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Model-based policy optimization often struggles with inaccurate system dynamics models, leading to suboptimal closed-loop performance. This challenge is especially evident in Model Predictive Control (MPC) policies, which rely on the model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Riccardo Zuliani , Efe C. Balta , John Lygeros

We establish a collection of closed-loop guarantees and propose a scalable optimization algorithm for distributionally robust model predictive control (DRMPC) applied to linear systems, convex constraints, and quadratic costs. Via standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-13 Robert D. McAllister , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is widely used to operate safety-critical infrastructure by predicting future trajectories and optimizing control actions. However, nonlinear dynamics, hard safety constraints, and numerical optimization often…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Ramesh Arvind Naagarajan , Zühal Wagner , Stefan Streif

We consider the problem of learning the structure of a causal directed acyclic graph (DAG) model in the presence of latent variables. We define latent factor causal models (LFCMs) as a restriction on causal DAG models with latent variables,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-06 Chandler Squires , Annie Yun , Eshaan Nichani , Raj Agrawal , Caroline Uhler

Modern machine learning (ML) methods typically fail to adequately capture causal information. Consequently, such models do not handle data distributional shifts, are vulnerable to adversarial examples, and often learn spurious correlations.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-27 Rishi Goel , Casey R. Myers , Sally Shrapnel

This paper presents a distributed model predictive control (DMPC) algorithm for heterogeneous vehicle platoons with unidirectional topologies and a priori unknown desired set point. The vehicles (or nodes) in a platoon are dynamically…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-19 Yang Zheng , Shengbo Eben Li , Keqiang Li , Francesco Borrelli , J. Karl Hedrick

We model, simulate and control the guiding problem for a herd of evaders under the action of repulsive drivers. The problem is formulated in an optimal control framework, where the drivers (controls) aim to guide the evaders (states) to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Dongnam Ko , Enrique Zuazua

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is effective at generating safe control strategies in constrained scenarios, at the cost of computational complexity. This is especially the case in robots that require high sampling rates and have limited…

Conformal prediction (CP) is a promising uncertainty quantification framework which works as a wrapper around a black-box classifier to construct prediction sets (i.e., subset of candidate classes) with provable guarantees. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Yuanjie Shi , Hooman Shahrokhi , Xuesong Jia , Xiongzhi Chen , Janardhan Rao Doppa , Yan Yan

We define Conditional quasi concave Performance Measures (CPMs), on random variables bounded from below, to accommodate for additional information. Our notion encompasses a wide variety of cases, from conditional expected utility and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-18 Sara Biagini , Jocelyne Bion-Nadal

Multi-period portfolio optimization is important for real portfolio management, as it accounts for transaction costs, path-dependent risks, and the intertemporal structure of trading decisions that single-period models cannot capture.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Yuxuan Linghu , Zhiyuan Liu , Qi Deng

Time series forecasting models are becoming increasingly prevalent due to their critical role in decision-making across various domains. However, most existing approaches represent the coupled temporal patterns, often neglecting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Jintao Zhang , Mingyue Cheng , Xiaoyu Tao , Zhiding Liu , Daoyu Wang

The transition to prescriptive maintenance (PsM) in manufacturing is critically constrained by a dependence on predictive models. Such purely predictive models tend to capture statistical associations in the data without identifying the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Felix Saretzky , Lucas Andersen , Thomas Engel , Fazel Ansari

Discovering causal relations from observational time series without making the stationary assumption is a significant challenge. In practice, this challenge is common in many areas, such as retail sales, transportation systems, and medical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

This paper demonstrates the applicability of the safe model predictive control (SMPC) framework to autonomous driving scenarios, focusing on the design of adaptive cruise control (ACC) and automated lane-change systems. Building on the SMPC…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-12 Francesco Prignoli , Ying Shuai Quan , Mohammad Jeddi , Jonas Sjöberg , Paolo Falcone

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

Market conditions change continuously. However, in portfolio's investment strategies, it is hard to account for this intrinsic non-stationarity. In this paper, we propose to address this issue by using the Inverse Covariance Clustering…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-17 Yuanrong Wang , Tomaso Aste

Periodic operation often emerges as the economically optimal mode in industrial processes, particularly under varying economic or environmental conditions. This paper proposes a robust model predictive control (MPC) framework for uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-23 Filippo Badalamenti , Jose A. Borja-Conde , Sampath Kumar Mulagaleti , Boris Houska , Alberto Bemporad , Mario Eduardo Villanueva

Model predictive control (MPC) is a popular strategy for urban traffic management that is able to incorporate physical and user defined constraints. However, the current MPC methods rely on finite horizon predictions that are unable to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-02-03 Sadra Sadraddini , Calin Belta

Tight performance specifications in combination with operational constraints make model predictive control (MPC) the method of choice in various industries. As the performance of an MPC controller depends on a sufficiently accurate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-09 Kim P. Wabersich , Melanie N. Zeilinger
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