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Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

We propose a framework for suboptimal model predictive control (MPC) based on the interconnection of monotone dynamical systems, such as port-Hamiltonian systems. In contrast to classical MPC formulations, where the optimizer is treated as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Till Preuster , Hannes Gernandt , Manuel Schaller

Control barrier functions (CBFs) offer an efficient framework for designing real-time safe controllers. However, CBF-based controllers can be short-sighted, resulting in poor performance, a behaviour which is aggravated in uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-16 Allan Andre do Nascimento , Antonis Papachristodoulou , Kostas Margellos

This paper studies a continuous-time market {under stochastic environment} where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a target terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return with multiple stocks and a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-28 Wan-Kai Pang , Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu

The optimal performance of robotic systems is usually achieved near the limit of state and input bounds. Model predictive control (MPC) is a prevalent strategy to handle these operational constraints, however, safety still remains an open…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-24 Jun Zeng , Bike Zhang , Koushil Sreenath

Uncertainty is critical to reliable decision-making with machine learning. Conformal prediction (CP) handles uncertainty by predicting a set on a test input, hoping the set to cover the true label with at least $(1-\alpha)$ confidence. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Rui Xu , Yue Sun , Chao Chen , Parv Venkitasubramaniam , Sihong Xie

Deterministic model predictive control (MPC), while powerful, is often insufficient for effectively controlling autonomous systems in the real-world. Factors such as environmental noise and model error can cause deviations from the expected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-29 Alex Oshin , Hassan Almubarak , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Purpose: This study introduces a novel framework for identifying and exploiting predictive lead-lag relationships in financial markets. We propose an integrated approach that combines advanced statistical methodologies with machine learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Ivan Letteri

Ensuring safety and motion consistency for robot navigation in occluded, obstacle-dense environments is a critical challenge. In this context, this study presents an occlusion-aware Consistent Model Predictive Control (CMPC) strategy. To…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Minzhe Zheng , Lei Zheng , Lei Zhu , Jun Ma

We study an optimal investment/consumption problem in a model capturing market and credit risk dependencies. Stochastic factors drive both the default intensity and the volatility of the stocks in the portfolio. We use the martingale…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-20 Lijun Bo , Agostino Capponi

Causal learning has long concerned itself with the accurate recovery of underlying causal mechanisms. Such causal modelling enables better explanations of out-of-distribution data. Prior works on causal learning assume that the high-level…

We consider both discrete and continuous "uncertain horizon" deterministic control processes, for which the termination time is a random variable. We examine the dynamic programming equations for the value function of such processes,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-06 June Andrews , Alexander Vladimirsky

As robotic systems move from highly structured environments to open worlds, incorporating uncertainty from dynamics learning or state estimation into the control pipeline is essential for robust performance. In this paper we present a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-14 Robert Dyro , James Harrison , Apoorva Sharma , Marco Pavone

Autonomous aerial vehicles necessitate control strategies that balance computational efficiency with robust performance in dynamic operational environments. This paper proposes a model predictive control (MPC) framework for aerial platforms…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-25 Tayyab Manzoor , Yasir Ali , Yuanqing Xia , Lijie You , Yan Wang

We present a chance-constrained model predictive control (MPC) framework under Gaussian mixture model (GMM) uncertainty. Specifically, we consider the uncertainty that arises from predicting future behaviors of moving obstacles, which may…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-21 Kai Ren , Colin Chen , Hyeontae Sung , Heejin Ahn , Ian Mitchell , Maryam Kamgarpour

Diffusion Policy (DP) enables robots to learn complex behaviors by imitating expert demonstrations through action diffusion. However, in practical applications, hardware limitations often degrade data quality, while real-time constraints…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Jiahua Ma , Yiran Qin , Yixiong Li , Xuanqi Liao , Yulan Guo , Ruimao Zhang

Standard supervised learning breaks down under data distribution shift. However, the principle of independent causal mechanisms (ICM, Peters et al. (2017)) can turn this weakness into an opportunity: one can take advantage of distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Jens Müller , Robert Schmier , Lynton Ardizzone , Carsten Rother , Ullrich Köthe

This work presents DMPC (Data-and Model-Driven Predictive Control) to solve control problems in which some of the constraints or parts of the objective function are known, while others are entirely unknown to the controller. It is assumed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-02 Hassan Jafarzadeh , Cody Fleming

In this paper we present a framework for risk-averse model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider time-consistent, dynamic risk metrics as objective functions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone

We propose Kernel Predictive Control (KPC), a learning-based predictive control strategy that enjoys deterministic guarantees of safety. Noise-corrupted samples of the unknown system dynamics are used to learn several models through the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-24 Emilio T. Maddalena , Paul Scharnhorst , Yuning Jiang , Colin N. Jones