off-policy evaluation and learning (OPE/L) use offline observational data to make better decisions, which is crucial in applications where online experimentation is limited. However, depending entirely on logged data, OPE/L is sensitive to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Kaiwen Wang , Zhengyuan Zhou

In this paper, we consider a distributionally robust resource planning model inspired by a real-world service industry problem. In this problem, there is a mixture of known demand and uncertain future demand. Prior to having full knowledge…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-07 Ben Black , Russell Ainslie , Trivikram Dokka , Christopher Kirkbride

This paper investigates the optimization of the long-standing probabilistically robust transmit beamforming problem with channel uncertainties in the multiuser multiple-input single-output (MISO) downlink transmission. This problem poses…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Kai Liang , Gan Zheng , Zan Li , Kai-Kit Wong , Chan-Byoung Chae

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is a worst-case framework for stochastic optimization under uncertainty that has drawn fast-growing studies in recent years. When the underlying probability distribution is unknown and observed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-16 Shengyi He , Henry Lam

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is a powerful technique to train robust models against data distribution shift. This paper aims to solve regularized nonconvex DRO problems, where the uncertainty set is modeled by a so-called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Yufeng Yang , Yi Zhou , Zhaosong Lu

We consider the problem of analyzing the probabilistic performance of first-order methods when solving convex optimization problems drawn from an unknown distribution only accessible through samples. By combining performance estimation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Jisun Park , Vinit Ranjan , Bartolomeo Stellato

Forecasting and decision-making are generally modeled as two sequential steps with no feedback, following an open-loop approach. In this paper, we present application-driven learning, a new closed-loop framework in which the processes of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Joaquim Dias Garcia , Alexandre Street , Tito Homem-de-Mello , Francisco D. Muñoz

We consider a distributionally robust formulation of stochastic optimization problems arising in statistical learning, where robustness is with respect to uncertainty in the underlying data distribution. Our formulation builds on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Andrzej Ruszczyński , Landi Zhu

In order to protect the environment and address fossil fuel scarcity, renewable energy is increasingly used for power generation. However, due to the uncertainties it brings to electricity production, deterministic optimization is no longer…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Shuhan Lyu

Learning conditional distributions $\pi^*(\cdot|x)$ is a central problem in machine learning, which is typically approached via supervised methods with paired data $(x,y) \sim \pi^*$. However, acquiring paired data samples is often…

As machine learning models are deployed ever more broadly, it becomes increasingly important that they are not only able to perform well on their training distribution, but also yield accurate predictions when confronted with distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-14 Paul Michel , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Graham Neubig

Deep neural networks (DNNs) often produce overconfident predictions on out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs, undermining their reliability in open-world environments. Singularities in semi-discrete optimal transport (OT) mark regions of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Keke Tang , Ziyong Du , Xiaofei Wang , Weilong Peng , Peican Zhu , Zhihong Tian

Imbalanced data pose challenges for deep learning based classification models. One of the most widely-used approaches for tackling imbalanced data is re-weighting, where training samples are associated with different weights in the loss…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Dandan Guo , Zhuo Li , Meixi Zheng , He Zhao , Mingyuan Zhou , Hongyuan Zha

Models trained via empirical risk minimization (ERM) are known to rely on spurious correlations between labels and task-independent input features, resulting in poor generalization to distributional shifts. Group distributionally robust…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Bhargavi Paranjape , Pradeep Dasigi , Vivek Srikumar , Luke Zettlemoyer , Hannaneh Hajishirzi

Two-stage adaptive robust optimization (ARO) is a powerful approach for planning under uncertainty, balancing first-stage decisions with recourse decisions made after uncertainty is realized. To account for uncertainty, modelers typically…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-10 Aron Brenner , Rahman Khorramfar , Jennifer Sun , Saurabh Amin

This study introduces adaptive robust optimization (ARO) and adaptive robust stochastic optimization (ARSO) approaches to address long- and short-term uncertainties in the optimal sizing and placement of distributed energy resources in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Fernando García-Muñoz , Cristian Duran-Mateluna

Predict-then-Optimize (PTO) pipelines are widely employed in computing and networked systems, where Machine Learning (ML) models are used to predict critical contextual information for downstream decision-making tasks such as cloud LLM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Jiaqi Wen , Lei Fan , Jianyi Yang

Wasserstein distributionally robust control (DRC) recently emerges as a principled paradigm for handling uncertainty in stochastic dynamical systems. However, it constructs data-driven ambiguity sets via uniform distribution shifts before…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Jingyi Wu , Chao Ning , Yang Shi

Managing insurance and financial risk when data is limited is a key task in the insurance industry. In this paper, we focus on cases where the risk distribution is modeled as a mixture with some components estimable to high precision or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-03 N. D. Shyamalkumar , Tianrun Wang