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Understanding cascading failures or epidemics in networks is crucial for developing effective defensive mechanisms for many critical systems and infrastructures (e.g. biological, social and cyber networks). Most of the existing works treat…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-20 Jie Xu

We study time continuous branching processes with exponentially distributed lifetimes, with two types of cells that proliferate according to binary fission. A range of possible system dynamics are considered, each of which is characterized…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Nam H Nguyen , Marek Kimmel

This article is concerned with a version of the contact process with sexual reproduction on a graph with two levels of interactions modeling metapopulations. The population is spatially distributed into patches and offspring are produced in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-08 Eric Foxall , Nicolas Lanchier

Understanding how stochastic and non-linear deterministic processes interact is a major challenge in population dynamics theory. After a short review, we introduce a stochastic individual-centered particle model to describe the evolution in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Regis Ferriere , Viet Chi Tran

The strategic induction of cell death serves as a crucial immune defense mechanism for the eradication of pathogenic infections within host cells. Investigating the molecular mechanisms underlying immunogenic cell pathways has significantly…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-08 Chuang Li , Yichen Wei , Chao Qin , Shifan Chen , Xiaolong Shao

We propose an extension of a standard stochastic individual-based model in population dynamics which broadens the range of biological applications. Our primary motivation is modelling of immunotherapy of malignant tumours. In this context…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-18 Martina Baar , Loren Coquille , Hannah Mayer , Michael Hölzel , Meri Rogava , Thomas Tüting , Anton Bovier

We consider a branching model for a population of dividing cells infected by parasites. Each cell receives parasites by inheritance from its mother cell and independent contamination from outside the population. Parasites multiply randomly…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-05 Vincent Bansaye

Motivated by a model of an area-wide integrated pest management, we develop an interacting particle system evolving in a random environment. It is a generalised contact process in which the birth rate takes two possible values, determined…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-27 Kevin Kuoch

We propose a modelling framework to analyse the stochastic behaviour of heterogeneous, multi-scale cellular populations. We illustrate our methodology with a particular example in which we study a population with an oxygen-regulated…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-09-01 Roberto de la Cruz , Pilar Guerrero , Fabian Spill , Tomás Alarcón

The unwelcome evolution of malignancy during cancer progression emerges through a selection process in a complex heterogeneous population structure. In the present work, we investigate evolutionary dynamics in a phenotypically heterogeneous…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-07 Ali Mahdipour Shirayeh , Kamran Kaveh , Mohammad Kohandel , Siv Sivaloganathan

Isolated populations ultimately go extinct because of the intrinsic noise of elementary processes. In multi-population systems extinction of a population may occur via more than one route. We investigate this generic situation in a simple…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Omer Gottesman , Baruch Meerson

The emergence or adaptation of pathogens may lead to epidemics, highlighting the need for a thorough understanding of pathogen evolution. The tradeoff hypothesis suggests that virulence evolves to reach an optimal transmission intensity…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-09 Daniel A. M. Villela

Many illnesses are associated with an alteration of the immune system homeostasis due to any combination of factors, including exogenous bacterial insult, endogenous breakdown (e.g., development of a disease that results in immuno…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-06-08 D. Sornette , V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova , J. -Y. Henry , D. Schwab , J. P. Cobb

A key scientific challenge during the outbreak of novel infectious diseases is to predict how the course of the epidemic changes under different countermeasures that limit interaction in the population. Most epidemiological models do not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-25 Mansi Sood , Anirudh Sridhar , Rashad Eletreby , Chai Wah Wu , Simon A. Levin , H. Vincent Poor , Osman Yagan

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Manuel Mota , Inés del Puerto , Alfonso Ramos

Population genetics struggles to model extinction; standard models track the relative rather than absolute fitness of genotypes, while the exceptions describe only the short-term transition from imminent doom to evolutionary rescue. But…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-20 Jason Bertram , Kevin Gomez , Joanna Masel

In an attempt to explain the uniqueness of the coding mechanism of living cells as contrasted with multi-species structure of ecosystems we examine two models of individuals with some replicative properties. In the first model the system…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 A. Lipowski

We consider a stochastic model of infection spread on the complete graph on $N$ vertices incorporating dynamic partnerships, which we assume to be monogamous. This can be seen as a variation on the contact process in which some form of edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Eric Foxall , Roderick Edwards , P. van den Driessche

Mutualists and pathogens, collectively called symbionts, are ubiquitous in plant communities. While some symbionts are highly host-specific, others associate with multiple hosts. The outcomes of multispecies host-symbiont interactions with…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 N. Lanchier , C. Neuhauser

From pathogens and computer viruses to genes and memes, contagion models have found widespread utility across the natural and social sciences. Despite their success and breadth of adoption, the approach and structure of these models remain…

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