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Causal inference is best understood using potential outcomes. This use is particularly important in more complex settings, that is, observational studies or randomized experiments with complications such as noncompliance. The topic of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Donald B. Rubin

Customer behavior is often assumed to follow weak rationality, which implies that adding a product to an assortment will not increase the choice probability of another product in that assortment. However, an increasing amount of research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-14 Yi-Chun Chen , Velibor V. Mišić

Filtering has had a profound impact as a device of perceiving information and deriving agent expectations in dynamic economic models. For an abstract economic system, this paper shows that the foundation of applying the filtering method…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-13 Zhengyuan Gao , Christian M. Hafner

Decisions taken in our everyday lives are based on a wide variety of information so it is generally very difficult to assess what are the strategies that guide us. Stock market therefore provides a rich environment to study how people take…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-28 Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Carlota Segura , Jordi Duch , Josep Perelló

Many travel decisions involve a degree of experience formation, where individuals learn their preferences over time. At the same time, there is extensive scope for heterogeneity across individual travellers, both in their underlying…

Human decision-making in real-life deviates significantly from the optimal decisions made by fully rational agents, primarily due to computational limitations or psychological biases. While existing studies in behavioral finance have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Penghang Liu , Kshama Dwarakanath , Svitlana S Vyetrenko , Tucker Balch

One typical assumption in inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) is that human experts act to optimize the expected utility of a stochastic cost with a fixed distribution. This assumption deviates from actual human behaviors under ambiguity.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-25 Rui Chen , Wenshuo Wang , Zirui Zhao , Ding Zhao

We propose a novel method for selective classification (SC), a problem which allows a classifier to abstain from predicting some instances, thus trading off accuracy against coverage (the fraction of instances predicted). In contrast to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Aditya Gangrade , Anil Kag , Venkatesh Saligrama

Bounded rationality, that is, decision-making and planning under resource limitations, is widely regarded as an important open problem in artificial intelligence, reinforcement learning, computational neuroscience and economics. This paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-22 Pedro A. Ortega , Daniel A. Braun , Justin Dyer , Kee-Eung Kim , Naftali Tishby

Affordance refers to the perception of possible actions allowed by an object. Despite its relevance to human-computer interaction, no existing theory explains the mechanisms that underpin affordance-formation; that is, how affordances are…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-01-10 Yi-Chi Liao , Kashyap Todi , Aditya Acharya , Antti Keurulainen , Andrew Howes , Antti Oulasvirta

The unit selection problem aims to identify a set of individuals who are most likely to exhibit a desired mode of behavior, for example, selecting individuals who would respond one way if encouraged and a different way if not encouraged.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Ang Li , Judea Pearl

This paper is concerned with learning decision makers' preferences using data on observed choices from a finite set of risky alternatives. We propose a discrete choice model with unobserved heterogeneity in consideration sets and in…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-07 Levon Barseghyan , Francesca Molinari , Matthew Thirkettle

Generalized linear and additive models are very efficient regression tools but the selection of relevant terms becomes difficult if higher order interactions are needed. In contrast, tree-based methods also known as recursive partitioning…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-21 Gerhard Tutz , Moritz Berger

This paper analyzes a society composed of individuals who have diverse sets of beliefs (or models) and diverse tastes (or utility functions). It characterizes the model selection process of a social planner who wishes to aggregate…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-10 Florian Mudekereza

Modeling the purposeful behavior of imperfect agents from a small number of observations is a challenging task. When restricted to the single-agent decision-theoretic setting, inverse optimal control techniques assume that observed behavior…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-08-19 Kevin Waugh , Brian D. Ziebart , J. Andrew Bagnell

In decision-making, individuals often rely on intuition, which can occasionally yield suboptimal outcomes. This study examines the impact of intuitive decision-making on individuals who are confronted with limited position information in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-07 Fanyuan Meng , Hui Xiao , Xinlin Wu , Xiaojun Hu , Xiaojie Niu , Sheng Chen , Yu Liu

Many real-life decisions involve both perceptual processes and weighing the consequences of different actions. However, the neural mechanisms underlying perceptual decisions have typically been examined separately from those underlying…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-07 Xiaoyue Zhu , Jeffrey C. Erlich

In real world social networks, there are multiple cascades which are rarely independent. They usually compete or cooperate with each other. Motivated by the reinforcement theory in sociology we leverage the fact that adoption of a user to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-23 Ali Zarezade , Ali Khodadadi , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Hamid R. Rabiee , Hongyuan Zha

Classification with rejection emerges as a learning paradigm which allows models to abstain from making predictions. The predominant approach is to alter the supervised learning pipeline by augmenting typical loss functions, letting model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-09 Alexander Soen , Hisham Husain , Philip Schulz , Vu Nguyen

Counterfactual reasoning is an important paradigm applicable in many fields, such as healthcare, economics, and education. In this work, we propose a novel method to address the issue of \textit{selection bias}. We learn two groups of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-20 Zichen Zhang , Qingfeng Lan , Lei Ding , Yue Wang , Negar Hassanpour , Russell Greiner
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