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I study how strategic communication among voters shapes both political outcomes and parties' advertising strategies in a model of informative campaign advertising. Two main results are derived. First, echo chambers arise endogenously.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-04-13 Monica Anna Giovanniello

In this paper we study the impact of news media and public surveys on the electoral campaigns for political competitions. We present an agent-based model that addresses the effective influence of surveys in orienting the opinions of voters…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-28 A. E. Biondo , A. Pluchino , A. Rapisarda

The probability of a given candidate winning a future election is worked out in closed form as a function of (i) the current support rates for each candidate, (ii) the relative positioning of the candidates within the political spectrum,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Dorje C. Brody , Tomooki Yuasa

We compare two scenarios in a model where politicians offer local public goods to heterogeneous voters: one where politicians have access to data on voters and thus can target specific ones, and another where politicians only decide on the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-01-10 Maxim Senkov , Arseniy Samsonov

The election control problem through social influence asks to find a set of nodes in a social network of voters to be the starters of a political campaign aiming at supporting a given target candidate. Voters reached by the campaign change…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Mohammad Abouei Mehrizi , Federico Corò , Emilio Cruciani , Gianlorenzo D'Angelo

The integrity of elections is central to democratic systems. However, a myriad of malicious actors aspire to influence election outcomes for financial or political benefit. A common means to such ends is by manipulating perceptions of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Junlin Wu , Andrew Estornell , Lecheng Kong , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

In recent studies of political decision-making, apparently anomalous behavior has been observed on the part of voters, in which negative information about a candidate strengthens, rather than weakens, a prior positive opinion about the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-06-12 William W. Cohen , David P. Redlawsk , Douglas Pierce

Recent political campaigns have demonstrated how technologies are used to boost election outcomes by microtargeting voters. We propose and analyze a framework which analyzes how political activists use technologies to target voters. Voters…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-17 Moritz Hoferer , Lucas Böttcher , Hans J. Herrmann , Hans Gersbach

We study how coordinated disinformation campaigns affect elections. We develop a constrained information design model in which a sender deploys uninformative messages that mimic voters' exogenous informative signals. Voters initially…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-05 Philipp Denter , Boris Ginzburg

Political advertising on social media has become a central element in election campaigns. However, granular information about political advertising on social media was previously unavailable, thus raising concerns regarding fairness,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Dominik Bär , Francesco Pierri , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales , Stefan Feuerriegel

Democratic societies increasingly rely on communication networks to aggregate citizen preferences and information, yet these same networks can systematically mislead voters under certain conditions. We introduce an agent-based model that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-30 Hsuan-Wei Lee , Po-Kang Hsiao

This study investigates adversarial attacks conducted to distort voter model dynamics in complex networks. Specifically, a simple adversarial attack method is proposed to hold the state of opinions of an individual closer to the target…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-07 Katsumi Chiyomaru , Kazuhiro Takemoto

Detailed targeting of advertisements has long been one of the core offerings of online platforms. Unfortunately, malicious advertisers have frequently abused such targeting features, with results that range from violating civil rights laws…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Piotr Sapiezynski , Levi Kaplan , Alan Mislove , Aleksandra Korolova

In this paper, the influence of the social media on the opinion formation process is modeled during an election campaign. In the proposed model, peer- to-peer interactions and targeted online propaganda messages are assumed to be the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-16 Semra Gunduc

We focus on the scenario in which an agent can exploit his information advantage to manipulate the outcome of an election. In particular, we study district-based elections with two candidates, in which the winner of the election is the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Matteo Castiglioni , Nicola Gatti

Political polarization can be beneficial to competing political parties. I study how electoral competition itself generates incentives to polarize voters, even when parties are ex ante identical and motivated purely by political power,…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-02 Giampaolo Bonomi

We study candidates' positioning when adjustments are possible in response to new information about voters' preferences. Re-positioning allows candidates to get closer to the median voter but is costly both financially and electorally. We…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-05 Gaëtan Fournier , Alberto Grillo , Yevgeny Tsodikovich

Mass Media outlets have occupied the central role of the political scenario, and are persuasive in the process of opinion formation of the citizens. In particular, the study of the relationship between Mass Media and behaviour of citizens…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-02 Federico Albanese , Claudio J. Tessone , Viktoriya Semeshenko , Pablo Balenzuela

We study a model of electoral accountability and selection whereby heterogeneous voters aggregate incumbent politician's performance data into personalized signals through paying limited attention. Extreme voters' signals exhibit an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-04-05 Anqi Li , Lin Hu

Online political advertising is a central aspect of modern election campaigning for influencing public opinion. Computational analysis of political ads is of utmost importance in political science to understand the characteristics of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-27 Danae Sánchez Villegas , Saeid Mokaram , Nikolaos Aletras
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