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Near-surface atmospheric conditions can differ sharply over tens to hundreds of meters due to land cover and topography, yet this variability is absent from current weather analyses and forecasts. It is unclear whether such meter-scale…

Atmospheric transient eddies and low-frequency flow contribution to the ocean surface wave climate in the North Atlantic during boreal winter is investigated (1980 - 2016). We conduct a set of numerical simulations with a state-of-the-art…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-06-10 Margarita Markina , Josh Studholme , Sergey Gulev

Physics-based atmosphere-land models with prescribed sea surface temperature have notable successes but also biases in their ability to represent atmospheric variability compared to observations. Recently, AI emulators and hybrid models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ian Baxter , Hamid Pahlavan , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Katharine Rucker , Tiffany Shaw

Air-sea drag governs the momentum transfer between the atmosphere and the ocean, and remains largely unknown in hurricane winds. We revisit the momentum budget and eddy-covariance methods to estimate the surface drag coefficient in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-09-15 Milan Curcic , Brian K. Haus

Forecasting the weather is an increasingly data intensive exercise. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models are becoming more complex, with higher resolutions, and there are increasing numbers of different models in operation. While the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-17 Charlie Kirkwood , Theo Economou , Henry Odbert , Nicolas Pugeault

Recent extreme tropical cyclones caused extensive damages to critical civil infrastructure globally. To better capture the unique hurricane wind characteristics, a large eddy simulation (LES) Hurricane Boundary Layer (HBL) model is…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-10-06 Tianqi Ma , Chao Sun , Paul Miller

Detecting recurrent weather patterns and understanding the transitions between such regimes are key to advancing our knowledge on the low-frequency variability of the atmosphere and have important implications in terms of weather and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-24 Sebastian Springer , Vera Melinda Galfi , Alessandro Laio , Valerio Lucarini

Machine learning (ML)-based models have demonstrated high skill and computational efficiency, often outperforming conventional physics-based models in weather and subseasonal predictions. While prior studies have assessed their fidelity in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-13 Ziming Chen , L. Ruby Leung , Wenyu Zhou , Jian Lu , Sandro W. Lubis , Ye Liu , Chuan-Chieh Chang , Bryce E. Harrop , Ya Wang , Mingshi Yang , Gan Zhang , Yun Qian

Particularly important to hurricane risk assessment for coastal regions is finding accurate approximations of return probabilities of maximum windspeeds. Since extremes in maximum windspeed have a direct relationship to minimums in the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Meagan Carney , Holger Kantz , Matthew Nicol

Cloud-related parameterizations remain a leading source of uncertainty in climate projections. Although machine learning holds promise for Earth system models (ESMs), many data-driven parameterizations lack interpretability, physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-25 Arthur Grundner , Tom Beucler , Julien Savre , Axel Lauer , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring

Wind hazards such as tornadoes and straight-line winds frequently affect vulnerable communities in the Great Plains of the United States, where limited infrastructure and sparse data coverage hinder effective emergency response. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Mahmuda Akhter Nishu , Chenyu Huang , Milad Roohi , Xin Zhong

Wall-models are essential for enabling large-eddy simulations (LESs) of realistic problems at high Reynolds numbers. The present study is focused on approaches that directly model the wall shear stress, specifically on filling the gap…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-12-01 Stefan Hickel , Emile Touber , Julien Bodart , Johan Larsson

Wind power forecasting is essential for managing daily operations at wind farms and enabling market operators to manage power uncertainty effectively in demand planning. This paper explores advanced cross-temporal forecasting models and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Mahdi Abolghasemi , Daniele Girolimetto , Tommaso Di Fonzo

Numerical prediction of the interactions between wind and ocean waves is essential for climate modeling and a wide range of offshore operations. Large Eddy Simulation (LES) of the marine atmospheric boundary layer is a practical numerical…

Every year hurricanes and other extreme wind storms cause billions of dollars in damage worldwide. For residential construction, such failures are usually associated with roofs, which see the largest aerodynamic loading. However,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-20 Zachary Taylor , Murray Morrison , Roi Gurka , Gregory Kopp

Climate change necessitates rapid expansion of renewable energy, with wind energy offering a scalable and low-impact solution. However, accurate prediction of wind loads and power generation remains challenging due to uncertainties in wind…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-30 Omar Sallam , Mirjam Fürth

Rapid and accurate urban wind field prediction is essential for modeling particle transport in emergency scenarios. Traditional Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) approaches are too slow for real-time applications, necessitating surrogate…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-10-29 Ameir Shaa , Claude Guet , Xiasu Yang , Armand Albergel , Bruno Ribstein , Maxime Nibart

The paper is devoted to two-phase flow simulations and investigates the ability of a diffusive interface Cahn-Hilliard Volume-of-Fluid model to capture the dynamics of the air-sea interface at geophysically relevant Reynolds numbers. It…

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

We propose a framework employing stochastic differential equations to facilitate the long-term stability analysis of power grids with intermittent wind power generations. This framework takes into account the discrete dynamics which play a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-03-10 Xiaozhe Wang , Tao Wang , Hsiao-Dong Chiang , Jianhui Wang , Hui Liu